CGNX

Cognex Corporation

83
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation81/ 100
Upside potential84/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

CGNX's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over CGNX overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

CGNX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CGNX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

CGNX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x49x74x99x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x49x74x99x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward26x$50.77—
Current35x$50.77—
Cheap40x$57.69+14%
Fair55x$79.70+57%
Expensive79x$113+123%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CGNX's PE is in its cheap range at 35x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over CGNX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CGNX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

CGNX has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

CGNX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+72%$87.15
Downside-13%$44.08

Calculated from the latest close: $50.77 on Nov 12.

CGNX trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CGNX, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CGNX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.65Q1 2024: $0.57Q2 2024: $0.45Q3 2024: $0.51Q4 2024: $0.62Q1 2025: $0.69Q2 2025: $0.72Q3 2025: $0.65Q4 2025: $0.68Q2 2026: $0.85Q3 2026: $1.04Q4 2026: $1.44Forward: $1.94
Q4 2023: $0.65Q1 2024: $0.57Q2 2024: $0.45Q3 2024: $0.51Q4 2024: $0.62Q1 2025: $0.69Q2 2025: $0.72Q3 2025: $0.65Q4 2025: $0.68Q2 2026: $0.85Q3 2026: $1.04Q4 2026: $1.44Forward: $1.94
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.94+35%
Q3 2026$1.44+122%
Q2 2026$1.04+44%
Q1 2026$0.85+23%
Q4 2025$0.68+9.7%
Q3 2025$0.65+27%
Q2 2025$0.72+60%
Q1 2025$0.69+21%
Q4 2024$0.62-4.6%

CGNX earned $1.44 per share over the past year, up 122% from the year before.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over CGNX on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CGNX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: $211MQ2 2024: $239MQ3 2024: $235MQ4 2024: $230MQ1 2025: $216MQ2 2025: $249MQ3 2025: $277MQ4 2025: $252MQ2 2026: $268MQ3 2026: $291MQ4 2026: $313M
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: $211MQ2 2024: $239MQ3 2024: $235MQ4 2024: $230MQ1 2025: $216MQ2 2025: $249MQ3 2025: $277MQ4 2025: $252MQ2 2026: $268MQ3 2026: $291MQ4 2026: $313M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$313.4M+13%
Q2 2026$291.3M+17%
Q1 2026$268.4M+24%
Q4 2025$252.3M+9.9%
Q3 2025$276.9M+18%
Q2 2025$249.1M+4.1%
Q1 2025$216M+2.5%
Q4 2024$229.7M+17%

CGNX's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $313M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over CGNX on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CGNX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $52MQ4 2024: $49MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $72MQ2 2026: $42MQ3 2026: $68MQ4 2026: $104M
Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $52MQ4 2024: $49MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $72MQ2 2026: $42MQ3 2026: $68MQ4 2026: $104M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$103.8M+21%
Q2 2026$67.6M+67%
Q1 2026$42.3M+11%
Q4 2025$72.3M+47%
Q3 2025$86M+66%
Q2 2025$40.4M+74%
Q1 2025$38M+297%
Q4 2024$49.3M+560%

CGNX's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $286M over the past year, up 34% from the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for six years: $127B over the past year, up 76% from the year before.

CGNX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 173MQ1 2024: 173MQ2 2024: 173MQ3 2024: 173MQ4 2024: 173MQ1 2025: 170MQ2 2025: 169MQ3 2025: 169MQ4 2025: 169MQ2 2026: 168MQ3 2026: 170MQ4 2026: 171M
Q4 2023: 173MQ1 2024: 173MQ2 2024: 173MQ3 2024: 173MQ4 2024: 173MQ1 2025: 170MQ2 2025: 169MQ3 2025: 169MQ4 2025: 169MQ2 2026: 168MQ3 2026: 170MQ4 2026: 171M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+1M shares
1 year+1%+1.7M shares
3 years-1.3%-2.3M shares
5 years-5.2%-9.3M shares
Available history-2.4%-4.2M shares

CGNX has 171M diluted shares, up 1% from a year ago, despite $130M in buybacks over the past year.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over CGNX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CGNX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.3xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.3xQ4 2025: -1.4xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -1.1xQ4 2026: -2.2x
Q4 2023: -1.3xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.3xQ4 2025: -1.4xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -1.1xQ4 2026: -2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.3xNet Cash

CGNX has the edge over NVDA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

CGNX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.1Neutral
Stochastic13.4Oversold

CGNX's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

CGNX PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCGNXSector medianRelative
PE35x28x27% above
PE %83527 pts below

CGNX is trading at 35x earnings, a 27% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA has the edge over CGNX on valuation relative to its sector.

CGNX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$56.49.9% below
20 week MA$60.917% below
50 week MA$55.17.8% below
100 week MA$45.611% above
200 week MA$44.913% above

CGNX has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

CGNX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$56.2$80.7+44%
2021$80.7$77.6-3.9%
2022$77.6$47.4-39%
2023$47.4$41.7-12%
2024$41.7$36.0-14%
2025$36.0$36.6+1.4%
2026 YTD$36.6$50.8+39%

CGNX has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

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