CMRC

Commerce.com, Inc.

62
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

CMRC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SNDK

Sandisk Corporation

79
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential51/ 100

SNDK has the edge over CMRC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

CMRC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weak

CMRC's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

SNDK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

SNDK's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

CMRC PE Valuation

CMRC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SNDK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x79x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x79x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward3.8x$937—
Current7.5x$937—
Cheap17x$2,173+132%
Fair24x$3,048+225%
Expensive59x$7,452+695%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SNDK's PE is 7.5x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

CMRC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect CMRC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SNDK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

SNDK has the edge over CMRC on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

CMRC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+60%$5.65
Downside-37%$2.23

Calculated from the latest close: $3.54 on Nov 12.

CMRC trails SNDK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SNDK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+113%$1,996.75
Downside-51%$461.20

Calculated from the latest close: $937.46 on Nov 12.

SNDK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CMRC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CMRC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.86Q1 2024: $-0.64Q2 2024: $-0.54Q3 2024: $-0.36Q4 2024: $-0.35Q1 2025: $-0.27Q2 2025: $-0.22Q3 2025: $-0.16Q4 2025: $-0.24Q1 2026: $-0.19Q2 2026: $-0.08Q3 2026: $-0.09Forward: $0.57
Q4 2023: $-0.86Q1 2024: $-0.64Q2 2024: $-0.54Q3 2024: $-0.36Q4 2024: $-0.35Q1 2025: $-0.27Q2 2025: $-0.22Q3 2025: $-0.16Q4 2025: $-0.24Q1 2026: $-0.19Q2 2026: $-0.08Q3 2026: $-0.09Forward: $0.57
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.57—
Q3 2026-$0.09+$0.07
Q2 2026-$0.08+$0.14
Q1 2026-$0.19+$0.08
Q4 2025-$0.24+$0.11
Q3 2025-$0.16+$0.20
Q2 2025-$0.22+$0.32
Q1 2025-$0.27+$0.37
Q4 2024-$0.35+$0.51

CMRC is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.09 per share over the past year, against $1.95 at its worst in late 2022.

SNDK Earnings Per Share

Q2 2024: $-4.66Q2 2025: $-11.31Q4 2025: $-12.02Q1 2026: $-7.59Q2 2026: $28.77Q3 2026: $73.76Q4 2026: $125.61Forward: $247.30
Q2 2024: $-4.66Q2 2025: $-11.31Q4 2025: $-12.02Q1 2026: $-7.59Q2 2026: $28.77Q3 2026: $73.76Q4 2026: $125.61Forward: $247.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$247.30+97%
Q3 2026$125.61+$137.63
Q2 2026$73.76+$85.07
Q2 2025-$11.31-$6.65

SNDK has the edge over CMRC in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

CMRC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $84MQ1 2024: $80MQ2 2024: $82MQ3 2024: $84MQ4 2024: $87MQ1 2025: $82MQ2 2025: $84MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $90MQ1 2026: $87MQ2 2026: $85MQ3 2026: $84M
Q4 2023: $84MQ1 2024: $80MQ2 2024: $82MQ3 2024: $84MQ4 2024: $87MQ1 2025: $82MQ2 2025: $84MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $90MQ1 2026: $87MQ2 2026: $85MQ3 2026: $84M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$84.2M-2.1%
Q2 2026$84.5M+0.1%
Q1 2026$86.8M+5.4%
Q4 2025$89.5M+2.9%
Q3 2025$86M+2.8%
Q2 2025$84.4M+3.2%
Q1 2025$82.4M+2.5%
Q4 2024$87M+3.4%

CMRC's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $84M last quarter, down 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

SNDK Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: --Q3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $6BQ3 2026: $9BQ4 2026: $11B
Q1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: --Q3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $6BQ3 2026: $9BQ4 2026: $11B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11B+378%
Q2 2026$9B+372%
Q1 2026$6B+251%
Q4 2025$3B+61%
Q3 2025$2.3B+23%
Q2 2025$1.9B+8%
Q1 2025$1.7B-0.6%
Q4 2024$1.9B+13%

SNDK has the edge over CMRC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CMRC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$424,000Q2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $50,000Q3 2026: $6M
Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$424,000Q2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $50,000Q3 2026: $6M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.7M-24%
Q2 2026$50K-100%
Q1 2026$14.1M+$14.5M
Q3 2025$7.6M+36%
Q2 2025$11.9M+1.4%
Q1 2025-$424K+$3M
Q3 2024$5.6M+$37M
Q2 2024$11.7M-20%

CMRC has burned cash in most quarters: $18M over the past year, down 28% from the year before.

SNDK Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: −$41MQ2 2024: −$168MQ3 2024: −$198MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $438MQ1 2026: $980MQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $7.1BQ4 2026: $6.3B
Q1 2024: −$41MQ2 2024: −$168MQ3 2024: −$198MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $438MQ1 2026: $980MQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $7.1BQ4 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$6.3B+1340%
Q2 2026$7.1B+14355%
Q1 2026$3B+$3B
Q3 2025$438M+$636M
Q2 2025$49M+$217M
Q1 2025-$18M+$23M
Q3 2024-$198M-$157M

SNDK has the edge over CMRC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CMRC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 75MQ1 2024: 77MQ2 2024: 77MQ3 2024: 78MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 79MQ2 2025: 80MQ3 2025: 81MQ4 2025: 80MQ1 2026: 82MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 83M
Q4 2023: 75MQ1 2024: 77MQ2 2024: 77MQ3 2024: 78MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 79MQ2 2025: 80MQ3 2025: 81MQ4 2025: 80MQ1 2026: 82MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 83M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+164K shares
1 year+2.7%+2.2M shares
3 years+10%+7.6M shares
5 years+16%+11.6M shares
Available history+46%+26.1M shares

CMRC has the edge over SNDK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SNDK Total Shares

Q1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 145MQ2 2025: 145MQ4 2025: 149MQ1 2026: 156MQ2 2026: 157MQ3 2026: 155MQ4 2026: 154M
Q1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 145MQ2 2025: 145MQ4 2025: 149MQ1 2026: 156MQ2 2026: 157MQ3 2026: 155MQ4 2026: 154M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-1M shares
1 year+3.4%+5M shares
3 years+6.9%+10M shares

SNDK has 154M diluted shares, up 3.4% from a year ago.

CMRC Net Leverage

Q3 2025: 28.3xQ1 2026: 23.6xQ2 2026: 7.7xQ3 2026: 5.2x
Q3 2025: 28.3xQ1 2026: 23.6xQ2 2026: 7.7xQ3 2026: 5.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.2xHigh
Q2 20267.7xHigh
Q1 202623.6xHigh
Q3 202528.3xHigh

CMRC's net debt is about 5.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

SNDK Net Leverage

Q2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.4xQ4 2026: -0.2x
Q2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.4xQ4 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash

SNDK has the edge over CMRC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CMRC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.5Neutral
Stochastic74.5Neutral

CMRC's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).

SNDK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic10.6Oversold

SNDK's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

CMRC PE vs Technology Sector

CMRC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SNDK PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSNDKSector medianRelative
PE7.5x28x73% below
PE %42723 pts below

SNDK is trading at 7.5x earnings, a 73% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

CMRC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.433.2% above
20 week MA$3.0616% above
50 week MA$3.1313% above
100 week MA$4.2116% below
200 week MA$6.2543% below

CMRC has stronger trend alignment. CMRC is above 3 of 5 weekly averages versus SNDK above 0 of 3.

SNDK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,317.529% below
20 week MA$1,465.436% below
50 week MA$1,119.616% below

SNDK is in a downtrend: it's below all three of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 50-week average.

CMRC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$79.0$72.8-7.8%
2021$72.8$38.5-47%
2022$38.5$8.34-78%
2023$8.34$9.73+17%
2024$9.73$6.13-37%
2025$6.13$4.19-32%
2026 YTD$4.19$3.54-16%

CMRC has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

SNDK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$50.4$250.1+396%
2026 YTD$250.1$937.5+275%

SNDK has the edge over CMRC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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