CMCL

Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc

69
Fundamentals90/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CMCL's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 6.0x earnings, below its usual 8.7x.

CMCL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CMCL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

CMCL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x38x57x76x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x38x57x76x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.1x$17.06-15%
Current6.1x$20.16—
Fair8.7x$28.88+43%
Expensive19x$63.03+213%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CMCL's PE is in its cheap range at 6.0x.

CMCL Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for CMCL to show an outlook.

CMCL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+42%$28.56
Downside-26%$14.93

Calculated from the latest close: $20.16 on Nov 12.

CMCL's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +42% against −26%.

CMCL Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.68Q4 2023: $-0.20Q1 2024: $0.16Q2 2024: $0.63Q3 2024: $0.50Q4 2024: $0.97Q1 2025: $1.32Q2 2025: $1.94Q3 2025: $2.60Q4 2025: $2.82Q1 2026: $3.16Q2 2026: $3.33
Q3 2023: $-0.68Q4 2023: $-0.20Q1 2024: $0.16Q2 2024: $0.63Q3 2024: $0.50Q4 2024: $0.97Q1 2025: $1.32Q2 2025: $1.94Q3 2025: $2.60Q4 2025: $2.82Q1 2026: $3.16Q2 2026: $3.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.33+72%
Q1 2026$3.16+139%
Q4 2025$2.82+191%
Q3 2025$2.60+420%
Q2 2025$1.94+208%
Q1 2025$1.32+725%
Q4 2024$0.97+$1.17
Q3 2024$0.50+$1.18

CMCL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.33 over the past year, up 72% from the year before, and higher year over year for nine quarters in a row.

CMCL Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $41MQ4 2023: $39MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $50MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $48MQ1 2025: $56MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $71MQ4 2025: $71MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $72M
Q3 2023: $41MQ4 2023: $39MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $50MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $48MQ1 2025: $56MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $71MQ4 2025: $71MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $72M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$72M+10%
Q1 2026$66.4M+18%
Q4 2025$71M+49%
Q3 2025$71.4M+52%
Q2 2025$65.3M+30%
Q1 2025$56.2M+54%
Q4 2024$47.5M+23%
Q3 2024$46.9M+14%

CMCL's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $72M last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

CMCL Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5MQ4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: $716,000Q2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: $19M
Q3 2023: $5MQ4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: $716,000Q2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: $19M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$19.5M+24%
Q1 2026$13.1M+169%
Q4 2025$13.8M+352%
Q3 2025$5.9M+$8M
Q2 2025$15.7M+30%
Q1 2025$4.9M+579%
Q4 2024$3.1M+$9M
Q3 2024-$2.1M-143%

CMCL generated $52M in free cash flow over the past year, up 143% from the year before.

CMCL Total Shares

Q3 2023: 18MQ4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 19MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 19M
Q3 2023: 18MQ4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 19MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 19M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.5%-495K shares
1 year0%-6.4K shares
3 years+6.8%+1.2M shares
5 years+51%+6.5M shares
Available history+74%+8.2M shares

CMCL has 19M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CMCL Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.4xQ4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.4x
Q3 2023: 0.4xQ4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low
Q3 20240.3xVery low

CMCL has more cash than debt.

CMCL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.7Neutral
Stochastic26.7Neutral

CMCL's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

CMCL PE vs Basic Materials Sector

MetricCMCLSector medianRelative
PE6.1x19x67% below
PE %214019 pts below

CMCL is trading at 6.0x earnings, a 67% discount to the Basic Materials sector's median of 19x.

CMCL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$22.39.4% below
20 week MA$22.08.5% below
50 week MA$24.016% below
100 week MA$21.76.9% below
200 week MA$16.919% above

CMCL has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.

CMCL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$8.32$16.1+94%
2021$16.1$11.1-31%
2022$11.1$12.4+11%
2023$12.4$12.2-1.3%
2024$12.2$9.34-23%
2025$9.34$27.9+199%
2026 YTD$27.9$20.2-28%

CMCL has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 28% so far in 2026.

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