CHRW

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.

60
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation54/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

CHRW has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has a slight edge over CHRW overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

CHRW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure
Stable

CHRW's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CHRW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$85.25-37%
Forward18x$134—
Fair24x$132-1.6%
Current24x$134—
Expensive34x$188+40%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CHRW's PE is in its fair range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CHRW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CHRW, with profitability holding steady.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

RDW has the edge over CHRW on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

CHRW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+43%$191.67
Downside-13%$117.00

Calculated from the latest close: $134.39 on Nov 12.

CHRW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RDW, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW trails CHRW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CHRW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.72Q1 2024: $2.54Q2 2024: $2.78Q3 2024: $2.90Q4 2024: $3.86Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $4.40Q3 2025: $4.94Q4 2025: $4.83Q1 2026: $4.94Q2 2026: $5.24Q3 2026: $5.57Forward: $7.30
Q4 2023: $2.72Q1 2024: $2.54Q2 2024: $2.78Q3 2024: $2.90Q4 2024: $3.86Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $4.40Q3 2025: $4.94Q4 2025: $4.83Q1 2026: $4.94Q2 2026: $5.24Q3 2026: $5.57Forward: $7.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.30+31%
Q3 2026$5.57+13%
Q2 2026$5.24+19%
Q1 2026$4.94+18%
Q4 2025$4.83+25%
Q3 2025$4.94+70%
Q2 2025$4.40+58%
Q1 2025$4.19+65%
Q4 2024$3.86+42%

CHRW has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

CHRW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.2BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $4.5BQ3 2024: $4.6BQ4 2024: $4.2BQ1 2025: $4BQ2 2025: $4.1BQ3 2025: $4.1BQ4 2025: $3.9BQ1 2026: $4BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.4B
Q4 2023: $4.2BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $4.5BQ3 2024: $4.6BQ4 2024: $4.2BQ1 2025: $4BQ2 2025: $4.1BQ3 2025: $4.1BQ4 2025: $3.9BQ1 2026: $4BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.4B+30%
Q2 2026$4.9B+19%
Q1 2026$4B-0.8%
Q4 2025$3.9B-6.5%
Q3 2025$4.1B-11%
Q2 2025$4.1B-7.7%
Q1 2025$4B-8.3%
Q4 2024$4.2B-0.9%

CHRW's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $5.4B last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over CHRW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CHRW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: −$42MQ2 2024: $160MQ3 2024: $103MQ4 2024: $265MQ1 2025: $103MQ2 2025: $220MQ3 2025: $269MQ4 2025: $302MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $120M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: −$42MQ2 2024: $160MQ3 2024: $103MQ4 2024: $265MQ1 2025: $103MQ2 2025: $220MQ3 2025: $269MQ4 2025: $302MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $120M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$120.5M-55%
Q2 2026$30.9M-86%
Q1 2026$66M-36%
Q4 2025$302.4M+14%
Q3 2025$269.5M+161%
Q2 2025$219.8M+38%
Q1 2025$103.2M+$145.1M
Q4 2024$265.3M+514%

CHRW has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

CHRW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 120MQ1 2024: 120MQ2 2024: 120MQ3 2024: 121MQ4 2024: 121MQ1 2025: 122MQ2 2025: 121MQ3 2025: 121MQ4 2025: 122MQ1 2026: 121MQ2 2026: 120MQ3 2026: 119M
Q4 2023: 120MQ1 2024: 120MQ2 2024: 120MQ3 2024: 121MQ4 2024: 121MQ1 2025: 122MQ2 2025: 121MQ3 2025: 121MQ4 2025: 122MQ1 2026: 121MQ2 2026: 120MQ3 2026: 119M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-1M shares
1 year-2.2%-2.6M shares
3 years-0.9%-1M shares
5 years-11%-14.7M shares
Available history-13%-17.9M shares

CHRW has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

CHRW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.7xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.7xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.6xHealthy
Q1 20261.3xHealthy
Q4 20251.0xHealthy
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 20251.5xHealthy
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CHRW's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.2 years a year ago.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CHRW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.0Neutral
Stochastic15.4Oversold

CHRW's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

CHRW PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCHRWSector medianRelative
PE24x24x0.2% above
PE %51587 pts below

CHRW is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CHRW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$139.03.3% below
20 week MA$154.113% below
50 week MA$166.919% below
100 week MA$139.03.3% below
200 week MA$115.317% above

CHRW has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

CHRW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$77.9$94.7+21%
2021$94.7$102.5+8.2%
2022$102.5$93.1-9.1%
2023$93.1$86.4-7.2%
2024$86.4$103.9+20%
2025$103.9$164.6+58%
2026 YTD$164.6$134.4-18%

CHRW has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 18% so far in 2026.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over CHRW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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