CMRC
Commerce.com, Inc.
CMRC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over CMRC overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
CMRC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Weak |
CMRC's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
CMRC PE Valuation
CMRC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
CMRC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect CMRC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
CMRC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.57 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.09 | +$0.07 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.08 | +$0.14 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.19 | +$0.08 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.24 | +$0.11 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.16 | +$0.20 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.22 | +$0.32 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.27 | +$0.37 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.35 | +$0.51 |
CMRC is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.09 per share over the past year, against $1.95 at its worst in late 2022.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over CMRC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
CMRC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $84.2M | -2.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $84.5M | +0.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $86.8M | +5.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $89.5M | +2.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $86M | +2.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $84.4M | +3.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $82.4M | +2.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $87M | +3.4% |
CMRC's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $84M last quarter, down 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.1% | -1.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3.2% | +11 points |
| Q1 2026 | 6.6% | +9.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -7.4% | -6.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | -0.5% | +22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -8% | +8.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -2.9% | +7.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | -0.9% | +5.9 points |
CMRC's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, down 1.6 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over CMRC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over CMRC on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
CMRC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.7M | -24% |
| Q2 2026 | $50K | -100% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.1M | +$14.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $7.6M | +36% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.9M | +1.4% |
| Q1 2025 | -$424K | +$3M |
| Q3 2024 | $5.6M | +$37M |
| Q2 2024 | $11.7M | -20% |
CMRC has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
CMRC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +164K shares |
| 1 year | +2.7% | +2.2M shares |
| 3 years | +10% | +7.6M shares |
| 5 years | +16% | +11.6M shares |
| Available history | +46% | +26.1M shares |
CMRC has 83M diluted shares, up 2.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2020 | — |
| Q4 2019 | — |
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over CMRC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
CMRC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.2x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.7x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 23.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 28.3x | High |
CMRC's net debt is about 5.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT has the edge over CMRC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
CMRC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 56.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 74.5 | Neutral |
CMRC's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
CMRC PE vs Technology Sector
CMRC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
CMRC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.43 | 3.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $3.06 | 16% above |
| 50 week MA | $3.13 | 13% above |
| 100 week MA | $4.21 | 16% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.25 | 43% below |
CMRC has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 43% below its 200-week average.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over CMRC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CMRC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $79.0 | $72.8 | -7.8% |
| 2021 | $72.8 | $38.5 | -47% |
| 2022 | $38.5 | $8.34 | -78% |
| 2023 | $8.34 | $9.73 | +17% |
| 2024 | $9.73 | $6.13 | -37% |
| 2025 | $6.13 | $4.19 | -32% |
| 2026 YTD | $4.19 | $3.54 | -16% |
CMRC has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's down 16% so far in 2026.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over CMRC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.