CMT

Core Molding Technologies, Inc.

42
Fundamentals45/ 100
Valuation22/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

CMT's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 29x earnings, about twice its usual 15x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

CMT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Weak
Strong

CMT's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is weak.

CMT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.1x$7.36-69%
Fair15x$11.81-49%
Forward17x$23.38—
Expensive27x$21.60-7.6%
Current29x$23.38—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CMT's PE is in its expensive range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

CMT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CMT, with profitability improving.

CMT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$30.94
Downside-28%$16.78

Calculated from the latest close: $23.38 on Nov 12.

CMT's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +32% against −28%.

CMT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.31Q1 2024: $2.08Q2 2024: $1.90Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.52Q1 2025: $1.34Q2 2025: $1.08Q3 2025: $0.94Q4 2025: $1.30Q1 2026: $1.12Q2 2026: $0.86Q3 2026: $0.81Forward: $1.40
Q4 2023: $2.31Q1 2024: $2.08Q2 2024: $1.90Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.52Q1 2025: $1.34Q2 2025: $1.08Q3 2025: $0.94Q4 2025: $1.30Q1 2026: $1.12Q2 2026: $0.86Q3 2026: $0.81Forward: $1.40
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.40+73%
Q3 2026$0.81-14%
Q2 2026$0.86-20%
Q1 2026$1.12-16%
Q4 2025$1.30-14%
Q3 2025$0.94-47%
Q2 2025$1.08-43%
Q1 2025$1.34-36%
Q4 2024$1.52-34%

CMT's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.81 over the past year, against $2.63 in late 2023.

CMT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $74MQ1 2024: $78MQ2 2024: $89MQ3 2024: $73MQ4 2024: $62MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $79MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $59MQ2 2026: $63MQ3 2026: $90M
Q4 2023: $74MQ1 2024: $78MQ2 2024: $89MQ3 2024: $73MQ4 2024: $62MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $79MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $59MQ2 2026: $63MQ3 2026: $90M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$90.2M+54%
Q2 2026$62.7M-21%
Q1 2026$58.6M-4.7%
Q4 2025$74.7M+19%
Q3 2025$58.4M-20%
Q2 2025$79.2M-11%
Q1 2025$61.4M-21%
Q4 2024$62.5M-15%

CMT's revenue is growing: $90M last quarter, up 54% from the same quarter a year ago.

CMT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $509,000Q1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $880,000Q3 2025: −$346,000Q4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: −$13MQ2 2026: $8MQ3 2026: −$11M
Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $509,000Q1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $880,000Q3 2025: −$346,000Q4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: −$13MQ2 2026: $8MQ3 2026: −$11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$11.3M-$11M
Q2 2026$8M+809%
Q1 2026-$13M-401%
Q4 2025-$2.9M-678%
Q3 2025-$346K-105%
Q2 2025$880K-93%
Q1 2025$4.3M+36%
Q4 2024$509K-92%

CMT's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$19M over the past year.

CMT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 9MQ1 2024: 9MQ2 2024: 9MQ3 2024: 9MQ4 2024: 9MQ1 2025: 9MQ2 2025: 9MQ3 2025: 9MQ4 2025: 9MQ1 2026: 9MQ2 2026: 9MQ3 2026: 9M
Q4 2023: 9MQ1 2024: 9MQ2 2024: 9MQ3 2024: 9MQ4 2024: 9MQ1 2025: 9MQ2 2025: 9MQ3 2025: 9MQ4 2025: 9MQ1 2026: 9MQ2 2026: 9MQ3 2026: 9M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+18K shares
1 year+0.4%+39K shares
3 years-1.3%-115K shares
5 years+8.4%+674K shares
Available history+11%+897K shares

CMT has 9M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CMT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.9xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.9xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.7xNet Cash

CMT has more cash than debt.

CMT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.1Neutral
Stochastic23.0Neutral

CMT's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

CMT PE vs Basic Materials Sector

MetricCMTSector medianRelative
PE29x19x55% above
PE %884048 pts above

CMT is trading at 29x earnings, a 55% premium to the Basic Materials sector's median of 19x.

CMT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$22.92.2% above
20 week MA$23.92.3% below
50 week MA$22.73.1% above
100 week MA$19.719% above
200 week MA$19.420% above

CMT's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 20% above its 200-week average.

CMT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$3.13$13.3+323%
2021$13.3$8.64-35%
2022$8.64$12.6+46%
2023$12.6$18.5+47%
2024$18.5$16.5-11%
2025$16.5$21.3+29%
2026 YTD$21.3$23.4+9.9%

CMT has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 9.9% so far in 2026.

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