CNF

CNFinance Holdings Limited

There isn't enough reported data to score CNF yet.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

CNF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Weak
N/A
N/A

CNF's profitability is currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CNF.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

CNF PE Valuation

CNF has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

CNF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong decline
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect CNF's revenue to grow, but its earnings to decline.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over CNF on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

CNF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $1.87 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CNF and MS's risk to reward.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CNF and MS's risk to reward.

CNF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2017: $23.83Q4 2018: $0.93Q4 2019: $0.54Q4 2020: $0.12Q4 2021: $0.08Q4 2022: $0.13Q4 2023: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.04Q4 2025: $-0.05
Q4 2017: $23.83Q4 2018: $0.93Q4 2019: $0.54Q4 2020: $0.12Q4 2021: $0.08Q4 2022: $0.13Q4 2023: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.04Q4 2025: $-0.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2025-$0.05-225%
Q4 2024$0.04-76%
Q4 2023$0.17+31%
Q4 2022$0.13+63%
Q4 2021$0.08-33%
Q4 2020$0.12-78%
Q4 2019$0.54-42%
Q4 2018$0.93-96%

CNF has swung to a loss: it lost $0.05 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over CNF in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

CNF Quarterly Revenue

Q2 2017: $117MQ3 2017: $141MQ4 2017: $161MQ4 2018: $351MQ4 2019: $268MQ4 2020: $167MQ4 2021: $151MQ3 2022: $91MQ4 2022: $51MQ4 2023: $154MQ4 2024: $106MQ4 2025: $17M
Q2 2017: $117MQ3 2017: $141MQ4 2017: $161MQ4 2018: $351MQ4 2019: $268MQ4 2020: $167MQ4 2021: $151MQ3 2022: $91MQ4 2022: $51MQ4 2023: $154MQ4 2024: $106MQ4 2025: $17M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2025$16.8M-84%
Q4 2024$106.4M-31%
Q4 2023$153.9M+201%
Q4 2022$51.2M-66%
Q4 2021$151.1M-9.6%
Q4 2020$167.1M-38%
Q4 2019$268.4M-23%
Q4 2018$350.9M+118%

CNF's revenue has slid since its 2018 peak: $17M last quarter, down 82% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over CNF in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

CNF Free Cash Flow

Q2 2017: $62MQ3 2017: $0Q4 2017: $0Q4 2018: $198MQ4 2019: $194MQ4 2020: $168MQ4 2021: $103MQ3 2022: $144MQ4 2022: −$20MQ4 2023: $239MQ4 2024: $112MQ4 2025: $12M
Q2 2017: $62MQ3 2017: $0Q4 2017: $0Q4 2018: $198MQ4 2019: $194MQ4 2020: $168MQ4 2021: $103MQ3 2022: $144MQ4 2022: −$20MQ4 2023: $239MQ4 2024: $112MQ4 2025: $12M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2025$12.1M-89%
Q4 2024$112.4M-53%
Q4 2023$238.8M+$258.7M
Q4 2022-$19.9M-119%
Q4 2021$102.9M-39%
Q4 2020$167.5M-14%
Q4 2019$194.3M-1.8%
Q4 2018$197.8M+$197.8M

CNF's free cash flow was $343M over the past year, down 44% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CNF.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

CNF Total Shares

Q2 2017: 3MQ3 2017: 3MQ4 2017: 4MQ4 2018: 139MQ4 2019: 147MQ4 2020: 153MQ4 2021: 144MQ3 2022: 150MQ4 2022: 153MQ4 2023: 145MQ4 2024: 128MQ4 2025: 1.4B
Q2 2017: 3MQ3 2017: 3MQ4 2017: 4MQ4 2018: 139MQ4 2019: 147MQ4 2020: 153MQ4 2021: 144MQ3 2022: 150MQ4 2022: 153MQ4 2023: 145MQ4 2024: 128MQ4 2025: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+969%+1.2B shares
1 year+812%+1.2B shares
3 years+43731%+1.4B shares

CNF has 1.4B diluted shares, up 812% from a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over CNF on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CNF Net Leverage

Q4 2017: 17.7xQ4 2021: 59.5x
Q4 2017: 17.7xQ4 2021: 59.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 202159.5xHigh
Q4 201717.7xHigh

CNF's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CNF.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

CNF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.2Neutral
Stochastic52.3Neutral

CNF's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

CNF PE vs Financial Services Sector

CNF has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CNF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.933.1% below
20 week MA$2.1613% below
50 week MA$3.5047% below
100 week MA$5.2965% below
200 week MA$13.386% below

CNF is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 86% below its 200-week average.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over CNF on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CNF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$50.2$37.0-26%
2021$37.0$29.9-19%
2022$29.9$17.4-42%
2023$17.4$22.2+28%
2024$22.2$9.40-58%
2025$9.40$6.24-34%
2026 YTD$6.24$1.87-70%

CNF has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's down 70% so far in 2026.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over CNF on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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