CHRW

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.

60
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation54/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

CHRW has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CHRW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure
Stable

CHRW's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CHRW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$85.25-37%
Forward18x$134—
Fair24x$132-1.6%
Current24x$134—
Expensive34x$188+40%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CHRW's PE is in its fair range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CHRW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CHRW, with profitability holding steady.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RKLB has the edge over CHRW on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

CHRW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+43%$191.67
Downside-13%$117.00

Calculated from the latest close: $134.39 on Nov 12.

CHRW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RKLB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB trails CHRW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CHRW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.72Q1 2024: $2.54Q2 2024: $2.78Q3 2024: $2.90Q4 2024: $3.86Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $4.40Q3 2025: $4.94Q4 2025: $4.83Q1 2026: $4.94Q2 2026: $5.24Q3 2026: $5.57Forward: $7.30
Q4 2023: $2.72Q1 2024: $2.54Q2 2024: $2.78Q3 2024: $2.90Q4 2024: $3.86Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $4.40Q3 2025: $4.94Q4 2025: $4.83Q1 2026: $4.94Q2 2026: $5.24Q3 2026: $5.57Forward: $7.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.30+31%
Q3 2026$5.57+13%
Q2 2026$5.24+19%
Q1 2026$4.94+18%
Q4 2025$4.83+25%
Q3 2025$4.94+70%
Q2 2025$4.40+58%
Q1 2025$4.19+65%
Q4 2024$3.86+42%

CHRW has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

CHRW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.2BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $4.5BQ3 2024: $4.6BQ4 2024: $4.2BQ1 2025: $4BQ2 2025: $4.1BQ3 2025: $4.1BQ4 2025: $3.9BQ1 2026: $4BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.4B
Q4 2023: $4.2BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $4.5BQ3 2024: $4.6BQ4 2024: $4.2BQ1 2025: $4BQ2 2025: $4.1BQ3 2025: $4.1BQ4 2025: $3.9BQ1 2026: $4BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.4B+30%
Q2 2026$4.9B+19%
Q1 2026$4B-0.8%
Q4 2025$3.9B-6.5%
Q3 2025$4.1B-11%
Q2 2025$4.1B-7.7%
Q1 2025$4B-8.3%
Q4 2024$4.2B-0.9%

CHRW's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $5.4B last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over CHRW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CHRW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: −$42MQ2 2024: $160MQ3 2024: $103MQ4 2024: $265MQ1 2025: $103MQ2 2025: $220MQ3 2025: $269MQ4 2025: $302MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $120M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: −$42MQ2 2024: $160MQ3 2024: $103MQ4 2024: $265MQ1 2025: $103MQ2 2025: $220MQ3 2025: $269MQ4 2025: $302MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $120M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$120.5M-55%
Q2 2026$30.9M-86%
Q1 2026$66M-36%
Q4 2025$302.4M+14%
Q3 2025$269.5M+161%
Q2 2025$219.8M+38%
Q1 2025$103.2M+$145.1M
Q4 2024$265.3M+514%

CHRW has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

CHRW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 120MQ1 2024: 120MQ2 2024: 120MQ3 2024: 121MQ4 2024: 121MQ1 2025: 122MQ2 2025: 121MQ3 2025: 121MQ4 2025: 122MQ1 2026: 121MQ2 2026: 120MQ3 2026: 119M
Q4 2023: 120MQ1 2024: 120MQ2 2024: 120MQ3 2024: 121MQ4 2024: 121MQ1 2025: 122MQ2 2025: 121MQ3 2025: 121MQ4 2025: 122MQ1 2026: 121MQ2 2026: 120MQ3 2026: 119M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-1M shares
1 year-2.2%-2.6M shares
3 years-0.9%-1M shares
5 years-11%-14.7M shares
Available history-13%-17.9M shares

CHRW has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

CHRW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.7xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.7xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.6xHealthy
Q1 20261.3xHealthy
Q4 20251.0xHealthy
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 20251.5xHealthy
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CHRW's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.2 years a year ago.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CHRW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.0Neutral
Stochastic15.4Oversold

CHRW's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

CHRW PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCHRWSector medianRelative
PE24x24x0.2% above
PE %51587 pts below

CHRW is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CHRW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$139.03.3% below
20 week MA$154.113% below
50 week MA$166.919% below
100 week MA$139.03.3% below
200 week MA$115.317% above

CHRW has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 17% above its 200-week average.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over CHRW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CHRW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$77.9$94.7+21%
2021$94.7$102.5+8.2%
2022$102.5$93.1-9.1%
2023$93.1$86.4-7.2%
2024$86.4$103.9+20%
2025$103.9$164.6+58%
2026 YTD$164.6$134.4-18%

CHRW has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 18% so far in 2026.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB has the edge over CHRW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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