CIFR

Cipher Mining Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.

PAX

Patria Investments Limited

43
Fundamentals38/ 100
Valuation53/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

PAX's fundamentals are weak: its operating margin fell 13 points to 29% and earnings per share fell 18%, though revenue grew 8.3%. At 20x earnings, it's trading below its usual 23x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

CIFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.

PAX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

PAX's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PAX.

CIFR PE Valuation

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PAX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x25x38x50x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x25x38x50x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward6.9x$9.18—
Cheap17x$7.80-15%
Current20x$9.18—
Fair23x$10.23+11%
Expensive29x$12.85+40%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PAX's PE is in its fair range at 20x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 6.9x, in its cheap range.

CIFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

CIFR has the edge over PAX on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

PAX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect PAX's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

CIFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $7.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and PAX's risk to reward.

PAX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$11.18
Downside-16%$7.68

Calculated from the latest close: $9.18 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and PAX's risk to reward.

CIFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.06-$2.86
Q2 2026-$2.85-$2.40
Q1 2026-$2.32-$1.94
Q4 2025-$2.15-$2.01
Q3 2025-$0.20-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.45-850%
Q1 2025-$0.38-733%
Q4 2024-$0.14-$0.04

CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

PAX Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.80Q4 2023: $0.79Q1 2024: $0.77Q2 2024: $0.54Q3 2024: $0.43Q4 2024: $0.49Q1 2025: $0.47Q2 2025: $0.55Q3 2025: $0.69Q4 2025: $0.54Q1 2026: $0.47Q2 2026: $0.45Forward: $1.33
Q3 2023: $0.80Q4 2023: $0.79Q1 2024: $0.77Q2 2024: $0.54Q3 2024: $0.43Q4 2024: $0.49Q1 2025: $0.47Q2 2025: $0.55Q3 2025: $0.69Q4 2025: $0.54Q1 2026: $0.47Q2 2026: $0.45Forward: $1.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.33+196%
Q2 2026$0.45-18%
Q1 2026$0.470%
Q4 2025$0.54+10%
Q3 2025$0.69+60%
Q2 2025$0.55+1.9%
Q1 2025$0.47-39%
Q4 2024$0.49-38%
Q3 2024$0.43-46%

PAX has the edge over CIFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CIFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.7M-63%
Q2 2026$24.8M-43%
Q1 2026$34.8M-29%
Q4 2025$59.7M+41%
Q3 2025$71.7M+198%
Q2 2025$43.6M+18%
Q1 2025$49M+1.7%
Q4 2024$42.2M-2.8%

CIFR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $27M last quarter, down 63% from the same quarter a year ago.

PAX Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $64MQ4 2023: $112MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $75MQ3 2024: $78MQ4 2024: $157MQ1 2025: $80MQ2 2025: $83MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $98MQ2 2026: $111M
Q3 2023: $64MQ4 2023: $112MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $75MQ3 2024: $78MQ4 2024: $157MQ1 2025: $80MQ2 2025: $83MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $98MQ2 2026: $111M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$111.3M+35%
Q1 2026$98.2M+23%
Q4 2025$134.4M-15%
Q3 2025$86.5M+11%
Q2 2025$82.5M+10%
Q1 2025$79.6M+25%
Q4 2024$157.2M+41%
Q3 2024$78.1M+23%

PAX has the edge over CIFR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.7B-$1.4B
Q2 2026-$653.8M-$566.3M
Q1 2026-$462.5M-$390.7M
Q4 2025-$280.3M-$204.2M
Q3 2025-$256.2M-$173.1M
Q2 2025-$87.5M-$54.3M
Q1 2025-$71.8M-$37.3M
Q4 2024-$76.1M+$38M

CIFR's free cash flow was −$3.1B over the past year, against −$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

PAX Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $38MQ4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $40MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $67MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $98MQ2 2025: $73MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $36M
Q3 2023: $38MQ4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $40MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $67MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $98MQ2 2025: $73MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $36M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$35.5M-51%
Q1 2026$28.4M-71%
Q4 2025$32.3M+40%
Q3 2025$52.1M-22%
Q2 2025$72.9M+879%
Q1 2025$97.8M+144%
Q4 2024$23.1M-29%
Q3 2024$67M+75%

PAX has the edge over CIFR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CIFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+30.3M shares
1 year+12%+46.5M shares
3 years+75%+188M shares
5 years+102%+222M shares

CIFR has 440M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago, despite $151M in buybacks over the past year.

PAX Total Shares

Q3 2023: 148MQ4 2023: 149MQ1 2024: 152MQ2 2024: 152MQ3 2024: 153MQ4 2024: 154MQ1 2025: 158MQ2 2025: 158MQ3 2025: 153MQ4 2025: 158MQ1 2026: 159MQ2 2026: 160M
Q3 2023: 148MQ4 2023: 149MQ1 2024: 152MQ2 2024: 152MQ3 2024: 153MQ4 2024: 154MQ1 2025: 158MQ2 2025: 158MQ3 2025: 153MQ4 2025: 158MQ1 2026: 159MQ2 2026: 160M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+953K shares
1 year+0.9%+1.5M shares
3 years+7.7%+11.4M shares
5 years+19%+25.6M shares
Available history+36%+42.6M shares

PAX has the edge over CIFR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025125.4xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.1xNet Cash

CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

PAX Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 2.2x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.2xModerate
Q1 20261.3xHealthy
Q4 20250.9xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20251.0xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.5xHealthy
Q3 20241.1xHealthy

PAX's net debt is about 2.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from a year a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PAX.

CIFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

PAX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.2Neutral
Stochastic8.1Oversold

PAX's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIFRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PAX PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPAXSector medianRelative
PE20x13x57% above
PE %406222 pts below

PAX is trading at 20x earnings, a 57% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CIFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.633% below
20 week MA$15.554% below
50 week MA$17.058% below
100 week MA$12.241% below
200 week MA$7.869% below

CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.

PAX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.412% below
20 week MA$10.815% below
50 week MA$12.426% below
100 week MA$12.627% below
200 week MA$13.231% below

PAX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

CIFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.92$9.95+0.3%
2021$9.95$5.21-48%
2022$5.21$0.54-90%
2023$0.54$4.13+665%
2024$4.13$4.86+18%
2025$4.86$15.2+213%
2026 YTD$15.2$7.15-53%

CIFR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +665% in 2023 to −90% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

PAX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$19.9$16.5-17%
2022$16.5$13.7-17%
2023$13.7$15.5+13%
2024$15.5$11.6-25%
2025$11.6$16.2+39%
2026 YTD$16.2$9.18-43%

PAX has the edge over CIFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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