CIFR

Cipher Mining Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.

FRME

First Merchants Corporation

47
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation37/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

FRME's fundamentals are weak and it looks expensive: trading at 13x earnings, above its usual 11x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

CIFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.

FRME Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

FRME's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FRME.

CIFR PE Valuation

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FRME PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.7x9.5x14x19x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.7x9.5x14x19x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.8x$28.35-31%
Forward9.7x$40.94—
Fair11x$35.18-14%
Expensive13x$41.89+2.3%
Current13x$40.94—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FRME's PE is in its expensive range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.7x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

CIFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

CIFR has the edge over FRME on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

FRME Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FRME, with profitability holding steady.

CIFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $7.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and FRME's risk to reward.

FRME Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$49.15
Downside-15%$34.86

Calculated from the latest close: $40.94 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and FRME's risk to reward.

CIFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.06-$2.86
Q2 2026-$2.85-$2.40
Q1 2026-$2.32-$1.94
Q4 2025-$2.15-$2.01
Q3 2025-$0.20-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.45-850%
Q1 2025-$0.38-733%
Q4 2024-$0.14-$0.04

CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

FRME Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.73Q1 2024: $3.46Q2 2024: $3.12Q3 2024: $3.02Q4 2024: $3.41Q1 2025: $3.55Q2 2025: $3.85Q3 2025: $3.99Q4 2025: $3.88Q1 2026: $3.39Q2 2026: $3.11Q3 2026: $3.22Forward: $4.21
Q4 2023: $3.73Q1 2024: $3.46Q2 2024: $3.12Q3 2024: $3.02Q4 2024: $3.41Q1 2025: $3.55Q2 2025: $3.85Q3 2025: $3.99Q4 2025: $3.88Q1 2026: $3.39Q2 2026: $3.11Q3 2026: $3.22Forward: $4.21
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.21+31%
Q3 2026$3.22-19%
Q2 2026$3.11-19%
Q1 2026$3.39-4.5%
Q4 2025$3.88+14%
Q3 2025$3.99+32%
Q2 2025$3.85+23%
Q1 2025$3.55+2.6%
Q4 2024$3.41-8.6%

FRME has the edge over CIFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CIFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.7M-63%
Q2 2026$24.8M-43%
Q1 2026$34.8M-29%
Q4 2025$59.7M+41%
Q3 2025$71.7M+198%
Q2 2025$43.6M+18%
Q1 2025$49M+1.7%
Q4 2024$42.2M-2.8%

CIFR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $27M last quarter, down 63% from the same quarter a year ago.

FRME Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $154MQ2 2024: $160MQ3 2024: $156MQ4 2024: $177MQ1 2025: $160MQ2 2025: $164MQ3 2025: $166MQ4 2025: $172MQ1 2026: $157MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $199M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $154MQ2 2024: $160MQ3 2024: $156MQ4 2024: $177MQ1 2025: $160MQ2 2025: $164MQ3 2025: $166MQ4 2025: $172MQ1 2026: $157MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $199M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$199.1M+20%
Q2 2026$196.1M+19%
Q1 2026$157.1M-2%
Q4 2025$172.2M-2.8%
Q3 2025$166.1M+6.5%
Q2 2025$164.3M+2.8%
Q1 2025$160.3M+4.3%
Q4 2024$177.1M+13%

FRME has the edge over CIFR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.7B-$1.4B
Q2 2026-$653.8M-$566.3M
Q1 2026-$462.5M-$390.7M
Q4 2025-$280.3M-$204.2M
Q3 2025-$256.2M-$173.1M
Q2 2025-$87.5M-$54.3M
Q1 2025-$71.8M-$37.3M
Q4 2024-$76.1M+$38M

CIFR's free cash flow was −$3.1B over the past year, against −$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

FRME Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $86MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: $63MQ3 2024: $77MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: $62MQ2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $88MQ4 2025: $81MQ1 2026: $59MQ2 2026: $88MQ3 2026: $78M
Q4 2023: $86MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: $63MQ3 2024: $77MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: $62MQ2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $88MQ4 2025: $81MQ1 2026: $59MQ2 2026: $88MQ3 2026: $78M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$78.4M-10%
Q2 2026$88M+64%
Q1 2026$58.6M-5%
Q4 2025$80.7M+20%
Q3 2025$87.6M+14%
Q2 2025$53.7M-15%
Q1 2025$61.7M+4.8%
Q4 2024$67.5M-22%

FRME has the edge over CIFR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CIFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+30.3M shares
1 year+12%+46.5M shares
3 years+75%+188M shares
5 years+102%+222M shares

CIFR has 440M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago, despite $151M in buybacks over the past year.

FRME Total Shares

Q4 2023: 59MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 61MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 62M
Q4 2023: 59MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 61MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 62M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-163K shares
1 year+8.6%+5M shares
3 years+4.9%+2.9M shares
5 years+16%+8.5M shares
Available history+12%+6.9M shares

FRME has the edge over CIFR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025125.4xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.1xNet Cash

CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

FRME Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2024: 3.9xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.5xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 5.1xQ2 2026: 6.0xQ3 2026: 4.0x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2024: 3.9xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.5xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 5.1xQ2 2026: 6.0xQ3 2026: 4.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.0xElevated
Q2 20266.0xHigh
Q1 20265.1xHigh
Q4 20252.7xModerate
Q3 20252.5xModerate
Q2 20253.0xModerate
Q1 20253.5xElevated
Q4 20243.2xElevated

FRME's net debt is about 4.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.5 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FRME.

CIFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

FRME Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.0Neutral
Stochastic42.5Neutral

FRME's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIFRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FRME PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFRMESector medianRelative
PE13x13x2.4% below
PE %796316 pts above

FRME is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CIFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.633% below
20 week MA$15.554% below
50 week MA$17.058% below
100 week MA$12.241% below
200 week MA$7.869% below

CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.

FRME Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$40.31.6% above
20 week MA$41.71.8% below
50 week MA$40.41.3% above
100 week MA$39.73.2% above
200 week MA$36.911% above

FRME has the edge over CIFR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CIFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.92$9.95+0.3%
2021$9.95$5.21-48%
2022$5.21$0.54-90%
2023$0.54$4.13+665%
2024$4.13$4.86+18%
2025$4.86$15.2+213%
2026 YTD$15.2$7.15-53%

CIFR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +665% in 2023 to −90% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

FRME Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$41.3$36.8-11%
2021$36.8$41.2+12%
2022$41.2$40.5-1.6%
2023$40.5$37.1-8.5%
2024$37.1$40.3+8.5%
2025$40.3$38.3-4.9%
2026 YTD$38.3$40.9+7%

FRME has the edge over CIFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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