CHWY

Chewy, Inc.

67
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

CHWY has the edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

CHWY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

CHWY's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

CHWY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1000x2000x2999x3999x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1000x2000x2999x3999x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward22x$22.60—
Current34x$22.60—
Cheap37x$24.73+9.4%
Fair94x$62.06+175%
Expensive623x$411+1720%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CHWY's PE is in its cheap range at 34x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 22x next year's earnings.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over CHWY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CHWY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

CHWY has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CHWY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+56%$35.18
Downside-21%$17.92

Calculated from the latest close: $22.60 on Nov 12.

CHWY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails CHWY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CHWY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.03Q1 2024: $0.09Q2 2024: $0.19Q3 2024: $0.83Q4 2024: $0.92Q1 2025: $0.91Q2 2025: $0.91Q3 2025: $0.37Q4 2025: $0.50Q1 2026: $0.52Q2 2026: $0.60Q3 2026: $0.66Forward: $1.02
Q4 2023: $0.03Q1 2024: $0.09Q2 2024: $0.19Q3 2024: $0.83Q4 2024: $0.92Q1 2025: $0.91Q2 2025: $0.91Q3 2025: $0.37Q4 2025: $0.50Q1 2026: $0.52Q2 2026: $0.60Q3 2026: $0.66Forward: $1.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.02+54%
Q3 2026$0.66+78%
Q2 2026$0.60-34%
Q1 2026$0.52-43%
Q4 2025$0.50-46%
Q3 2025$0.37-55%
Q2 2025$0.91+379%
Q1 2025$0.91+911%
Q4 2024$0.92+2967%

CHWY has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

CHWY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $2.8BQ2 2024: $2.9BQ3 2024: $2.9BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: $3.1BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $3.3BQ2 2026: $3.4BQ3 2026: $3.3B
Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $2.8BQ2 2024: $2.9BQ3 2024: $2.9BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: $3.1BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $3.3BQ2 2026: $3.4BQ3 2026: $3.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.3B+7.3%
Q2 2026$3.4B+7.7%
Q1 2026$3.3B+0.5%
Q4 2025$3.1B+8.3%
Q3 2025$3.1B+8.6%
Q2 2025$3.1B+8.3%
Q1 2025$3.2B+14%
Q4 2024$2.9B+5.1%

CHWY has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

CHWY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $49MQ1 2024: $66MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $91MQ4 2024: $152MQ1 2025: $157MQ2 2025: $49MQ3 2025: $106MQ4 2025: $176MQ1 2026: $232MQ2 2026: $71MQ3 2026: $90M
Q4 2023: $49MQ1 2024: $66MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $91MQ4 2024: $152MQ1 2025: $157MQ2 2025: $49MQ3 2025: $106MQ4 2025: $176MQ1 2026: $232MQ2 2026: $71MQ3 2026: $90M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$89.5M-15%
Q2 2026$70.8M+45%
Q1 2026$232M+48%
Q4 2025$175.8M+16%
Q3 2025$105.9M+16%
Q2 2025$48.7M-7.5%
Q1 2025$156.6M+136%
Q4 2024$151.8M+213%

CHWY has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

CHWY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 431MQ1 2024: 432MQ2 2024: 436MQ3 2024: 438MQ4 2024: 427MQ1 2025: 431MQ2 2025: 425MQ3 2025: 428MQ4 2025: 426MQ1 2026: 426MQ2 2026: 419MQ3 2026: 410M
Q4 2023: 431MQ1 2024: 432MQ2 2024: 436MQ3 2024: 438MQ4 2024: 427MQ1 2025: 431MQ2 2025: 425MQ3 2025: 428MQ4 2025: 426MQ1 2026: 426MQ2 2026: 419MQ3 2026: 410M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.1%-9M shares
1 year-4.3%-18.3M shares
3 years-5%-21.5M shares
5 years-1.6%-6.6M shares
Available history+2.2%+8.8M shares

CHWY has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CHWY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -4.0xQ1 2024: -7.0xQ2 2024: -9.0xQ3 2024: -3.9xQ4 2024: -2.4xQ1 2025: -2.6xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: -4.0xQ1 2024: -7.0xQ2 2024: -9.0xQ3 2024: -3.9xQ4 2024: -2.4xQ1 2025: -2.6xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.4xNet Cash

CHWY has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

CHWY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.2Neutral
Stochastic58.6Neutral

CHWY's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

CHWY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCHWYSector medianRelative
PE34x18x90% above
PE %74740 pts below

CHWY is trading at 34x earnings, a 90% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE has the edge over CHWY on valuation relative to its sector.

CHWY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.69.8% above
20 week MA$21.45.4% above
50 week MA$24.47.5% below
100 week MA$31.027% below
200 week MA$29.022% below

CHWY has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

CHWY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.6$104.0+263%
2021$104.0$59.3-43%
2022$59.3$39.3-34%
2023$39.3$23.6-40%
2024$23.6$34.1+44%
2025$34.1$32.5-4.6%
2026 YTD$32.5$22.6-30%

CHWY has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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