CIFR

Cipher Mining Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.

HTH

Hilltop Holdings Inc.

50
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation44/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

HTH's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew only 0.2%, but its operating margin fell 2 points to 15%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

CIFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.

HTH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HTH's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HTH.

CIFR PE Valuation

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HTH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.5x$15.72-56%
Fair14x$34.01-5.8%
Current15x$36.10—
Forward16x$36.10—
Expensive18x$43.63+21%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HTH's PE is in its fair range at 15x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 16x, in its expensive range.

CIFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

CIFR has the edge over HTH on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

HTH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect HTH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CIFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $7.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and HTH's risk to reward.

HTH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$42.02
Downside-13%$31.33

Calculated from the latest close: $36.10 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and HTH's risk to reward.

CIFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.06-$2.86
Q2 2026-$2.85-$2.40
Q1 2026-$2.32-$1.94
Q4 2025-$2.15-$2.01
Q3 2025-$0.20-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.45-850%
Q1 2025-$0.38-733%
Q4 2024-$0.14-$0.04

CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

HTH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.69Q1 2024: $1.71Q2 2024: $1.74Q3 2024: $1.63Q4 2024: $1.74Q1 2025: $1.97Q2 2025: $2.23Q3 2025: $2.51Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $2.64Q2 2026: $2.70Q3 2026: $2.40Forward: $2.23
Q4 2023: $1.69Q1 2024: $1.71Q2 2024: $1.74Q3 2024: $1.63Q4 2024: $1.74Q1 2025: $1.97Q2 2025: $2.23Q3 2025: $2.51Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $2.64Q2 2026: $2.70Q3 2026: $2.40Forward: $2.23
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.23-7%
Q3 2026$2.40-4.4%
Q2 2026$2.70+21%
Q1 2026$2.64+34%
Q4 2025$2.65+52%
Q3 2025$2.51+54%
Q2 2025$2.23+28%
Q1 2025$1.97+15%
Q4 2024$1.74+3%

HTH has the edge over CIFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CIFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.7M-63%
Q2 2026$24.8M-43%
Q1 2026$34.8M-29%
Q4 2025$59.7M+41%
Q3 2025$71.7M+198%
Q2 2025$43.6M+18%
Q1 2025$49M+1.7%
Q4 2024$42.2M-2.8%

CIFR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $27M last quarter, down 63% from the same quarter a year ago.

HTH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $290MQ1 2024: $285MQ2 2024: $297MQ3 2024: $305MQ4 2024: $301MQ1 2025: $318MQ2 2025: $303MQ3 2025: $330MQ4 2025: $330MQ1 2026: $301MQ2 2026: $316MQ3 2026: $310M
Q4 2023: $290MQ1 2024: $285MQ2 2024: $297MQ3 2024: $305MQ4 2024: $301MQ1 2025: $318MQ2 2025: $303MQ3 2025: $330MQ4 2025: $330MQ1 2026: $301MQ2 2026: $316MQ3 2026: $310M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$309.5M-6.3%
Q2 2026$315.8M+4.1%
Q1 2026$300.5M-5.6%
Q4 2025$329.9M+9.6%
Q3 2025$330.2M+8.1%
Q2 2025$303.3M+2.1%
Q1 2025$318.5M+12%
Q4 2024$301.1M+3.7%

HTH has the edge over CIFR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.7B-$1.4B
Q2 2026-$653.8M-$566.3M
Q1 2026-$462.5M-$390.7M
Q4 2025-$280.3M-$204.2M
Q3 2025-$256.2M-$173.1M
Q2 2025-$87.5M-$54.3M
Q1 2025-$71.8M-$37.3M
Q4 2024-$76.1M+$38M

CIFR's free cash flow was −$3.1B over the past year, against −$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

HTH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $261MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: −$437MQ3 2024: $514MQ4 2024: $122MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: −$235MQ3 2025: $271MQ4 2025: −$97MQ1 2026: −$134MQ2 2026: −$163MQ3 2026: $504M
Q4 2023: $261MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: −$437MQ3 2024: $514MQ4 2024: $122MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: −$235MQ3 2025: $271MQ4 2025: −$97MQ1 2026: −$134MQ2 2026: −$163MQ3 2026: $504M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$503.6M+86%
Q2 2026-$162.8M+$71.7M
Q1 2026-$133.9M-2757%
Q4 2025-$97M-180%
Q3 2025$271M-47%
Q2 2025-$234.6M+$202.7M
Q1 2025$5M-93%
Q4 2024$121.9M-53%

HTH has the edge over CIFR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CIFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+30.3M shares
1 year+12%+46.5M shares
3 years+75%+188M shares
5 years+102%+222M shares

CIFR has 440M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago, despite $151M in buybacks over the past year.

HTH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 65MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 65MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 64MQ3 2025: 62MQ4 2025: 63MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 58MQ3 2026: 57M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 65MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 65MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 64MQ3 2025: 62MQ4 2025: 63MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 58MQ3 2026: 57M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.4%-808K shares
1 year-8.1%-5M shares
3 years-12%-8M shares
5 years-29%-23.4M shares
Available history-38%-35.3M shares

HTH has the edge over CIFR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025125.4xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.1xNet Cash

CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

HTH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.1xQ1 2024: -4.7xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: -6.3xQ4 2024: 4.6xQ1 2025: -5.2xQ2 2025: -1.2xQ3 2025: -2.6xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: -1.9x
Q4 2023: 5.1xQ1 2024: -4.7xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: -6.3xQ4 2024: 4.6xQ1 2025: -5.2xQ2 2025: -1.2xQ3 2025: -2.6xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: -1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 20262.2xModerate
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20252.7xModerate
Q3 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q4 20244.6xHigh

HTH has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HTH.

CIFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

HTH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.6Neutral
Stochastic22.6Neutral

HTH's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIFRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HTH PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHTHSector medianRelative
PE15x13x16% above
PE %61632 pts below

HTH is trading at 15x earnings, a 16% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CIFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.633% below
20 week MA$15.554% below
50 week MA$17.058% below
100 week MA$12.241% below
200 week MA$7.869% below

CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.

HTH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$37.02.5% below
20 week MA$38.25.4% below
50 week MA$37.33.2% below
100 week MA$34.25.5% above
200 week MA$32.710% above

HTH has the edge over CIFR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CIFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.92$9.95+0.3%
2021$9.95$5.21-48%
2022$5.21$0.54-90%
2023$0.54$4.13+665%
2024$4.13$4.86+18%
2025$4.86$15.2+213%
2026 YTD$15.2$7.15-53%

CIFR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +665% in 2023 to −90% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

HTH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$24.6$27.3+11%
2021$27.3$34.7+27%
2022$34.7$29.7-14%
2023$29.7$35.2+19%
2024$35.2$28.9-18%
2025$28.9$34.6+20%
2026 YTD$34.6$36.1+4.3%

HTH has the edge over CIFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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