CMRC

Commerce.com, Inc.

62
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

CMRC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over CMRC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

CMRC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weak

CMRC's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

CMRC PE Valuation

CMRC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

CMRC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect CMRC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

CMRC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+60%$5.65
Downside-37%$2.23

Calculated from the latest close: $3.54 on Nov 12.

CMRC trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CMRC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CMRC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.86Q1 2024: $-0.64Q2 2024: $-0.54Q3 2024: $-0.36Q4 2024: $-0.35Q1 2025: $-0.27Q2 2025: $-0.22Q3 2025: $-0.16Q4 2025: $-0.24Q1 2026: $-0.19Q2 2026: $-0.08Q3 2026: $-0.09Forward: $0.57
Q4 2023: $-0.86Q1 2024: $-0.64Q2 2024: $-0.54Q3 2024: $-0.36Q4 2024: $-0.35Q1 2025: $-0.27Q2 2025: $-0.22Q3 2025: $-0.16Q4 2025: $-0.24Q1 2026: $-0.19Q2 2026: $-0.08Q3 2026: $-0.09Forward: $0.57
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.57—
Q3 2026-$0.09+$0.07
Q2 2026-$0.08+$0.14
Q1 2026-$0.19+$0.08
Q4 2025-$0.24+$0.11
Q3 2025-$0.16+$0.20
Q2 2025-$0.22+$0.32
Q1 2025-$0.27+$0.37
Q4 2024-$0.35+$0.51

CMRC is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.09 per share over the past year, against $1.95 at its worst in late 2022.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over CMRC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CMRC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $84MQ1 2024: $80MQ2 2024: $82MQ3 2024: $84MQ4 2024: $87MQ1 2025: $82MQ2 2025: $84MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $90MQ1 2026: $87MQ2 2026: $85MQ3 2026: $84M
Q4 2023: $84MQ1 2024: $80MQ2 2024: $82MQ3 2024: $84MQ4 2024: $87MQ1 2025: $82MQ2 2025: $84MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $90MQ1 2026: $87MQ2 2026: $85MQ3 2026: $84M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$84.2M-2.1%
Q2 2026$84.5M+0.1%
Q1 2026$86.8M+5.4%
Q4 2025$89.5M+2.9%
Q3 2025$86M+2.8%
Q2 2025$84.4M+3.2%
Q1 2025$82.4M+2.5%
Q4 2024$87M+3.4%

CMRC's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $84M last quarter, down 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over CMRC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CMRC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$424,000Q2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $50,000Q3 2026: $6M
Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$424,000Q2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $50,000Q3 2026: $6M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.7M-24%
Q2 2026$50K-100%
Q1 2026$14.1M+$14.5M
Q3 2025$7.6M+36%
Q2 2025$11.9M+1.4%
Q1 2025-$424K+$3M
Q3 2024$5.6M+$37M
Q2 2024$11.7M-20%

CMRC has burned cash in most quarters: $18M over the past year, down 28% from the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over CMRC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CMRC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 75MQ1 2024: 77MQ2 2024: 77MQ3 2024: 78MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 79MQ2 2025: 80MQ3 2025: 81MQ4 2025: 80MQ1 2026: 82MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 83M
Q4 2023: 75MQ1 2024: 77MQ2 2024: 77MQ3 2024: 78MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 79MQ2 2025: 80MQ3 2025: 81MQ4 2025: 80MQ1 2026: 82MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 83M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+164K shares
1 year+2.7%+2.2M shares
3 years+10%+7.6M shares
5 years+16%+11.6M shares
Available history+46%+26.1M shares

CMRC has 83M diluted shares, up 2.7% from a year ago.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over CMRC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CMRC Net Leverage

Q3 2025: 28.3xQ1 2026: 23.6xQ2 2026: 7.7xQ3 2026: 5.2x
Q3 2025: 28.3xQ1 2026: 23.6xQ2 2026: 7.7xQ3 2026: 5.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.2xHigh
Q2 20267.7xHigh
Q1 202623.6xHigh
Q3 202528.3xHigh

CMRC's net debt is about 5.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA has the edge over CMRC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CMRC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.5Neutral
Stochastic74.5Neutral

CMRC's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

CMRC PE vs Technology Sector

CMRC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

CMRC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.433.2% above
20 week MA$3.0616% above
50 week MA$3.1313% above
100 week MA$4.2116% below
200 week MA$6.2543% below

CMRC has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

CMRC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$79.0$72.8-7.8%
2021$72.8$38.5-47%
2022$38.5$8.34-78%
2023$8.34$9.73+17%
2024$9.73$6.13-37%
2025$6.13$4.19-32%
2026 YTD$4.19$3.54-16%

CMRC has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA has the edge over CMRC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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