CIFR

Cipher Mining Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.

XP

XP Inc.

55
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potentialUnknown
Risk potentialUnknown

XP's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 8.2%, while its operating margin held steady at 32%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

CIFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.

XP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

XP's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like XP.

CIFR PE Valuation

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

XP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x62x94x125x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x62x94x125x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current8.3x$15.04—
Cheap10x$18.35+22%
Fair15x$27.61+84%
Expensive59x$106+606%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

XP's PE is 8.3x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

CIFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

CIFR has the edge over XP on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

XP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect XP's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady.

CIFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $7.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and XP's risk to reward.

XP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $15.04 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and XP's risk to reward.

CIFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.06-$2.86
Q2 2026-$2.85-$2.40
Q1 2026-$2.32-$1.94
Q4 2025-$2.15-$2.01
Q3 2025-$0.20-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.45-850%
Q1 2025-$0.38-733%
Q4 2024-$0.14-$0.04

CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

XP Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.19Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $1.35Q2 2024: $1.39Q3 2024: $1.43Q4 2024: $1.48Q1 2025: $1.55Q2 2025: $1.63Q3 2025: $1.68Q4 2025: $1.74Q1 2026: $1.76Q2 2026: $1.81
Q3 2023: $1.19Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $1.35Q2 2024: $1.39Q3 2024: $1.43Q4 2024: $1.48Q1 2025: $1.55Q2 2025: $1.63Q3 2025: $1.68Q4 2025: $1.74Q1 2026: $1.76Q2 2026: $1.81
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$1.81+11%
Q1 2026$1.76+14%
Q4 2025$1.74+18%
Q3 2025$1.68+17%
Q2 2025$1.63+17%
Q1 2025$1.55+15%
Q4 2024$1.48+16%
Q3 2024$1.43+20%

XP has the edge over CIFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CIFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.7M-63%
Q2 2026$24.8M-43%
Q1 2026$34.8M-29%
Q4 2025$59.7M+41%
Q3 2025$71.7M+198%
Q2 2025$43.6M+18%
Q1 2025$49M+1.7%
Q4 2024$42.2M-2.8%

CIFR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $27M last quarter, down 63% from the same quarter a year ago.

XP Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $770MQ4 2023: $731MQ1 2024: $749MQ2 2024: $835MQ3 2024: $780MQ4 2024: $851MQ1 2025: $773MQ2 2025: $785MQ3 2025: $822MQ4 2025: $906MQ1 2026: $826MQ2 2026: $894M
Q3 2023: $770MQ4 2023: $731MQ1 2024: $749MQ2 2024: $835MQ3 2024: $780MQ4 2024: $851MQ1 2025: $773MQ2 2025: $785MQ3 2025: $822MQ4 2025: $906MQ1 2026: $826MQ2 2026: $894M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$894.2M+14%
Q1 2026$826.4M+6.9%
Q4 2025$906.4M+6.5%
Q3 2025$822.2M+5.5%
Q2 2025$784.5M-6%
Q1 2025$773.3M+3.3%
Q4 2024$850.9M+16%
Q3 2024$779.6M+1.3%

XP has the edge over CIFR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.7B-$1.4B
Q2 2026-$653.8M-$566.3M
Q1 2026-$462.5M-$390.7M
Q4 2025-$280.3M-$204.2M
Q3 2025-$256.2M-$173.1M
Q2 2025-$87.5M-$54.3M
Q1 2025-$71.8M-$37.3M
Q4 2024-$76.1M+$38M

CIFR's free cash flow was −$3.1B over the past year, against −$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

XP Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$254MQ4 2023: $749MQ1 2024: −$607MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $818MQ4 2024: $679MQ1 2025: −$475MQ2 2025: $832MQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: −$437MQ1 2026: $124MQ2 2026: $2B
Q3 2023: −$254MQ4 2023: $749MQ1 2024: −$607MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $818MQ4 2024: $679MQ1 2025: −$475MQ2 2025: $832MQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: −$437MQ1 2026: $124MQ2 2026: $2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$2B+139%
Q1 2026$124.3M+$599.5M
Q4 2025-$437.1M-164%
Q3 2025$2.2B+166%
Q2 2025$832.5M-22%
Q1 2025-$475.2M+$132.3M
Q4 2024$679M-9.3%
Q3 2024$818M+$1.1B

XP has the edge over CIFR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CIFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+30.3M shares
1 year+12%+46.5M shares
3 years+75%+188M shares
5 years+102%+222M shares

CIFR has 440M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago, despite $151M in buybacks over the past year.

XP Total Shares

Q3 2023: 554MQ4 2023: 554MQ1 2024: 548MQ2 2024: 551MQ3 2024: 546MQ4 2024: 540MQ1 2025: 540MQ2 2025: 536MQ3 2025: 535MQ4 2025: 520MQ1 2026: 525MQ2 2026: 521M
Q3 2023: 554MQ4 2023: 554MQ1 2024: 548MQ2 2024: 551MQ3 2024: 546MQ4 2024: 540MQ1 2025: 540MQ2 2025: 536MQ3 2025: 535MQ4 2025: 520MQ1 2026: 525MQ2 2026: 521M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-4.8M shares
1 year-2.8%-15.3M shares
3 years-2.1%-11M shares
5 years-9%-51.7M shares
Available history-5.7%-31.3M shares

XP has the edge over CIFR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025125.4xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.1xNet Cash

CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

XP Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 8.5xQ4 2023: 13.5xQ1 2024: 9.2xQ2 2024: 8.8xQ3 2024: 8.0xQ4 2024: 17.6xQ1 2025: 8.4xQ2 2025: 10.2xQ3 2025: 9.7xQ4 2025: 11.9xQ1 2026: 12.8xQ2 2026: 12.9x
Q3 2023: 8.5xQ4 2023: 13.5xQ1 2024: 9.2xQ2 2024: 8.8xQ3 2024: 8.0xQ4 2024: 17.6xQ1 2025: 8.4xQ2 2025: 10.2xQ3 2025: 9.7xQ4 2025: 11.9xQ1 2026: 12.8xQ2 2026: 12.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202612.9xHigh
Q1 202612.8xHigh
Q4 202511.9xHigh
Q3 20259.7xHigh
Q2 202510.2xHigh
Q1 20258.4xHigh
Q4 202417.6xHigh
Q3 20248.0xHigh

XP's net debt is about 13 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 10 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like XP.

CIFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

XP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.4Neutral
Stochastic5.5Oversold

XP's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIFRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

XP PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricXPSector medianRelative
PE8.3x13x36% below
PE %26361 pts below

XP is trading at 8.3x earnings, a 36% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

CIFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.633% below
20 week MA$15.554% below
50 week MA$17.058% below
100 week MA$12.241% below
200 week MA$7.869% below

CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.

XP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$22.333% below
20 week MA$19.422% below
50 week MA$18.719% below
100 week MA$17.614% below
200 week MA$18.820% below

XP is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 20% below its 200-week average.

CIFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.92$9.95+0.3%
2021$9.95$5.21-48%
2022$5.21$0.54-90%
2023$0.54$4.13+665%
2024$4.13$4.86+18%
2025$4.86$15.2+213%
2026 YTD$15.2$7.15-53%

CIFR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +665% in 2023 to −90% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

XP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2019$37.7$38.5+2.1%
2020$38.5$41.4+7.4%
2021$41.4$29.8-28%
2022$29.8$15.5-48%
2023$15.5$26.1+68%
2024$26.1$12.1-54%
2025$12.1$16.4+36%
2026 YTD$16.4$15.0-8.5%

XP has the edge over CIFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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