CIA

Citizens, Inc.

28
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation20/ 100
Upside potential35/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

CIA trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD has the edge over CIA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

CIA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
N/A
N/A

CIA's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIA.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

CIA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.5x15x23x30x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.5x15x23x30x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$1.10-70%
Fair16x$2.60-29%
Forward19x$3.67—
Current23x$3.67—
Expensive24x$3.86+5.1%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CIA's PE is in its expensive range at 23x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 19x, in its fair range.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD has the edge over CIA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CIA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect CIA's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

HOOD has the edge over CIA on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

CIA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$4.57
Downside-46%$1.98

Calculated from the latest close: $3.67 on Nov 12.

CIA trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CIA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CIA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.48Q1 2024: $0.47Q2 2024: $0.43Q3 2024: $0.43Q4 2024: $0.29Q1 2025: $0.17Q2 2025: $0.22Q3 2025: $0.21Q4 2025: $0.28Q1 2026: $0.35Q2 2026: $0.21Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $0.19
Q4 2023: $0.48Q1 2024: $0.47Q2 2024: $0.43Q3 2024: $0.43Q4 2024: $0.29Q1 2025: $0.17Q2 2025: $0.22Q3 2025: $0.21Q4 2025: $0.28Q1 2026: $0.35Q2 2026: $0.21Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $0.19
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.19+19%
Q3 2026$0.16-24%
Q2 2026$0.21-4.5%
Q1 2026$0.35+106%
Q4 2025$0.28-3.4%
Q3 2025$0.21-51%
Q2 2025$0.22-49%
Q1 2025$0.17-64%
Q4 2024$0.29-40%

CIA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.16 over the past year, against $0.48 in late 2023.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD has the edge over CIA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $67MQ1 2024: $58MQ2 2024: $62MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $56MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $63MQ4 2025: $72MQ1 2026: $60MQ2 2026: $60MQ3 2026: $65M
Q4 2023: $67MQ1 2024: $58MQ2 2024: $62MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $56MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $63MQ4 2025: $72MQ1 2026: $60MQ2 2026: $60MQ3 2026: $65M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$65M+3.6%
Q2 2026$60.4M-7.2%
Q1 2026$59.7M+7.3%
Q4 2025$72.1M+14%
Q3 2025$62.8M+1.7%
Q2 2025$65.1M+4.8%
Q1 2025$55.7M-3.6%
Q4 2024$63.5M-5%

CIA's revenue has picked up after four years of holding roughly level: $65M last quarter, up 3.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the edge over CIA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: $641,000Q2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: −$649,000Q2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $11M
Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: $641,000Q2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: −$649,000Q2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$10.7M+132%
Q2 2026$2M-39%
Q1 2026-$649K-201%
Q4 2025$9M-16%
Q3 2025$4.6M-51%
Q2 2025$3.3M-26%
Q1 2025$641K-90%
Q4 2024$10.7M+66%

CIA's free cash flow was $21M over the past year, up 9.4% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIA.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD has the edge over CIA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 50MQ3 2024: 50MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 50MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 50MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
Q4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 50MQ3 2024: 50MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 50MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 50MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+61.7K shares
1 year+0.8%+408K shares
3 years+2.3%+1.2M shares
5 years+0.5%+248K shares

CIA has 51M diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has the edge over CIA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.0xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -1.9xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.8xQ3 2025: -1.7xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -1.7x
Q4 2023: -1.0xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -1.9xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.8xQ3 2025: -1.7xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.9xNet Cash

CIA has the edge over HOOD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

CIA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.7Neutral
Stochastic32.8Neutral

CIA's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

CIA PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIASector medianRelative
PE23x13x76% above
PE %766313 pts above

CIA has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CIA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.631.1% above
20 week MA$4.1010% below
50 week MA$4.8524% below
100 week MA$4.7623% below
200 week MA$3.854.7% below

CIA has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 4.7% below its 200-week average.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.

CIA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$6.67$5.89-12%
2021$5.89$5.76-2.2%
2022$5.76$2.28-60%
2023$2.28$2.69+18%
2024$2.69$4.32+61%
2025$4.32$5.16+19%
2026 YTD$5.16$3.67-29%

CIA has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

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