CIA

Citizens, Inc.

28
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation20/ 100
Upside potential35/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

CIA trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over CIA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

CIA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
N/A
N/A

CIA's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIA.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

CIA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.5x15x23x30x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.5x15x23x30x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$1.10-70%
Fair16x$2.60-29%
Forward19x$3.67—
Current23x$3.67—
Expensive24x$3.86+5.1%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CIA's PE is in its expensive range at 23x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 19x, in its fair range.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over CIA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CIA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect CIA's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

SOFI has the edge over CIA on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

CIA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$4.57
Downside-46%$1.98

Calculated from the latest close: $3.67 on Nov 12.

CIA trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CIA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CIA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.48Q1 2024: $0.47Q2 2024: $0.43Q3 2024: $0.43Q4 2024: $0.29Q1 2025: $0.17Q2 2025: $0.22Q3 2025: $0.21Q4 2025: $0.28Q1 2026: $0.35Q2 2026: $0.21Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $0.19
Q4 2023: $0.48Q1 2024: $0.47Q2 2024: $0.43Q3 2024: $0.43Q4 2024: $0.29Q1 2025: $0.17Q2 2025: $0.22Q3 2025: $0.21Q4 2025: $0.28Q1 2026: $0.35Q2 2026: $0.21Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $0.19
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.19+19%
Q3 2026$0.16-24%
Q2 2026$0.21-4.5%
Q1 2026$0.35+106%
Q4 2025$0.28-3.4%
Q3 2025$0.21-51%
Q2 2025$0.22-49%
Q1 2025$0.17-64%
Q4 2024$0.29-40%

CIA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.16 over the past year, against $0.48 in late 2023.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI has the edge over CIA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $67MQ1 2024: $58MQ2 2024: $62MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $56MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $63MQ4 2025: $72MQ1 2026: $60MQ2 2026: $60MQ3 2026: $65M
Q4 2023: $67MQ1 2024: $58MQ2 2024: $62MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $56MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $63MQ4 2025: $72MQ1 2026: $60MQ2 2026: $60MQ3 2026: $65M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$65M+3.6%
Q2 2026$60.4M-7.2%
Q1 2026$59.7M+7.3%
Q4 2025$72.1M+14%
Q3 2025$62.8M+1.7%
Q2 2025$65.1M+4.8%
Q1 2025$55.7M-3.6%
Q4 2024$63.5M-5%

CIA's revenue has picked up after four years of holding roughly level: $65M last quarter, up 3.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI has the edge over CIA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: $641,000Q2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: −$649,000Q2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $11M
Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: $641,000Q2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: −$649,000Q2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$10.7M+132%
Q2 2026$2M-39%
Q1 2026-$649K-201%
Q4 2025$9M-16%
Q3 2025$4.6M-51%
Q2 2025$3.3M-26%
Q1 2025$641K-90%
Q4 2024$10.7M+66%

CIA has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

CIA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 50MQ3 2024: 50MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 50MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 50MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
Q4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 50MQ3 2024: 50MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 50MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 50MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+61.7K shares
1 year+0.8%+408K shares
3 years+2.3%+1.2M shares
5 years+0.5%+248K shares

CIA has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

CIA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.0xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -1.9xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.8xQ3 2025: -1.7xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -1.7x
Q4 2023: -1.0xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -1.9xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.8xQ3 2025: -1.7xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.9xNet Cash

CIA has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIA.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has the edge over CIA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CIA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.7Neutral
Stochastic32.8Neutral

CIA's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

CIA PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIASector medianRelative
PE23x13x76% above
PE %766313 pts above

CIA has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CIA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.631.1% above
20 week MA$4.1010% below
50 week MA$4.8524% below
100 week MA$4.7623% below
200 week MA$3.854.7% below

CIA has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 4.7% below its 200-week average.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.

CIA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$6.67$5.89-12%
2021$5.89$5.76-2.2%
2022$5.76$2.28-60%
2023$2.28$2.69+18%
2024$2.69$4.32+61%
2025$4.32$5.16+19%
2026 YTD$5.16$3.67-29%

CIA has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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