CIFR
Cipher Mining Inc.
There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.
NCDL
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.
NCDL's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 12x earnings, above its usual 7.5x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.
CIFR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.
NCDL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
NCDL's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NCDL.
CIFR PE Valuation
CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NCDL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.9x | $6.95 | -41% |
| Fair | 7.5x | $7.58 | -35% |
| Forward | 7.6x | $11.75 | — |
| Expensive | 9x | $9.13 | -22% |
| Current | 12x | $11.75 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NCDL's PE is in its expensive range at 12x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 7.6x, in its fair range.
CIFR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
CIFR has the edge over NCDL on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
NCDL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect NCDL's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.
CIFR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.06 | -$2.86 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.85 | -$2.40 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.32 | -$1.94 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.15 | -$2.01 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.20 | -$0.07 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.45 | -850% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.38 | -733% |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.14 | -$0.04 |
CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.
NCDL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.56 | +54% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.01 | -49% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.12 | -47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -32% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.86 | -18% |
| Q3 2023 | $2.07 | +111% |
| Q2 2023 | $1.69 | +26% |
| Q1 2023 | $0.97 | -51% |
| Q4 2022 | $0.70 | -66% |
NCDL has the edge over CIFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
CIFR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $26.7M | -63% |
| Q2 2026 | $24.8M | -43% |
| Q1 2026 | $34.8M | -29% |
| Q4 2025 | $59.7M | +41% |
| Q3 2025 | $71.7M | +198% |
| Q2 2025 | $43.6M | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $49M | +1.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.2M | -2.8% |
NCDL has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 63% for CIFR versus up 54% for NCDL.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -269% | -217 points |
| Q2 2026 | -316% | -212 points |
| Q1 2026 | -329% | -251 points |
| Q4 2025 | -503% | -544 points |
| Q3 2025 | -52% | +327 points |
| Q2 2025 | -104% | -60 points |
| Q1 2025 | -78% | -175 points |
| Q4 2024 | 40% | +4 points |
CIFR's operating margin was −269% last quarter, down 217 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NCDL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | $20.1M | +54% |
| Q3 2022 | $14.2M | +38% |
| Q2 2022 | $16.5M | +120% |
| Q1 2022 | $14.2M | +125% |
| Q4 2021 | $13M | +162% |
| Q3 2021 | $10.3M | +232% |
| Q2 2021 | $7.5M | +175% |
| Q1 2021 | $6.3M | +116% |
NCDL's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $20M last quarter, up 54% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | 36% | -57 points |
| Q3 2022 | 42% | -66 points |
| Q2 2022 | 9.2% | -94 points |
| Q1 2022 | 69% | -27 points |
| Q4 2021 | 93% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2021 | 108% | -68 points |
| Q2 2021 | 104% | +161 points |
| Q1 2021 | 96% | +167 points |
NCDL's operating margin was 36% last quarter, down 57 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CIFR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.7B | -$1.4B |
| Q2 2026 | -$653.8M | -$566.3M |
| Q1 2026 | -$462.5M | -$390.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$280.3M | -$204.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$256.2M | -$173.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$87.5M | -$54.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$71.8M | -$37.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$76.1M | +$38M |
CIFR's free cash flow was −$3.1B over the past year, against −$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.
NCDL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $63.6M | +71% |
| Q2 2026 | $61M | -56% |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.7M | -$4.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $28.6M | +138% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.3M | +$79.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $137.1M | +$306.5M |
| Q1 2025 | -$8.8M | +$88.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $12M | +$146.7M |
NCDL has the edge over CIFR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
CIFR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.4% | +30.3M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +46.5M shares |
| 3 years | +75% | +188M shares |
| 5 years | +102% | +222M shares |
CIFR has 440M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago, despite $151M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $19.7M |
| Q2 2026 | $45.2M |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $82.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $3M |
| Q2 2025 | $3.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $16.9M |
CIFR spent $151M buying back its own shares over the past year, about six times what it spent the year before.
NCDL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | 0% | -16.6K shares |
| 3 years | +122% | +27.2M shares |
| 5 years | +1148% | +45.4M shares |
NCDL has the edge over CIFR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7M |
| Q2 2025 | $26M |
| Q1 2025 | $37.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $22.5M |
NCDL hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
CIFR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | 125.4x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2024 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2023 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2023 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.
NCDL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | 26.9x | High |
| Q3 2022 | 21.1x | High |
| Q2 2022 | 15.9x | High |
| Q1 2022 | 10.2x | High |
| Q4 2021 | 10.0x | High |
| Q3 2021 | 11.5x | High |
| Q2 2021 | 10.8x | High |
| Q1 2021 | 12.8x | High |
NCDL's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 10 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NCDL.
CIFR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.8 | Oversold |
CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
NCDL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 47.6 | Neutral |
NCDL's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 48 (neutral).
CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | CIFR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 13x | — |
CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NCDL PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | NCDL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 13x | 11% below |
| PE % | 99 | 36 | 63 pts above |
NCDL is trading at 12x earnings, a 11% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
CIFR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $10.6 | 33% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.5 | 54% below |
| 50 week MA | $17.0 | 58% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.2 | 41% below |
| 200 week MA | $7.86 | 9% below |
NCDL has stronger trend alignment. CIFR is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus NCDL above 1 of 4.
NCDL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $11.2 | 5.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $11.9 | 1.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $12.9 | 8.6% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.4 | 19% below |
NCDL has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 19% below its 100-week average.
CIFR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.92 | $9.95 | +0.3% |
| 2021 | $9.95 | $5.21 | -48% |
| 2022 | $5.21 | $0.54 | -90% |
| 2023 | $0.54 | $4.13 | +665% |
| 2024 | $4.13 | $4.86 | +18% |
| 2025 | $4.86 | $15.2 | +213% |
| 2026 YTD | $15.2 | $7.15 | -53% |
CIFR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +665% in 2023 to −90% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.
NCDL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $17.9 | $17.1 | -4.4% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $13.8 | -19% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.8 | $11.8 | -15% |
NCDL has the edge over CIFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.