CIFR

Cipher Mining Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.

MC

Moelis & Company

58
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation59/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

MC's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 14%, but earnings per share fell 1.7%. At 19x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 21x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

CIFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.

MC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

MC's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MC.

CIFR PE Valuation

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE125x251x376x502x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE125x251x376x502x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$35.85-36%
Forward16x$56.01—
Current19x$56.01—
Fair20x$60.15+7.4%
Expensive38x$112+101%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MC's PE is in its fair range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.

CIFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect CIFR's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CIFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $7.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and MC's risk to reward.

MC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+44%$80.41
Downside-13%$48.79

Calculated from the latest close: $56.01 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and MC's risk to reward.

CIFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.06-$2.86
Q2 2026-$2.85-$2.40
Q1 2026-$2.32-$1.94
Q4 2025-$2.15-$2.01
Q3 2025-$0.20-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.45-850%
Q1 2025-$0.38-733%
Q4 2024-$0.14-$0.04

CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

MC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.19Q2 2024: $0.15Q3 2024: $0.53Q4 2024: $1.76Q1 2025: $2.18Q2 2025: $2.54Q3 2025: $2.99Q4 2025: $2.94Q1 2026: $2.78Q2 2026: $2.87Q3 2026: $2.94Forward: $3.55
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.19Q2 2024: $0.15Q3 2024: $0.53Q4 2024: $1.76Q1 2025: $2.18Q2 2025: $2.54Q3 2025: $2.99Q4 2025: $2.94Q1 2026: $2.78Q2 2026: $2.87Q3 2026: $2.94Forward: $3.55
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.55+21%
Q3 2026$2.94-1.7%
Q2 2026$2.87+13%
Q1 2026$2.78+28%
Q4 2025$2.94+67%
Q3 2025$2.99+464%
Q2 2025$2.54+1593%
Q1 2025$2.18+$2.37
Q4 2024$1.76+$2.12

MC has the edge over CIFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CIFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.7M-63%
Q2 2026$24.8M-43%
Q1 2026$34.8M-29%
Q4 2025$59.7M+41%
Q3 2025$71.7M+198%
Q2 2025$43.6M+18%
Q1 2025$49M+1.7%
Q4 2024$42.2M-2.8%

CIFR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $27M last quarter, down 63% from the same quarter a year ago.

MC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $215MQ1 2024: $217MQ2 2024: $265MQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $439MQ1 2025: $307MQ2 2025: $365MQ3 2025: $357MQ4 2025: $488MQ1 2026: $320MQ2 2026: $409MQ3 2026: --
Q4 2023: $215MQ1 2024: $217MQ2 2024: $265MQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $439MQ1 2025: $307MQ2 2025: $365MQ3 2025: $357MQ4 2025: $488MQ1 2026: $320MQ2 2026: $409MQ3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$409.4M+12%
Q1 2026$319.8M+4.3%
Q4 2025$487.9M+11%
Q3 2025$356.9M+30%
Q2 2025$365.4M+38%
Q1 2025$306.6M+41%
Q4 2024$438.7M+104%
Q3 2024$273.8M+0.6%

MC has the edge over CIFR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.7B-$1.4B
Q2 2026-$653.8M-$566.3M
Q1 2026-$462.5M-$390.7M
Q4 2025-$280.3M-$204.2M
Q3 2025-$256.2M-$173.1M
Q2 2025-$87.5M-$54.3M
Q1 2025-$71.8M-$37.3M
Q4 2024-$76.1M+$38M

CIFR's free cash flow was −$3.1B over the past year, against −$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

MC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $94MQ1 2024: −$170MQ2 2024: $138MQ3 2024: $135MQ4 2024: $313MQ1 2025: −$169MQ2 2025: $199MQ3 2025: $180MQ4 2025: $330MQ1 2026: −$292MQ2 2026: $218MQ3 2026: $250M
Q4 2023: $94MQ1 2024: −$170MQ2 2024: $138MQ3 2024: $135MQ4 2024: $313MQ1 2025: −$169MQ2 2025: $199MQ3 2025: $180MQ4 2025: $330MQ1 2026: −$292MQ2 2026: $218MQ3 2026: $250M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$250.2M+39%
Q2 2026$218M+9.3%
Q1 2026-$291.6M-$123M
Q4 2025$329.6M+5.3%
Q3 2025$179.6M+33%
Q2 2025$199.4M+45%
Q1 2025-$168.6M+$1.8M
Q4 2024$313M+233%

MC has the edge over CIFR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CIFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+30.3M shares
1 year+12%+46.5M shares
3 years+75%+188M shares
5 years+102%+222M shares

CIFR has 440M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago, despite $151M in buybacks over the past year.

MC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 69MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 76MQ3 2024: 77MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 79MQ2 2025: 79MQ3 2025: 79MQ4 2025: 80MQ1 2026: 79MQ2 2026: 79MQ3 2026: 78M
Q4 2023: 69MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 76MQ3 2024: 77MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 79MQ2 2025: 79MQ3 2025: 79MQ4 2025: 80MQ1 2026: 79MQ2 2026: 79MQ3 2026: 78M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.7%-1.4M shares
1 year-1.3%-994K shares
3 years+14%+9.3M shares
5 years+14%+9.8M shares
Available history+39%+21.7M shares

MC has the edge over CIFR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025125.4xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.1xNet Cash

CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

MC Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 10.5xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q2 2024: 10.5xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.4xVery low
Q4 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 20250.2xVery low
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

MC has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MC.

CIFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

MC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.7Neutral
Stochastic30.3Neutral

MC's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).

CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIFRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMCSector medianRelative
PE19x13x46% above
PE %446319 pts below

MC is trading at 19x earnings, a 46% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CIFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.633% below
20 week MA$15.554% below
50 week MA$17.058% below
100 week MA$12.241% below
200 week MA$7.869% below

CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.

MC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$56.61% below
20 week MA$62.610% below
50 week MA$64.513% below
100 week MA$65.314% below
200 week MA$59.05.1% below

MC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 5.1% below its 200-week average.

CIFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.92$9.95+0.3%
2021$9.95$5.21-48%
2022$5.21$0.54-90%
2023$0.54$4.13+665%
2024$4.13$4.86+18%
2025$4.86$15.2+213%
2026 YTD$15.2$7.15-53%

CIFR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +665% in 2023 to −90% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

MC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.8$47.2+44%
2021$47.2$62.4+32%
2022$62.4$39.0-37%
2023$39.0$56.1+44%
2024$56.1$74.5+33%
2025$74.5$71.6-3.9%
2026 YTD$71.6$56.0-22%

MC has the edge over CIFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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