CMI

Cummins Inc.

62
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation49/ 100
Upside potential84/ 100
Risk potential8/ 100

CMI's fundamentals are strong: free cash flow grew 52% and earnings per share grew 23%. At 19x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 18x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

CMI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

CMI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

CMI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x46x61x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x46x61x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap13x$305-33%
Forward14x$455—
Fair18x$423-7.2%
Current19x$455—
Expensive25x$596+31%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CMI's PE is in its fair range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

CMI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CMI, with profitability improving.

CMI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+44%$656.44
Downside-8%$416.99

Calculated from the latest close: $455.40 on Nov 12.

CMI's one-year upside scenario is about five times its downside: +44% against −8.4%.

CMI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.15Q1 2024: $13.63Q2 2024: $13.84Q3 2024: $15.11Q4 2024: $28.37Q1 2025: $20.30Q2 2025: $21.47Q3 2025: $19.47Q4 2025: $20.50Q1 2026: $19.25Q2 2026: $19.55Q3 2026: $23.94Forward: $32.34
Q4 2023: $5.15Q1 2024: $13.63Q2 2024: $13.84Q3 2024: $15.11Q4 2024: $28.37Q1 2025: $20.30Q2 2025: $21.47Q3 2025: $19.47Q4 2025: $20.50Q1 2026: $19.25Q2 2026: $19.55Q3 2026: $23.94Forward: $32.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$32.34+35%
Q3 2026$23.94+23%
Q2 2026$19.55-8.9%
Q1 2026$19.25-5.2%
Q4 2025$20.50-28%
Q3 2025$19.47+29%
Q2 2025$21.47+55%
Q1 2025$20.30+49%
Q4 2024$28.37+451%

CMI earned $23.94 per share over the past year, up 23% from the year before.

CMI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.5BQ1 2024: $8.4BQ2 2024: $8.8BQ3 2024: $8.5BQ4 2024: $8.4BQ1 2025: $8.2BQ2 2025: $8.6BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ4 2025: $8.5BQ1 2026: $8.4BQ2 2026: $9.5BQ3 2026: $9.4B
Q4 2023: $8.5BQ1 2024: $8.4BQ2 2024: $8.8BQ3 2024: $8.5BQ4 2024: $8.4BQ1 2025: $8.2BQ2 2025: $8.6BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ4 2025: $8.5BQ1 2026: $8.4BQ2 2026: $9.5BQ3 2026: $9.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$9.4B+13%
Q2 2026$9.5B+9.4%
Q1 2026$8.4B+2.7%
Q4 2025$8.5B+1.1%
Q3 2025$8.3B-1.6%
Q2 2025$8.6B-1.7%
Q1 2025$8.2B-2.7%
Q4 2024$8.4B-1.1%

CMI's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $9.4B last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

CMI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $940MQ1 2024: $107MQ2 2024: −$1.1BQ3 2024: $381MQ4 2024: $882MQ1 2025: −$165MQ2 2025: $554MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $990MQ1 2026: $120MQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $940MQ1 2024: $107MQ2 2024: −$1.1BQ3 2024: $381MQ4 2024: $882MQ1 2025: −$165MQ2 2025: $554MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $990MQ1 2026: $120MQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+9.4%
Q2 2026$1.3B+126%
Q1 2026$120M+$285M
Q4 2025$990M+12%
Q3 2025$1B+164%
Q2 2025$554M+$1.6B
Q1 2025-$165M-254%
Q4 2024$882M-6.2%

CMI generated $3.5B in free cash flow over the past year, up 52% from the year before.

CMI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 143MQ1 2024: 142MQ2 2024: 138MQ3 2024: 138MQ4 2024: 139MQ1 2025: 138MQ2 2025: 139MQ3 2025: 139MQ4 2025: 139MQ1 2026: 139MQ2 2026: 139MQ3 2026: 138M
Q4 2023: 143MQ1 2024: 142MQ2 2024: 138MQ3 2024: 138MQ4 2024: 139MQ1 2025: 138MQ2 2025: 139MQ3 2025: 139MQ4 2025: 139MQ1 2026: 139MQ2 2026: 139MQ3 2026: 138M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-400K shares
1 year-0.5%-700K shares
3 years-3.3%-4.7M shares
5 years-4.6%-6.6M shares
Available history-12%-18M shares

CMI has 138M diluted shares, down 0.5% from a year ago.

CMI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.9xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.6x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.9xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.6xVery low
Q2 20260.8xVery low
Q1 20260.9xVery low
Q4 20250.9xVery low
Q3 20250.9xVery low
Q2 20251.0xHealthy
Q1 20251.1xHealthy
Q4 20241.1xHealthy

CMI's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

CMI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI28.0Oversold
Stochastic3.3Oversold

CMI's weekly RSI is 28 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

CMI PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCMISector medianRelative
PE19x24x21% below
PE %5858Same percentile

CMI is trading at 19x earnings, a 21% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

CMI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$503.99.6% below
20 week MA$569.720% below
50 week MA$584.422% below
100 week MA$475.14.2% below
200 week MA$370.223% above

CMI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 23% above its 200-week average.

CMI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$180.7$226.5+25%
2021$226.5$214.0-5.5%
2022$214.0$241.3+13%
2023$241.3$239.6-0.7%
2024$239.6$351.2+47%
2025$351.2$519.1+48%
2026 YTD$519.1$455.4-12%

CMI has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 12% so far in 2026.

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