CHRD

Chord Energy Corporation

70
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation34/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

CHRD's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 9.2x earnings, above its usual 6.8x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

CHRD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

CHRD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

CHRD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE51x102x153x204x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE51x102x153x204x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3.3x$52.40-64%
Fair6.7x$108-27%
Forward6.7x$147—
Current9.2x$147—
Expensive23x$365+148%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CHRD's PE is in its expensive range at 9.2x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 6.7x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

CHRD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CHRD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CHRD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$199.32
Downside-16%$123.56

Calculated from the latest close: $147.05 on Nov 12.

CHRD's one-year upside scenario is more than twice its downside: +36% against −16%.

CHRD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.51Q1 2024: $21.29Q2 2024: $20.58Q3 2024: $19.40Q4 2024: $16.02Q1 2025: $15.03Q2 2025: $4.01Q3 2025: $2.68Q4 2025: $0.74Q1 2026: $-1.02Q2 2026: $15.03Q3 2026: $16.06Forward: $22.09
Q4 2023: $23.51Q1 2024: $21.29Q2 2024: $20.58Q3 2024: $19.40Q4 2024: $16.02Q1 2025: $15.03Q2 2025: $4.01Q3 2025: $2.68Q4 2025: $0.74Q1 2026: $-1.02Q2 2026: $15.03Q3 2026: $16.06Forward: $22.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.09+38%
Q3 2026$16.06+499%
Q2 2026$15.03+275%
Q1 2026-$1.02-107%
Q4 2025$0.74-95%
Q3 2025$2.68-86%
Q2 2025$4.01-81%
Q1 2025$15.03-29%
Q4 2024$16.02-32%

CHRD's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $16.06 over the past year, against $61.50 in late 2022.

CHRD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $965MQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $2.2BQ3 2026: $1.7B
Q4 2023: $965MQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $2.2BQ3 2026: $1.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.7B+30%
Q2 2026$2.2B+84%
Q1 2026$1.7B+37%
Q4 2025$1.2B-20%
Q3 2025$1.3B-9.5%
Q2 2025$1.2B-6.4%
Q1 2025$1.2B+12%
Q4 2024$1.5B+51%

CHRD's revenue is growing: $1.7B last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.

CHRD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $543MQ1 2024: $407MQ2 2024: $461MQ3 2024: $663MQ4 2024: $566MQ1 2025: $657MQ2 2025: $420MQ3 2025: $559MQ4 2025: $405MQ1 2026: $507MQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $781M
Q4 2023: $543MQ1 2024: $407MQ2 2024: $461MQ3 2024: $663MQ4 2024: $566MQ1 2025: $657MQ2 2025: $420MQ3 2025: $559MQ4 2025: $405MQ1 2026: $507MQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $781M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$781.4M+40%
Q2 2026$1.1B+166%
Q1 2026$507.5M-23%
Q4 2025$405M-29%
Q3 2025$559M-16%
Q2 2025$419.8M-8.9%
Q1 2025$656.9M+62%
Q4 2024$566.5M+4.3%

CHRD generated $2.8B in free cash flow over the past year, up 28% from the year before.

CHRD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 50MQ3 2024: 63MQ4 2024: 53MQ1 2025: 60MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 57MQ2 2026: 57MQ3 2026: 55M
Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 50MQ3 2024: 63MQ4 2024: 53MQ1 2025: 60MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 57MQ2 2026: 57MQ3 2026: 55M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.3%-1.9M shares
1 year-4.2%-2.4M shares
3 years+25%+11.1M shares
5 years+163%+33.9M shares

CHRD has 55M diluted shares, down 4.2% from a year ago, with $426M in buybacks over the past year.

CHRD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.0xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.4xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.0xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.4xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.8xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

CHRD's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

CHRD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.4Neutral
Stochastic57.3Neutral

CHRD's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

CHRD PE vs Energy Sector

MetricCHRDSector medianRelative
PE9.2x13x30% below
PE %775522 pts above

CHRD is trading at 9.2x earnings, a 30% discount to the Energy sector's median of 13x.

CHRD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$146.00.7% above
20 week MA$140.64.6% above
50 week MA$127.116% above
100 week MA$114.828% above
200 week MA$134.39.5% above

CHRD has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 9.5% above its 200-week average.

CHRD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$31.0$37.4+21%
2021$37.4$121.5+225%
2022$121.5$139.8+15%
2023$139.8$166.2+19%
2024$166.2$112.1-33%
2025$112.1$90.0-20%
2026 YTD$90.0$147.1+63%

CHRD has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 63% so far in 2026.

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