CIA

Citizens, Inc.

28
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation20/ 100
Upside potential35/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

CIA trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over CIA overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

CIA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
N/A
N/A

CIA's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIA.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

CIA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.5x15x23x30x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.5x15x23x30x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$1.10-70%
Fair16x$2.60-29%
Forward19x$3.67—
Current23x$3.67—
Expensive24x$3.86+5.1%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CIA's PE is in its expensive range at 23x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 19x, in its fair range.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS has the edge over CIA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CIA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect CIA's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CIA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$4.57
Downside-46%$1.98

Calculated from the latest close: $3.67 on Nov 12.

CIA trails GS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CIA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CIA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.48Q1 2024: $0.47Q2 2024: $0.43Q3 2024: $0.43Q4 2024: $0.29Q1 2025: $0.17Q2 2025: $0.22Q3 2025: $0.21Q4 2025: $0.28Q1 2026: $0.35Q2 2026: $0.21Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $0.19
Q4 2023: $0.48Q1 2024: $0.47Q2 2024: $0.43Q3 2024: $0.43Q4 2024: $0.29Q1 2025: $0.17Q2 2025: $0.22Q3 2025: $0.21Q4 2025: $0.28Q1 2026: $0.35Q2 2026: $0.21Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $0.19
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.19+19%
Q3 2026$0.16-24%
Q2 2026$0.21-4.5%
Q1 2026$0.35+106%
Q4 2025$0.28-3.4%
Q3 2025$0.21-51%
Q2 2025$0.22-49%
Q1 2025$0.17-64%
Q4 2024$0.29-40%

CIA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.16 over the past year, against $0.48 in late 2023.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over CIA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $67MQ1 2024: $58MQ2 2024: $62MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $56MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $63MQ4 2025: $72MQ1 2026: $60MQ2 2026: $60MQ3 2026: $65M
Q4 2023: $67MQ1 2024: $58MQ2 2024: $62MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $56MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $63MQ4 2025: $72MQ1 2026: $60MQ2 2026: $60MQ3 2026: $65M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$65M+3.6%
Q2 2026$60.4M-7.2%
Q1 2026$59.7M+7.3%
Q4 2025$72.1M+14%
Q3 2025$62.8M+1.7%
Q2 2025$65.1M+4.8%
Q1 2025$55.7M-3.6%
Q4 2024$63.5M-5%

CIA's revenue has picked up after four years of holding roughly level: $65M last quarter, up 3.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the edge over CIA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: $641,000Q2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: −$649,000Q2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $11M
Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: $641,000Q2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: −$649,000Q2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$10.7M+132%
Q2 2026$2M-39%
Q1 2026-$649K-201%
Q4 2025$9M-16%
Q3 2025$4.6M-51%
Q2 2025$3.3M-26%
Q1 2025$641K-90%
Q4 2024$10.7M+66%

CIA has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

CIA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 50MQ3 2024: 50MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 50MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 50MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
Q4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 50MQ3 2024: 50MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 50MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 50MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+61.7K shares
1 year+0.8%+408K shares
3 years+2.3%+1.2M shares
5 years+0.5%+248K shares

CIA has 51M diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over CIA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.0xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -1.9xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.8xQ3 2025: -1.7xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -1.7x
Q4 2023: -1.0xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -1.9xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.8xQ3 2025: -1.7xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.9xNet Cash

CIA has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIA.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over CIA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CIA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.7Neutral
Stochastic32.8Neutral

CIA's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

CIA PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIASector medianRelative
PE23x13x76% above
PE %766313 pts above

CIA is trading at 23x earnings, a 76% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS has the edge over CIA on valuation relative to its sector.

CIA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.631.1% above
20 week MA$4.1010% below
50 week MA$4.8524% below
100 week MA$4.7623% below
200 week MA$3.854.7% below

CIA has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 4.7% below its 200-week average.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS has the edge over CIA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CIA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$6.67$5.89-12%
2021$5.89$5.76-2.2%
2022$5.76$2.28-60%
2023$2.28$2.69+18%
2024$2.69$4.32+61%
2025$4.32$5.16+19%
2026 YTD$5.16$3.67-29%

CIA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 29% so far in 2026.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over CIA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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