CHKP
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.
CHKP's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over CHKP overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
CHKP Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
CHKP's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
CHKP PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 14x | $147 | — |
| Current | 15x | $147 | — |
| Cheap | 19x | $187 | +26% |
| Fair | 21x | $203 | +38% |
| Expensive | 25x | $241 | +64% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CHKP's PE is in its cheap range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over CHKP in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
CHKP Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect CHKP's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
CHKP Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $10.74 | +10% |
| Q2 2026 | $9.73 | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.70 | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.60 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.13 | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.68 | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.58 | +5.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +5.1% |
| Q3 2024 | $7.32 | +2.2% |
CHKP's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $9.73 over the past year, up 27% from the year before, and higher year over year for 16 quarters in a row.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over CHKP on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
CHKP Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $673.6M | +1.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $668.4M | +4.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $744.9M | +5.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $677.5M | +6.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $665.2M | +6% |
| Q1 2025 | $637.8M | +6.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $703.7M | +6.1% |
| Q3 2024 | $635.1M | +6.5% |
CHKP's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $674M last quarter, up 1.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 27% | -3.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 28% | -3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 31% | -4.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 29% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 31% | -2.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 36% | -1.8 points |
| Q3 2024 | 34% | -3.5 points |
CHKP's operating margin was 27% last quarter, down 3.1 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over CHKP on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over CHKP on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
CHKP Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $160.7M | -37% |
| Q1 2026 | $435.9M | +5.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $277.3M | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $265.1M | +8.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $256M | +32% |
| Q1 2025 | $413.7M | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $236.1M | +0.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $244.1M | +13% |
CHKP has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
CHKP Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.5% | -2.6M shares |
| 1 year | -6.3% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | -13% | -15.7M shares |
| 5 years | -23% | -31.3M shares |
| Available history | -31% | -47.3M shares |
CHKP has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $324.9M |
| Q1 2026 | $325M |
| Q4 2025 | $425M |
| Q3 2025 | $366.8M |
| Q2 2025 | $325M |
| Q1 2025 | $325M |
| Q4 2024 | $324.9M |
| Q3 2024 | $325M |
CHKP spent $1.4B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
CHKP Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
CHKP's net debt is about 1.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT has the edge over CHKP on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
CHKP Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 62.8 | Neutral |
CHKP's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 63 (neutral).
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
CHKP PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | CHKP | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 28x | 46% below |
| PE % | 8 | 35 | 27 pts below |
CHKP has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
CHKP Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $142.4 | 3.6% above |
| 20 week MA | $136.6 | 8% above |
| 50 week MA | $147.6 | 0.1% below |
| 100 week MA | $177.1 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $164.5 | 10% below |
CHKP has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 10% below its 200-week average.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over CHKP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CHKP Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $111.8 | $134.8 | +21% |
| 2021 | $134.8 | $114.9 | -15% |
| 2022 | $114.9 | $127.0 | +11% |
| 2023 | $127.0 | $152.8 | +20% |
| 2024 | $152.8 | $187.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $187.9 | $189.6 | +0.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $189.6 | $147.5 | -22% |
CHKP has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 22% so far in 2026.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over CHKP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.