CIFR

Cipher Mining Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.

IBM

International Business Machines Corporation

65
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

IBM's fundamentals are strong: it turned 21% of its revenue into free cash flow and earnings per share grew 40%. At 21x earnings, it's trading below its usual 23x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

CIFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.

IBM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Under pressure

IBM's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

CIFR PE Valuation

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

IBM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x56x85x113x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x56x85x113x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$194-21%
Forward19x$245—
Current21x$245—
Fair23x$274+12%
Expensive46x$538+120%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IBM's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

CIFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

CIFR has the edge over IBM on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

IBM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect IBM's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

CIFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $7.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and IBM's risk to reward.

IBM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$307.43
Downside-15%$206.85

Calculated from the latest close: $244.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and IBM's risk to reward.

CIFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.06-$2.86
Q2 2026-$2.85-$2.40
Q1 2026-$2.32-$1.94
Q4 2025-$2.15-$2.01
Q3 2025-$0.20-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.45-850%
Q1 2025-$0.38-733%
Q4 2024-$0.14-$0.04

CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

IBM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.14Q1 2024: $8.85Q2 2024: $9.09Q3 2024: $6.89Q4 2024: $6.43Q1 2025: $5.83Q2 2025: $6.18Q3 2025: $8.38Q4 2025: $11.17Q1 2026: $11.33Q2 2026: $11.29Q3 2026: $11.75Forward: $13.06
Q4 2023: $8.14Q1 2024: $8.85Q2 2024: $9.09Q3 2024: $6.89Q4 2024: $6.43Q1 2025: $5.83Q2 2025: $6.18Q3 2025: $8.38Q4 2025: $11.17Q1 2026: $11.33Q2 2026: $11.29Q3 2026: $11.75Forward: $13.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.06+11%
Q3 2026$11.75+40%
Q2 2026$11.29+83%
Q1 2026$11.33+94%
Q4 2025$11.17+74%
Q3 2025$8.38+22%
Q2 2025$6.18-32%
Q1 2025$5.83-34%
Q4 2024$6.43-21%

IBM has the edge over CIFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CIFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.7M-63%
Q2 2026$24.8M-43%
Q1 2026$34.8M-29%
Q4 2025$59.7M+41%
Q3 2025$71.7M+198%
Q2 2025$43.6M+18%
Q1 2025$49M+1.7%
Q4 2024$42.2M-2.8%

CIFR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $27M last quarter, down 63% from the same quarter a year ago.

IBM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.4BQ1 2024: $14.5BQ2 2024: $15.8BQ3 2024: $15BQ4 2024: $17.6BQ1 2025: $14.5BQ2 2025: $17BQ3 2025: $16.3BQ4 2025: $19.7BQ1 2026: $15.9BQ2 2026: $17.2BQ3 2026: $17.1B
Q4 2023: $17.4BQ1 2024: $14.5BQ2 2024: $15.8BQ3 2024: $15BQ4 2024: $17.6BQ1 2025: $14.5BQ2 2025: $17BQ3 2025: $16.3BQ4 2025: $19.7BQ1 2026: $15.9BQ2 2026: $17.2BQ3 2026: $17.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$17.1B+4.7%
Q2 2026$17.2B+1.1%
Q1 2026$15.9B+9.5%
Q4 2025$19.7B+12%
Q3 2025$16.3B+9.1%
Q2 2025$17B+7.7%
Q1 2025$14.5B+0.5%
Q4 2024$17.6B+1%

IBM has the edge over CIFR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.7B-$1.4B
Q2 2026-$653.8M-$566.3M
Q1 2026-$462.5M-$390.7M
Q4 2025-$280.3M-$204.2M
Q3 2025-$256.2M-$173.1M
Q2 2025-$87.5M-$54.3M
Q1 2025-$71.8M-$37.3M
Q4 2024-$76.1M+$38M

CIFR's free cash flow was −$3.1B over the past year, against −$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

IBM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4.2BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $4BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $4.9BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $4.2BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $4BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $4.9BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+31%
Q2 2026$2.4B+59%
Q1 2026$4.9B+20%
Q4 2025$3.7B-9.2%
Q3 2025$2.8B+8.9%
Q2 2025$1.5B-19%
Q1 2025$4.1B+5%
Q4 2024$4B-3.3%

IBM has the edge over CIFR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CIFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+30.3M shares
1 year+12%+46.5M shares
3 years+75%+188M shares
5 years+102%+222M shares

CIFR has 440M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago, despite $151M in buybacks over the past year.

IBM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 922MQ1 2024: 933MQ2 2024: 934MQ3 2024: 924MQ4 2024: 937MQ1 2025: 945MQ2 2025: 948MQ3 2025: 949MQ4 2025: 949MQ1 2026: 952MQ2 2026: 953MQ3 2026: 954M
Q4 2023: 922MQ1 2024: 933MQ2 2024: 934MQ3 2024: 924MQ4 2024: 937MQ1 2025: 945MQ2 2025: 948MQ3 2025: 949MQ4 2025: 949MQ1 2026: 952MQ2 2026: 953MQ3 2026: 954M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+260K shares
1 year+0.5%+4.6M shares
3 years+3.2%+29.9M shares
5 years+5.3%+47.6M shares
Available history+2.1%+19.6M shares

IBM has the edge over CIFR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025125.4xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.1xNet Cash

CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

IBM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.4xQ1 2025: 5.6xQ2 2025: 5.5xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 3.9x
Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.4xQ1 2025: 5.6xQ2 2025: 5.5xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 3.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.9xElevated
Q2 20263.9xElevated
Q1 20264.0xHigh
Q4 20253.5xElevated
Q3 20254.2xHigh
Q2 20255.5xHigh
Q1 20255.6xHigh
Q4 20244.4xHigh

IBM's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.2 years a year ago.

CIFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

IBM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.1Neutral
Stochastic74.8Neutral

IBM's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).

CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIFRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

IBM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricIBMSector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %31354 pts below

IBM is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

CIFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.633% below
20 week MA$15.554% below
50 week MA$17.058% below
100 week MA$12.241% below
200 week MA$7.869% below

CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.

IBM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$238.62.6% above
20 week MA$239.32.2% above
50 week MA$256.64.6% below
100 week MA$258.55.3% below
200 week MA$212.315% above

IBM has the edge over CIFR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CIFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.92$9.95+0.3%
2021$9.95$5.21-48%
2022$5.21$0.54-90%
2023$0.54$4.13+665%
2024$4.13$4.86+18%
2025$4.86$15.2+213%
2026 YTD$15.2$7.15-53%

CIFR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +665% in 2023 to −90% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

IBM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$129.3$119.2-7.8%
2021$119.2$130.6+9.6%
2022$130.6$141.7+8.4%
2023$141.7$163.6+15%
2024$163.6$222.8+36%
2025$222.8$305.1+37%
2026 YTD$305.1$244.7-20%

IBM has the edge over CIFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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