CHMG

Chemung Financial Corporation

64
Fundamentals83/ 100
Valuation39/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CHMG has the edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

CHMG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

CHMG's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CHMG.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

CHMG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.0x12x18x24x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.0x12x18x24x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.7x$61.52-28%
Fair9x$71.85-16%
Forward10x$85.69—
Current11x$85.69—
Expensive12x$96.93+13%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CHMG's PE is in its expensive range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM has the edge over CHMG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CHMG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CHMG, with profitability improving.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

CHMG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$108.98
Downside-11%$76.00

Calculated from the latest close: $85.69 on Nov 12.

CHMG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than JPM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM trails CHMG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CHMG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.28Q1 2024: $5.22Q2 2024: $4.94Q3 2024: $4.52Q4 2024: $4.96Q1 2025: $4.74Q2 2025: $2.34Q3 2025: $2.77Q4 2025: $3.14Q1 2026: $3.79Q2 2026: $6.96Q3 2026: $7.97Forward: $8.38
Q4 2023: $5.28Q1 2024: $5.22Q2 2024: $4.94Q3 2024: $4.52Q4 2024: $4.96Q1 2025: $4.74Q2 2025: $2.34Q3 2025: $2.77Q4 2025: $3.14Q1 2026: $3.79Q2 2026: $6.96Q3 2026: $7.97Forward: $8.38
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.38+5.2%
Q3 2026$7.97+188%
Q2 2026$6.96+197%
Q1 2026$3.79-20%
Q4 2025$3.14-37%
Q3 2025$2.77-39%
Q2 2025$2.34-53%
Q1 2025$4.74-9.2%
Q4 2024$4.96-6.1%

CHMG earned $7.97 per share over the past year, up 188% from the year before.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the edge over CHMG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CHMG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $24MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $26MQ1 2025: $26MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $29MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $32M
Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $24MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $26MQ1 2025: $26MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $29MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $32M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$32M+11%
Q2 2026$31.2M+209%
Q1 2026$29.9M+16%
Q4 2025$30.5M+18%
Q3 2025$28.8M+18%
Q2 2025$10.1M-57%
Q1 2025$25.7M+8.3%
Q4 2024$25.9M+8.9%

CHMG has the edge over JPM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

CHMG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: $11M
Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: $11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$10.7M-9.2%
Q2 2026$8.9M-5.1%
Q1 2026$8.9M+30%
Q4 2025$15.7M+265%
Q3 2025$11.8M+38%
Q2 2025$9.4M+72%
Q1 2025$6.9M-13%
Q4 2024$4.3M+19%

CHMG has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

CHMG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 5MQ1 2024: 5MQ2 2024: 5MQ3 2024: 5MQ4 2024: 5MQ1 2025: 5MQ2 2025: 5MQ3 2025: 5MQ4 2025: 5MQ1 2026: 5MQ2 2026: 5MQ3 2026: 5M
Q4 2023: 5MQ1 2024: 5MQ2 2024: 5MQ3 2024: 5MQ4 2024: 5MQ1 2025: 5MQ2 2025: 5MQ3 2025: 5MQ4 2025: 5MQ1 2026: 5MQ2 2026: 5MQ3 2026: 5M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1.3K shares
1 year+0.6%+28.3K shares
3 years+2.2%+103K shares
5 years+3.3%+155K shares
Available history-0.6%-30K shares

CHMG has 5M diluted shares, up 0.6% from a year ago.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over CHMG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CHMG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.2xQ3 2024: -2.8xQ4 2024: -1.5xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -14.3xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.2xQ3 2024: -2.8xQ4 2024: -1.5xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -14.3xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-14.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.5xNet Cash

CHMG has the edge over JPM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

CHMG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI67.6Neutral
Stochastic70.2Neutral

CHMG's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 70 (neutral).

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

CHMG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCHMGSector medianRelative
PE11x13x17% below
PE %746311 pts above

CHMG has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CHMG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$83.23% above
20 week MA$81.84.8% above
50 week MA$69.324% above
100 week MA$59.345% above
200 week MA$51.965% above

CHMG has the edge over JPM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

CHMG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$42.5$33.7-21%
2021$33.7$46.5+38%
2022$46.5$44.9-3.4%
2023$44.9$49.8+11%
2024$49.8$49.4-0.8%
2025$49.4$55.3+12%
2026 YTD$55.3$85.7+55%

CHMG has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

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