CNI

Canadian National Railway Company

62
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

CNI's fundamentals are mixed: it turned 20% of its revenue into free cash flow, while its operating margin held steady at 38%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

CNI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Stable

CNI's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

CNI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.4x17x25x34x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.4x17x25x34x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$102-20%
Fair21x$115-10%
Current23x$128—
Expensive24x$134+4.7%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CNI's PE is 23x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

CNI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CNI, with profitability improving.

CNI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$147.31
Downside-12%$112.10

Calculated from the latest close: $127.78 on Nov 12.

CNI's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +15% against −12%.

CNI Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $5.18Q4 2023: $6.02Q1 2024: $5.95Q2 2024: $5.94Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $4.93Q1 2025: $5.02Q2 2025: $5.10Q3 2025: $5.18Q4 2025: $5.32Q1 2026: $5.34Q2 2026: $5.48
Q3 2023: $5.18Q4 2023: $6.02Q1 2024: $5.95Q2 2024: $5.94Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $4.93Q1 2025: $5.02Q2 2025: $5.10Q3 2025: $5.18Q4 2025: $5.32Q1 2026: $5.34Q2 2026: $5.48
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$5.48+7.5%
Q1 2026$5.34+6.4%
Q4 2025$5.32+7.9%
Q3 2025$5.18-13%
Q2 2025$5.10-14%
Q1 2025$5.02-16%
Q4 2024$4.93-18%
Q3 2024$5.96+15%

CNI earned $5.48 per share over the past year, up 7.5% from the year before.

CNI Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.8BQ4 2023: $3.1BQ1 2024: $3BQ2 2024: $3BQ3 2024: $2.9BQ4 2024: $3.1BQ1 2025: $3.1BQ2 2025: $3BQ3 2025: $2.9BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.3B
Q3 2023: $2.8BQ4 2023: $3.1BQ1 2024: $3BQ2 2024: $3BQ3 2024: $2.9BQ4 2024: $3.1BQ1 2025: $3.1BQ2 2025: $3BQ3 2025: $2.9BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$3.3B+11%
Q1 2026$3.1B-0.3%
Q4 2025$3.1B+2.3%
Q3 2025$2.9B+1.5%
Q2 2025$3B-1.3%
Q1 2025$3.1B+3.6%
Q4 2024$3.1B-2.5%
Q3 2024$2.9B+3.1%

CNI's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $3.3B last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

CNI Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $418MQ4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $380MQ2 2024: $675MQ3 2024: $420MQ4 2024: $739MQ1 2025: $453MQ2 2025: $661MQ3 2025: $568MQ4 2025: $701MQ1 2026: $582MQ2 2026: $644M
Q3 2023: $418MQ4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $380MQ2 2024: $675MQ3 2024: $420MQ4 2024: $739MQ1 2025: $453MQ2 2025: $661MQ3 2025: $568MQ4 2025: $701MQ1 2026: $582MQ2 2026: $644M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$644.3M-2.5%
Q1 2026$582.2M+28%
Q4 2025$701.1M-5.1%
Q3 2025$568.1M+35%
Q2 2025$660.9M-2.1%
Q1 2025$453.5M+19%
Q4 2024$738.9M-29%
Q3 2024$420.4M+0.5%

CNI's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $2.5B over the past year, up 9.8% from the year before.

CNI Total Shares

Q3 2023: 656MQ4 2023: 648MQ1 2024: 642MQ2 2024: 636MQ3 2024: 631MQ4 2024: 630MQ1 2025: 628MQ2 2025: 628MQ3 2025: 622MQ4 2025: 616MQ1 2026: 612MQ2 2026: 608M
Q3 2023: 656MQ4 2023: 648MQ1 2024: 642MQ2 2024: 636MQ3 2024: 631MQ4 2024: 630MQ1 2025: 628MQ2 2025: 628MQ3 2025: 622MQ4 2025: 616MQ1 2026: 612MQ2 2026: 608M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-4.4M shares
1 year-3.3%-20.5M shares
3 years-8.4%-55.6M shares
5 years-15%-103M shares
Available history-16%-113M shares

CNI has 608M diluted shares, down 3.3% from a year ago, with $2.1B in buybacks over the past year.

CNI Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 2.0xQ4 2023: 2.0xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 2.3xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.4xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.4xQ4 2025: 2.4xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 2.5x
Q3 2023: 2.0xQ4 2023: 2.0xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 2.3xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.4xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.4xQ4 2025: 2.4xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.5xModerate
Q1 20262.4xModerate
Q4 20252.4xModerate
Q3 20252.4xModerate
Q2 20252.3xModerate
Q1 20252.4xModerate
Q4 20242.4xModerate
Q3 20242.3xModerate

CNI's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.3 years a year ago.

CNI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.4Neutral
Stochastic66.0Neutral

CNI's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).

CNI PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCNISector medianRelative
PE23x24x2.9% below
PE %785820 pts above

CNI is trading at 23x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.

CNI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$122.44.4% above
20 week MA$124.22.9% above
50 week MA$113.912% above
100 week MA$106.520% above
200 week MA$112.514% above

CNI has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 14% above its 200-week average.

CNI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$90.9$109.7+21%
2021$109.7$121.7+11%
2022$121.7$120.4-1%
2023$120.4$125.6+4.3%
2024$125.6$102.0-19%
2025$102.0$98.7-3.2%
2026 YTD$98.7$127.8+29%

CNI has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 29% so far in 2026.

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