CI

Cigna Corporation

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation54/ 100
Upside potential51/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

CI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over CI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

CI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Healthy

CI's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

CI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.3x17x25x33x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.3x17x25x33x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.1x$296—
Cheap12x$262-12%
Current13x$296—
Fair14x$327+10%
Expensive19x$439+48%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CI's PE is in its fair range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.1x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR has the edge over CI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CI, with profitability holding steady.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

OSCR has the edge over CI on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

CI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$342.16
Downside-15%$252.80

Calculated from the latest close: $296.27 on Nov 12.

CI trails OSCR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $17.39Q1 2024: $12.18Q2 2024: $12.71Q3 2024: $10.60Q4 2024: $12.12Q1 2025: $17.94Q2 2025: $18.20Q3 2025: $22.55Q4 2025: $22.18Q1 2026: $23.59Q2 2026: $24.17Q3 2026: $22.66Forward: $32.62
Q4 2023: $17.39Q1 2024: $12.18Q2 2024: $12.71Q3 2024: $10.60Q4 2024: $12.12Q1 2025: $17.94Q2 2025: $18.20Q3 2025: $22.55Q4 2025: $22.18Q1 2026: $23.59Q2 2026: $24.17Q3 2026: $22.66Forward: $32.62
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$32.62+44%
Q3 2026$22.66+0.5%
Q2 2026$24.17+33%
Q1 2026$23.59+31%
Q4 2025$22.18+83%
Q3 2025$22.55+113%
Q2 2025$18.20+43%
Q1 2025$17.94+47%
Q4 2024$12.12-30%

CI has the edge over OSCR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has returned to profit: it earned $2.47 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

CI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $51.1BQ1 2024: $57.3BQ2 2024: $60.5BQ3 2024: $63.7BQ4 2024: $65.6BQ1 2025: $65.5BQ2 2025: $67.2BQ3 2025: $69.7BQ4 2025: $72.5BQ1 2026: $68.5BQ2 2026: $71.7BQ3 2026: $73.7B
Q4 2023: $51.1BQ1 2024: $57.3BQ2 2024: $60.5BQ3 2024: $63.7BQ4 2024: $65.6BQ1 2025: $65.5BQ2 2025: $67.2BQ3 2025: $69.7BQ4 2025: $72.5BQ1 2026: $68.5BQ2 2026: $71.7BQ3 2026: $73.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$73.7B+5.6%
Q2 2026$71.7B+6.7%
Q1 2026$68.5B+4.6%
Q4 2025$72.5B+10%
Q3 2025$69.7B+9.5%
Q2 2025$67.2B+11%
Q1 2025$65.5B+14%
Q4 2024$65.6B+28%

CI's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $73.7B last quarter, up 5.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over CI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $4.8BQ2 2024: $265MQ3 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $5.2BQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: −$1.9BQ3 2025: $3.4BQ4 2025: $6.1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: −$421MQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $4.8BQ2 2024: $265MQ3 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $5.2BQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: −$1.9BQ3 2025: $3.4BQ4 2025: $6.1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: −$421MQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B-25%
Q2 2026-$421M+$1.5B
Q1 2026$1.1B-41%
Q4 2025$6.1B+18%
Q3 2025$3.4B+7330%
Q2 2025-$1.9B-812%
Q1 2025$1.9B-60%
Q4 2024$5.2B+255%

CI generated $9.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 8.8% from the year before.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR has the edge over CI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 297MQ1 2024: 286MQ2 2024: 284MQ3 2024: 281MQ4 2024: 283MQ1 2025: 273MQ2 2025: 268MQ3 2025: 268MQ4 2025: 269MQ1 2026: 264MQ2 2026: 264MQ3 2026: 264M
Q4 2023: 297MQ1 2024: 286MQ2 2024: 284MQ3 2024: 281MQ4 2024: 283MQ1 2025: 273MQ2 2025: 268MQ3 2025: 268MQ4 2025: 269MQ1 2026: 264MQ2 2026: 264MQ3 2026: 264M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-174K shares
1 year-1.4%-3.7M shares
3 years-11%-33.3M shares
5 years-22%-73.8M shares
Available history-31%-116M shares

CI has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

CI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.0xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 2.2xQ4 2024: 2.0xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.4xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 2.0xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 2.0xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 2.2xQ4 2024: 2.0xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.4xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 2.0xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20262.0xModerate
Q1 20261.9xHealthy
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 20252.4xModerate
Q2 20252.3xModerate
Q1 20251.9xHealthy
Q4 20242.0xModerate

CI's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.4 years a year ago.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has the edge over CI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.0Neutral
Stochastic60.8Neutral

CI's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 61 (neutral).

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

CI PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricCISector medianRelative
PE13x26x49% below
PE %402911 pts above

CI is trading at 13x earnings, a 49% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR has the edge over CI on valuation relative to its sector.

CI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$290.32.1% above
20 week MA$285.73.7% above
50 week MA$281.45.3% above
100 week MA$291.11.8% above
200 week MA$299.91.2% below

CI has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 1.2% below its 200-week average.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR has the edge over CI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$204.0$198.8-2.5%
2021$198.8$225.9+14%
2022$225.9$334.3+48%
2023$334.3$299.5-10%
2024$299.5$278.7-6.9%
2025$278.7$276.5-0.8%
2026 YTD$276.5$296.3+7.1%

CI has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 7.1% so far in 2026.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over CI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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