CNK

Cinemark Holdings, Inc.

58
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation60/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CNK's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NFLX

Netflix, Inc.

79
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NFLX has the edge over CNK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

CNK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Healthy
Weak

CNK's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

NFLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

CNK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.6x15x23x30x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.6x15x23x30x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$34.01-18%
Forward16x$41.46—
Current17x$41.46—
Fair20x$49.22+19%
Expensive23x$58.34+41%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CNK's PE is in its fair range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.

NFLX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$62.69—
Current18x$62.69—
Cheap27x$94.95+51%
Fair47x$161+157%
Expensive81x$281+348%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NFLX has the edge over CNK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CNK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CNK, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NFLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NFLX, with profitability improving.

CNK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+35%$55.89
Downside-26%$30.87

Calculated from the latest close: $41.46 on Nov 12.

CNK trails NFLX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NFLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$98.20
Downside-9%$56.77

Calculated from the latest close: $62.69 on Nov 12.

NFLX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CNK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CNK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $2.06Q1 2025: $1.55Q2 2025: $1.86Q3 2025: $1.07Q4 2025: $1.04Q1 2026: $1.30Q2 2026: $1.86Q3 2026: $2.50Forward: $2.62
Q4 2024: $2.06Q1 2025: $1.55Q2 2025: $1.86Q3 2025: $1.07Q4 2025: $1.04Q1 2026: $1.30Q2 2026: $1.86Q3 2026: $2.50Forward: $2.62
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.62+4.9%
Q3 2026$2.50+134%
Q2 2026$1.860%
Q1 2026$1.30-16%
Q4 2025$1.04-50%
Q1 2023-$1.67+$0.75
Q4 2022-$2.26+$1.29
Q3 2022-$1.39+$4.23
Q2 2022-$1.84+$4.38

CNK earned $2.50 per share over the past year, up 134% from the year before.

NFLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.58+3.5%
Q3 2026$3.46+45%
Q2 2026$3.18+35%
Q1 2026$3.10+46%
Q4 2025$2.53+28%
Q3 2025$2.39+35%
Q2 2025$2.35+47%
Q1 2025$2.12+47%
Q4 2024$1.98+65%

NFLX has the edge over CNK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CNK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $639MQ1 2024: $579MQ2 2024: $734MQ3 2024: $922MQ4 2024: $814MQ1 2025: $541MQ2 2025: $941MQ3 2025: $858MQ4 2025: $776MQ1 2026: $643MQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $639MQ1 2024: $579MQ2 2024: $734MQ3 2024: $922MQ4 2024: $814MQ1 2025: $541MQ2 2025: $941MQ3 2025: $858MQ4 2025: $776MQ1 2026: $643MQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+24%
Q2 2026$1.1B+16%
Q1 2026$643.1M+19%
Q4 2025$776.3M-4.7%
Q3 2025$857.5M-7%
Q2 2025$940.5M+28%
Q1 2025$540.7M-6.6%
Q4 2024$814.3M+27%

CNK's revenue is growing: $1.1B last quarter, up 24% from the same quarter a year ago.

NFLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.9B+12%
Q2 2026$12.6B+13%
Q1 2026$12.2B+16%
Q4 2025$12.1B+18%
Q3 2025$11.5B+17%
Q2 2025$11.1B+16%
Q1 2025$10.5B+13%
Q4 2024$10.2B+16%

NFLX's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $12.9B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

CNK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2022-$43.1M+$2.1M
Q2 2022$143M+63%
Q1 2022-$137.5M+$4.3M
Q4 2021$170.1M+$348.9M
Q3 2021-$45.2M-$10.8M
Q2 2021$87.5M+$238.6M
Q1 2021-$141.8M-$92.1M
Q4 2020-$178.8M-475%

CNK has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 177% versus its history, compared with NFLX at up 140%.

NFLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+8.4%
Q2 2026$1.5B-33%
Q1 2026$5.1B+91%
Q4 2025$1.9B+36%
Q3 2025$2.7B+21%
Q2 2025$2.3B+87%
Q1 2025$2.7B+25%
Q4 2024$1.4B-13%

NFLX generated $11.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 27% from the year before.

CNK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 152MQ1 2024: 152MQ2 2024: 153MQ3 2024: 158MQ4 2024: 155MQ1 2025: 119MQ2 2025: 149MQ3 2025: 124MQ4 2025: 134MQ1 2026: 115MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 116M
Q4 2023: 152MQ1 2024: 152MQ2 2024: 153MQ3 2024: 158MQ4 2024: 155MQ1 2025: 119MQ2 2025: 149MQ3 2025: 124MQ4 2025: 134MQ1 2026: 115MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 116M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year-6%-7.4M shares
3 years-23%-35.6M shares
5 years-0.7%-874K shares
Available history-0.2%-206K shares

CNK has the edge over NFLX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NFLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-66.2M shares
1 year-3.3%-145M shares
3 years-6.8%-305M shares
5 years-7.8%-354M shares
Available history-7.1%-323M shares

NFLX has 4.2B diluted shares, down 3.3% from a year ago, with $12.9B in buybacks over the past year.

CNK Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20228.9xHigh
Q1 202213.6xHigh
Q4 2021139.1xHigh
Q2 202012.1xHigh
Q1 20202.8xModerate
Q4 20192.2xModerate

CNK's net debt is about 8.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.8 years a year ago.

NFLX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

NFLX's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

CNK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI69.5Neutral
Stochastic82.2Overbought

CNK's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 82 (overbought).

NFLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

CNK PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricCNKSector medianRelative
PE17x16x0.5% above
PE %362610 pts above

CNK has the edge over NFLX on valuation relative to its sector.

NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNFLXSector medianRelative
PE18x16x9.8% above
PE %42622 pts below

NFLX is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

CNK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$38.57.7% above
20 week MA$36.015% above
50 week MA$30.636% above
100 week MA$29.640% above
200 week MA$24.371% above

CNK has the edge over NFLX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NFLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.65.9% below
20 week MA$71.813% below
50 week MA$82.424% below
100 week MA$96.035% below
200 week MA$74.416% below

NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

CNK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$34.0$16.5-51%
2021$16.5$17.4+5.6%
2022$17.4$8.64-50%
2023$8.64$14.1+63%
2024$14.1$31.0+120%
2025$31.0$22.9-26%
2026 YTD$22.9$41.5+81%

CNK has the edge over NFLX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NFLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.9$51.4+56%
2021$51.4$61.4+19%
2022$61.4$29.5-52%
2023$29.5$48.7+65%
2024$48.7$90.8+86%
2025$90.8$94.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$94.5$62.7-34%

NFLX is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

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