CNO

CNO Financial Group, Inc.

54
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation28/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

CNO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over CNO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

CNO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

CNO's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CNO.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

CNO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.8x12x17x23x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.8x12x17x23x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.5x$28.30-51%
Fair9.1x$39.72-31%
Forward11x$57.44—
Current13x$57.44—
Expensive15x$66.35+16%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CNO's PE is in its expensive range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS has the edge over CNO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CNO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect CNO's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CNO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$72.72
Downside-9%$52.44

Calculated from the latest close: $57.44 on Nov 12.

CNO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails CNO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CNO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.41Q1 2024: $3.43Q2 2024: $3.85Q3 2024: $2.48Q4 2024: $3.74Q1 2025: $2.86Q2 2025: $2.71Q3 2025: $2.86Q4 2025: $2.23Q1 2026: $2.49Q2 2026: $2.91Q3 2026: $4.38Forward: $5.03
Q4 2023: $2.41Q1 2024: $3.43Q2 2024: $3.85Q3 2024: $2.48Q4 2024: $3.74Q1 2025: $2.86Q2 2025: $2.71Q3 2025: $2.86Q4 2025: $2.23Q1 2026: $2.49Q2 2026: $2.91Q3 2026: $4.38Forward: $5.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.03+15%
Q3 2026$4.38+53%
Q2 2026$2.91+7.4%
Q1 2026$2.49-13%
Q4 2025$2.23-40%
Q3 2025$2.86+15%
Q2 2025$2.71-30%
Q1 2025$2.86-17%
Q4 2024$3.74+55%

CNO earned $4.38 per share over the past year, up 53% from the year before.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over CNO on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CNO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B-8.6%
Q2 2026$1.3B+12%
Q1 2026$1B+2.5%
Q4 2025$1.1B+4.2%
Q3 2025$1.2B+5.2%
Q2 2025$1.2B+8%
Q1 2025$1B-13%
Q4 2024$1.1B-6.3%

CNO's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $1.1B last quarter, down 8.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the edge over CNO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CNO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $177MQ1 2024: $95MQ2 2024: $111MQ3 2024: $231MQ4 2024: $191MQ1 2025: $137MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $198MQ4 2025: $196MQ1 2026: $149MQ2 2026: $157MQ3 2026: $242M
Q4 2023: $177MQ1 2024: $95MQ2 2024: $111MQ3 2024: $231MQ4 2024: $191MQ1 2025: $137MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $198MQ4 2025: $196MQ1 2026: $149MQ2 2026: $157MQ3 2026: $242M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$242M+22%
Q2 2026$156.6M+7.6%
Q1 2026$148.8M+8.9%
Q4 2025$195.7M+2.5%
Q3 2025$197.8M-14%
Q2 2025$145.5M+31%
Q1 2025$136.7M+45%
Q4 2024$191M+8.1%

CNO has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

CNO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 115MQ1 2024: 111MQ2 2024: 109MQ3 2024: 107MQ4 2024: 108MQ1 2025: 103MQ2 2025: 100MQ3 2025: 99MQ4 2025: 100MQ1 2026: 96MQ2 2026: 95MQ3 2026: 94M
Q4 2023: 115MQ1 2024: 111MQ2 2024: 109MQ3 2024: 107MQ4 2024: 108MQ1 2025: 103MQ2 2025: 100MQ3 2025: 99MQ4 2025: 100MQ1 2026: 96MQ2 2026: 95MQ3 2026: 94M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-699K shares
1 year-4.4%-4.3M shares
3 years-18%-20.2M shares
5 years-27%-34.8M shares
Available history-40%-62.9M shares

CNO has 94M diluted shares, down 4.4% from a year ago, with $254M in buybacks over the past year.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has 301M diluted shares, down 4.4% from a year ago, with $15B in buybacks over the past year.

CNO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: -2.4xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -1.4xQ3 2026: -1.4x
Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: -2.4xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -1.4xQ3 2026: -1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.4xNet Cash

CNO has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CNO.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over CNO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CNO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.3Neutral
Stochastic74.8Neutral

CNO's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

CNO PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCNOSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.7% above
PE %72639 pts above

CNO has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

CNO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$55.04.5% above
20 week MA$54.65.2% above
50 week MA$48.119% above
100 week MA$43.532% above
200 week MA$35.462% above

CNO has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

CNO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.2$22.8+25%
2021$22.8$24.0+5%
2022$24.0$22.9-4.6%
2023$22.9$27.9+22%
2024$27.9$37.3+34%
2025$37.3$43.3+16%
2026 YTD$43.3$57.4+33%

CNO has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

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