CNDT

Conduent Incorporated

45
Fundamentals42/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

CNDT trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over CNDT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

CNDT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

CNDT's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

CNDT PE Valuation

CNDT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

CNDT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong decline
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect CNDT's losses to shrink, with revenue declining. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

CNDT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+68%$2.08
Downside-40%$0.74

Calculated from the latest close: $1.24 on Nov 12.

CNDT trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CNDT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CNDT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.41Q1 2024: $-0.91Q2 2024: $0.20Q3 2024: $2.26Q4 2024: $2.23Q1 2025: $1.44Q2 2025: $0.11Q3 2025: $-0.91Q4 2025: $-1.14Q1 2026: $-1.04Q2 2026: $-1.54Q3 2026: $-1.57
Q4 2023: $-1.41Q1 2024: $-0.91Q2 2024: $0.20Q3 2024: $2.26Q4 2024: $2.23Q1 2025: $1.44Q2 2025: $0.11Q3 2025: $-0.91Q4 2025: $-1.14Q1 2026: $-1.04Q2 2026: $-1.54Q3 2026: $-1.57
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.57-$0.66
Q2 2026-$1.54-1500%
Q1 2026-$1.04-172%
Q4 2025-$1.14-151%
Q3 2025-$0.91-140%
Q2 2025$0.11-45%
Q1 2025$1.44+$2.35
Q4 2024$2.23+$3.64

CNDT is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.57 per share over the past year, against $9.29 at its worst in late 2019.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over CNDT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CNDT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $953MQ1 2024: $921MQ2 2024: $828MQ3 2024: $807MQ4 2024: $800MQ1 2025: $751MQ2 2025: $754MQ3 2025: $767MQ4 2025: $770MQ1 2026: $723MQ2 2026: $531MQ3 2026: $534M
Q4 2023: $953MQ1 2024: $921MQ2 2024: $828MQ3 2024: $807MQ4 2024: $800MQ1 2025: $751MQ2 2025: $754MQ3 2025: $767MQ4 2025: $770MQ1 2026: $723MQ2 2026: $531MQ3 2026: $534M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$534M-30%
Q2 2026$531M-30%
Q1 2026$723M-3.7%
Q4 2025$770M-3.7%
Q3 2025$767M-5%
Q2 2025$754M-8.9%
Q1 2025$751M-18%
Q4 2024$800M-16%

CNDT's revenue has slid since its 2019 peak: $534M last quarter, down 30% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over CNDT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CNDT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $104MQ1 2024: −$50MQ2 2024: −$59MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: $52MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$30MQ3 2025: −$54MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: −$17MQ2 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: −$112M
Q4 2023: $104MQ1 2024: −$50MQ2 2024: −$59MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: $52MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$30MQ3 2025: −$54MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: −$17MQ2 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: −$112M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$112M-$58M
Q2 2026-$2M+$28M
Q1 2026-$17M+$55M
Q4 2025$24M-54%
Q3 2025-$54M-$33M
Q2 2025-$30M+$29M
Q1 2025-$72M-$22M
Q4 2024$52M-50%

CNDT has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$107M over the past year, against −$104M the year before.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT has the edge over CNDT on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CNDT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 217MQ1 2024: 216MQ2 2024: 202MQ3 2024: 171MQ4 2024: 191MQ1 2025: 162MQ2 2025: 161MQ3 2025: 157MQ4 2025: 158MQ1 2026: 155MQ2 2026: 155MQ3 2026: 156M
Q4 2023: 217MQ1 2024: 216MQ2 2024: 202MQ3 2024: 171MQ4 2024: 191MQ1 2025: 162MQ2 2025: 161MQ3 2025: 157MQ4 2025: 158MQ1 2026: 155MQ2 2026: 155MQ3 2026: 156M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+306K shares
1 year-0.9%-1.4M shares
3 years-28%-61.8M shares
5 years-29%-64.2M shares
Available history-26%-53.7M shares

CNDT has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CNDT Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -5.6xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ4 2025: 13.4xQ1 2026: -3.3xQ2 2026: -6.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q1 2024: -5.6xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ4 2025: 13.4xQ1 2026: -3.3xQ2 2026: -6.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 202513.4xHigh
Q2 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 20240.4xVery low
Q3 2024-0.5xNet Cash

CNDT has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

CNDT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.4Neutral
Stochastic13.6Oversold

CNDT's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

CNDT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCNDTSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

CNDT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

CNDT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.5319% below
20 week MA$1.5822% below
50 week MA$1.6023% below
100 week MA$2.2344% below
200 week MA$2.8757% below

CNDT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 57% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over CNDT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CNDT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.99$4.85-19%
2021$4.85$5.36+11%
2022$5.36$4.13-23%
2023$4.13$3.65-12%
2024$3.65$4.08+12%
2025$4.08$1.93-53%
2026 YTD$1.93$1.24-36%

CNDT has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 36% so far in 2026.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over CNDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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