CLW

Clearwater Paper Corporation

40
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation6/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

CLW's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 107x earnings, about 11 times its usual 10x. Analysts expect losses to shrink, though they disagree widely on how much.

CLW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Weak

CLW's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

CLW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE194x389x583x777x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE194x389x583x777x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap2.8x$0.36-97%
Fair10x$1.30-91%
Expensive28x$3.65-74%
Current107x$13.97—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CLW's PE is in its expensive range at 107x.

CLW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect CLW's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CLW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$20.73
Downside-37%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $13.97 on Nov 12.

CLW's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +48% against −37%.

CLW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.30Q1 2024: $5.92Q2 2024: $2.62Q3 2024: $0.80Q4 2024: $11.73Q1 2025: $10.33Q2 2025: $12.05Q3 2025: $8.40Q4 2025: $-1.15Q1 2026: $-1.57Q2 2026: $-3.07Q3 2026: $0.13
Q4 2023: $6.30Q1 2024: $5.92Q2 2024: $2.62Q3 2024: $0.80Q4 2024: $11.73Q1 2025: $10.33Q2 2025: $12.05Q3 2025: $8.40Q4 2025: $-1.15Q1 2026: $-1.57Q2 2026: $-3.07Q3 2026: $0.13
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.13-98%
Q2 2026-$3.07-125%
Q1 2026-$1.57-115%
Q4 2025-$1.15-110%
Q3 2025$8.40+950%
Q2 2025$12.05+360%
Q1 2025$10.33+74%
Q4 2024$11.73+86%

CLW's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.13 over the past year, against $12.05 in mid-2025.

CLW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $513MQ1 2024: $496MQ2 2024: $586MQ3 2024: $393MQ4 2024: $387MQ1 2025: $378MQ2 2025: $392MQ3 2025: $399MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $360MQ2 2026: $375MQ3 2026: $385M
Q4 2023: $513MQ1 2024: $496MQ2 2024: $586MQ3 2024: $393MQ4 2024: $387MQ1 2025: $378MQ2 2025: $392MQ3 2025: $399MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $360MQ2 2026: $375MQ3 2026: $385M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$384.9M-3.5%
Q2 2026$374.8M-4.3%
Q1 2026$360.3M-4.7%
Q4 2025$386.4M-0.2%
Q3 2025$399M+1.4%
Q2 2025$391.8M-33%
Q1 2025$378.2M-24%
Q4 2024$387.1M-25%

CLW's revenue fell from its 2024 peak and has held roughly level since: $385M last quarter, down 3.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

CLW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $41MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: −$31MQ4 2024: −$68MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$51MQ3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: −$10MQ1 2026: −$9MQ2 2026: $59MQ3 2026: $16M
Q4 2023: $41MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: −$31MQ4 2024: −$68MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$51MQ3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: −$10MQ1 2026: −$9MQ2 2026: $59MQ3 2026: $16M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$15.9M+1.3%
Q2 2026$59.4M+$110.5M
Q1 2026-$8.6M+$22.6M
Q4 2025-$9.9M+$58.2M
Q3 2025$15.7M+$46.5M
Q2 2025-$51.1M-1803%
Q1 2025-$31.2M-177%
Q4 2024-$68.1M-268%

CLW's free cash flow has turned positive again: $57M over the past year, against −$135M the year before.

CLW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 17MQ3 2024: 17MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 16MQ3 2026: 16M
Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 17MQ3 2024: 17MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 16MQ3 2026: 16M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+8K shares
1 year0%-8K shares
3 years-4.9%-824K shares
5 years-3.3%-551K shares
Available history-2.4%-399K shares

CLW has 16M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CLW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 5.4xQ3 2024: 7.5xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 4.1xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 12.1xQ4 2025: 6.3xQ1 2026: 7.2xQ2 2026: 22.5xQ3 2026: 7.7x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 5.4xQ3 2024: 7.5xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 4.1xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 12.1xQ4 2025: 6.3xQ1 2026: 7.2xQ2 2026: 22.5xQ3 2026: 7.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.7xHigh
Q2 202622.5xHigh
Q1 20267.2xHigh
Q4 20256.3xHigh
Q3 202512.1xHigh
Q2 20253.5xElevated
Q1 20254.1xHigh
Q4 20242.2xModerate

CLW's net debt is about 7.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 12 years a year ago.

CLW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.6Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

CLW's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

CLW PE vs Basic Materials Sector

MetricCLWSector medianRelative
PE107x19x477% above
PE %904050 pts above

CLW is trading at 107x earnings, a 477% premium to the Basic Materials sector's median of 19x.

CLW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$17.319% below
20 week MA$18.725% below
50 week MA$17.118% below
100 week MA$21.134% below
200 week MA$28.751% below

CLW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 51% below its 200-week average.

CLW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.4$37.5+76%
2021$37.5$36.1-3.9%
2022$36.1$37.1+3%
2023$37.1$36.1-2.7%
2024$36.1$30.4-16%
2025$30.4$18.0-41%
2026 YTD$18.0$14.0-22%

CLW has finished three years in a row lower, and it's down 22% so far in 2026.

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