CION

CION Investment Corporation

There isn't enough reported data to score CION yet.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

CION Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Stable
N/A
N/A

CION's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CION.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

CION PE Valuation

CION has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

CION Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Decline
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect CION's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over CION on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

CION Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $6.14 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CION and MS's risk to reward.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CION and MS's risk to reward.

CION Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.74Q1 2024: $2.43Q2 2024: $2.33Q3 2024: $1.46Q4 2024: $0.63Q1 2025: $-0.29Q2 2025: $-0.19Q3 2025: $0.51Q4 2025: $-0.39Q1 2026: $-0.04Q2 2026: $0.06Q3 2026: $-0.70Forward: $1.18
Q4 2023: $1.74Q1 2024: $2.43Q2 2024: $2.33Q3 2024: $1.46Q4 2024: $0.63Q1 2025: $-0.29Q2 2025: $-0.19Q3 2025: $0.51Q4 2025: $-0.39Q1 2026: $-0.04Q2 2026: $0.06Q3 2026: $-0.70Forward: $1.18
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.18—
Q3 2026-$0.70-237%
Q2 2026$0.06+$0.25
Q1 2026-$0.04+$0.25
Q4 2025-$0.39-162%
Q3 2025$0.51-65%
Q2 2025-$0.19-108%
Q1 2025-$0.29-112%
Q4 2024$0.63-64%

CION has swung to a loss: it lost $0.70 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over CION on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CION Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$12.1M-69%
Q1 2022$19.3M-68%
Q4 2021$27.4M-52%
Q3 2021$36.7M-9.9%
Q2 2021$39.1M+28%
Q4 2020$56.9M+32%

MS has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 69% for CION versus up 12% for MS.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

CION Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$55MQ1 2024: $96MQ2 2024: −$17MQ3 2024: $52MQ4 2024: −$43MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $43MQ3 2025: $44MQ4 2025: −$17MQ1 2026: −$5MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $307M
Q4 2023: −$55MQ1 2024: $96MQ2 2024: −$17MQ3 2024: $52MQ4 2024: −$43MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $43MQ3 2025: $44MQ4 2025: −$17MQ1 2026: −$5MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $307M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$306.8M+591%
Q2 2026$21.6M-50%
Q1 2026-$4.6M-175%
Q4 2025-$17.1M+$26.3M
Q3 2025$44.4M-15%
Q2 2025$43.5M+$60.2M
Q1 2025$6.1M-94%
Q4 2024-$43.4M+$11.2M

CION has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

CION Total Shares

Q4 2023: 54MQ1 2024: 54MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 53MQ4 2024: 53MQ1 2025: 53MQ2 2025: 53MQ3 2025: 52MQ4 2025: 52MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 49M
Q4 2023: 54MQ1 2024: 54MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 53MQ4 2024: 53MQ1 2025: 53MQ2 2025: 53MQ3 2025: 52MQ4 2025: 52MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 49M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-458K shares
1 year-5.5%-2.9M shares
3 years-9.8%-5.4M shares
5 years-13%-7.5M shares
Available history-14%-7.9M shares

CION has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

CION Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202213.0xHigh
Q1 202211.0xHigh
Q4 20216.9xHigh
Q3 20215.3xHigh
Q2 20215.1xHigh
Q1 20214.9xHigh
Q4 201915.2xHigh

CION's net debt is about 13 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.1 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CION.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

CION Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.2Neutral
Stochastic26.9Neutral

CION's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

CION PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIONSector medianRelative
PE113x13x767% above
PE %946529 pts above

CION has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS has the edge over CION on valuation relative to its sector.

CION Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.708.4% below
20 week MA$6.799.6% below
50 week MA$7.5018% below
100 week MA$8.9131% below
200 week MA$9.9939% below

CION is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 39% below its 200-week average.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over CION on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CION Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$12.0$12.9+7.9%
2022$12.9$10.3-20%
2023$10.3$11.3+9.9%
2024$11.3$11.4+0.7%
2025$11.4$9.59-16%
2026 YTD$9.59$6.14-36%

CION is down 36% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in three of the previous five years.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over CION on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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