CHKP

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.

65
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation68/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

CHKP's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over CHKP overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

CHKP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Stable

CHKP's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

CHKP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.2x16x25x33x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.2x16x25x33x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward14x$147—
Current15x$147—
Cheap19x$187+26%
Fair21x$203+38%
Expensive25x$241+64%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CHKP's PE is in its cheap range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over CHKP in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CHKP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect CHKP's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

CHKP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$179.70
Downside-15%$125.96

Calculated from the latest close: $147.49 on Nov 12.

CHKP trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CHKP, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CHKP Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $7.16Q4 2023: $7.11Q1 2024: $7.19Q2 2024: $7.24Q3 2024: $7.32Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $7.58Q2 2025: $7.68Q3 2025: $9.13Q4 2025: $9.60Q1 2026: $9.70Q2 2026: $9.73Forward: $10.74
Q3 2023: $7.16Q4 2023: $7.11Q1 2024: $7.19Q2 2024: $7.24Q3 2024: $7.32Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $7.58Q2 2025: $7.68Q3 2025: $9.13Q4 2025: $9.60Q1 2026: $9.70Q2 2026: $9.73Forward: $10.74
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.74+10%
Q2 2026$9.73+27%
Q1 2026$9.70+28%
Q4 2025$9.60+29%
Q3 2025$9.13+25%
Q2 2025$7.68+6.1%
Q1 2025$7.58+5.4%
Q4 2024$7.47+5.1%
Q3 2024$7.32+2.2%

CHKP's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $9.73 over the past year, up 27% from the year before, and higher year over year for 16 quarters in a row.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over CHKP on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CHKP Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $596MQ4 2023: $664MQ1 2024: $599MQ2 2024: $627MQ3 2024: $635MQ4 2024: $704MQ1 2025: $638MQ2 2025: $665MQ3 2025: $678MQ4 2025: $745MQ1 2026: $668MQ2 2026: $674M
Q3 2023: $596MQ4 2023: $664MQ1 2024: $599MQ2 2024: $627MQ3 2024: $635MQ4 2024: $704MQ1 2025: $638MQ2 2025: $665MQ3 2025: $678MQ4 2025: $745MQ1 2026: $668MQ2 2026: $674M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$673.6M+1.3%
Q1 2026$668.4M+4.8%
Q4 2025$744.9M+5.9%
Q3 2025$677.5M+6.7%
Q2 2025$665.2M+6%
Q1 2025$637.8M+6.5%
Q4 2024$703.7M+6.1%
Q3 2024$635.1M+6.5%

CHKP's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $674M last quarter, up 1.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over CHKP on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CHKP Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $216MQ4 2023: $234MQ1 2024: $355MQ2 2024: $194MQ3 2024: $244MQ4 2024: $236MQ1 2025: $414MQ2 2025: $256MQ3 2025: $265MQ4 2025: $277MQ1 2026: $436MQ2 2026: $161M
Q3 2023: $216MQ4 2023: $234MQ1 2024: $355MQ2 2024: $194MQ3 2024: $244MQ4 2024: $236MQ1 2025: $414MQ2 2025: $256MQ3 2025: $265MQ4 2025: $277MQ1 2026: $436MQ2 2026: $161M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$160.7M-37%
Q1 2026$435.9M+5.4%
Q4 2025$277.3M+17%
Q3 2025$265.1M+8.6%
Q2 2025$256M+32%
Q1 2025$413.7M+17%
Q4 2024$236.1M+0.8%
Q3 2024$244.1M+13%

CHKP's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $1.1B over the past year, about the same as the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over CHKP on cash flow, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CHKP Total Shares

Q3 2023: 117MQ4 2023: 116MQ1 2024: 115MQ2 2024: 114MQ3 2024: 113MQ4 2024: 112MQ1 2025: 111MQ2 2025: 110MQ3 2025: 110MQ4 2025: 110MQ1 2026: 106MQ2 2026: 104M
Q3 2023: 117MQ4 2023: 116MQ1 2024: 115MQ2 2024: 114MQ3 2024: 113MQ4 2024: 112MQ1 2025: 111MQ2 2025: 110MQ3 2025: 110MQ4 2025: 110MQ1 2026: 106MQ2 2026: 104M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.5%-2.6M shares
1 year-6.3%-6.9M shares
3 years-13%-15.7M shares
5 years-23%-31.3M shares
Available history-31%-47.3M shares

CHKP has the edge over NVDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has 24.3B diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago, with $55.3B in buybacks over the past year.

CHKP Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.3xQ4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.6xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 1.5x
Q3 2023: -0.3xQ4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.6xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20260.9xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.5xNet Cash

CHKP's net debt is about 1.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA has the edge over CHKP on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CHKP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.5Neutral
Stochastic62.8Neutral

CHKP's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 63 (neutral).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

CHKP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCHKPSector medianRelative
PE15x28x46% below
PE %83527 pts below

CHKP has the edge over NVDA on valuation relative to its sector.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

CHKP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$142.43.6% above
20 week MA$136.68% above
50 week MA$147.60.1% below
100 week MA$177.117% below
200 week MA$164.510% below

CHKP has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

CHKP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$111.8$134.8+21%
2021$134.8$114.9-15%
2022$114.9$127.0+11%
2023$127.0$152.8+20%
2024$152.8$187.9+23%
2025$187.9$189.6+0.9%
2026 YTD$189.6$147.5-22%

CHKP has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA has the edge over CHKP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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