CG

The Carlyle Group Inc.

22
Fundamentals32/ 100
Valuation22/ 100
Upside potential45/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CG's fundamentals are weak and it looks expensive: trading at 42x earnings, about three times its usual 15x. Analysts expect earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

IREN

IREN Limited

There isn't enough reported data to score IREN yet.

CG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
N/A
N/A

CG's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CG.

IREN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
N/A
N/A

IREN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like IREN.

CG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE49x99x148x197x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE49x99x148x197x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.4x$5.99-85%
Forward9.5x$39.36โ€”
Fair14x$13.43-66%
Expensive36x$33.42-15%
Current42x$39.36โ€”

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CG's PE is in its expensive range at 42x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.5x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

IREN PE Valuation

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CG, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

IREN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect IREN's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$47.50
Downside-26%$29.21

Calculated from the latest close: $39.36 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CG and IREN's risk to reward.

IREN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $19.48 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CG and IREN's risk to reward.

CG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.68Q1 2024: $-1.78Q2 2024: $-1.11Q3 2024: $0.30Q4 2024: $2.77Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $1.78Q4 2025: $2.18Q1 2026: $1.46Q2 2026: $0.96Q3 2026: $0.94Forward: $4.16
Q4 2023: $-1.68Q1 2024: $-1.78Q2 2024: $-1.11Q3 2024: $0.30Q4 2024: $2.77Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $1.78Q4 2025: $2.18Q1 2026: $1.46Q2 2026: $0.96Q3 2026: $0.94Forward: $4.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.16+343%
Q3 2026$0.94-47%
Q2 2026$0.96-72%
Q1 2026$1.46-50%
Q4 2025$2.18-21%
Q3 2025$1.78+493%
Q2 2025$3.41+$4.52
Q1 2025$2.94+$4.72
Q4 2024$2.77+$4.45

CG has the edge over IREN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

IREN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.96-347%
Q2 2026-$2.22-988%
Q1 2026$0.51+$1.10
Q4 2025$1.18+$1.62
Q3 2025$1.60+$1.99
Q2 2025$0.25+$0.45
Q1 2025-$0.59-$0.43
Q4 2024-$0.44-$0.15

IREN has swung to a loss: it lost $3.96 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

CG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $926MQ1 2024: $688MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $973MQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $333MQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $254MQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $334M
Q4 2023: $926MQ1 2024: $688MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $973MQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $333MQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $254MQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $334M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$334.1M+0.4%
Q2 2026$1.1B-29%
Q1 2026$254M-74%
Q4 2025$1.9B+84%
Q3 2025$332.7M-87%
Q2 2025$1.6B+47%
Q1 2025$973.1M+41%
Q4 2024$1B+11%

CG's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $334M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

IREN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$228M-5.1%
Q2 2026$137.2M-27%
Q1 2026$144.8M0%
Q4 2025$184.7M+59%
Q3 2025$240.3M+355%
Q2 2025$187.3M+230%
Q1 2025$144.8M+168%
Q4 2024$116.1M+176%

IREN has the edge over CG on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $237MQ1 2024: $57MQ2 2024: โˆ’$1.3BQ3 2024: $773MQ4 2024: โˆ’$380MQ1 2025: โˆ’$369MQ2 2025: โˆ’$186MQ3 2025: โˆ’$1.6BQ4 2025: โˆ’$1.2BQ1 2026: โˆ’$1.3BQ2 2026: โˆ’$33MQ3 2026: $334M
Q4 2023: $237MQ1 2024: $57MQ2 2024: โˆ’$1.3BQ3 2024: $773MQ4 2024: โˆ’$380MQ1 2025: โˆ’$369MQ2 2025: โˆ’$186MQ3 2025: โˆ’$1.6BQ4 2025: โˆ’$1.2BQ1 2026: โˆ’$1.3BQ2 2026: โˆ’$33MQ3 2026: $334M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$333.7M+$1.9B
Q2 2026-$32.5M+$153.8M
Q1 2026-$1.3B-$901.7M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$857.6M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-305%
Q2 2025-$186.3M+$1.1B
Q1 2025-$368.8M-748%
Q4 2024-$379.5M-260%

CG's free cash flow was โˆ’$2.2B over the past year, against โˆ’$2.5B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CG.

IREN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$29MQ1 2024: โˆ’$222MQ2 2024: โˆ’$163MQ3 2024: โˆ’$387MQ4 2024: โˆ’$134MQ1 2025: โˆ’$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: โˆ’$38MQ4 2025: โˆ’$468MQ1 2026: โˆ’$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.6B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$29MQ1 2024: โˆ’$222MQ2 2024: โˆ’$163MQ3 2024: โˆ’$387MQ4 2024: โˆ’$134MQ1 2025: โˆ’$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: โˆ’$38MQ4 2025: โˆ’$468MQ1 2026: โˆ’$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.6B-$1.6B
Q2 2026$482.2M+2895%
Q1 2026-$873.8M-$523.1M
Q4 2025-$468M-$334M
Q3 2025-$38M+$349.4M
Q2 2025$16.1M+$179M
Q1 2025-$350.7M-$128.7M
Q4 2024-$134M-$105.2M

IREN's free cash flow was โˆ’$2.5B over the past year, against โˆ’$507M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

CG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 361MQ1 2024: 369MQ2 2024: 367MQ3 2024: 365MQ4 2024: 368MQ1 2025: 366MQ2 2025: 367MQ3 2025: 376MQ4 2025: 371MQ1 2026: 359MQ2 2026: 367MQ3 2026: 354M
Q4 2023: 361MQ1 2024: 369MQ2 2024: 367MQ3 2024: 365MQ4 2024: 368MQ1 2025: 366MQ2 2025: 367MQ3 2025: 376MQ4 2025: 371MQ1 2026: 359MQ2 2026: 367MQ3 2026: 354M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.5%-13M shares
1 year-5.9%-22.2M shares
3 years-2.6%-9.4M shares
5 years-2.9%-10.4M shares
Available history-0.8%-3M shares

CG has the edge over IREN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IREN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+26%+82.4M shares
1 year+10%+36.9M shares
3 years+511%+333M shares
5 years+624%+344M shares
Available history+2346%+382M shares

IREN has 399M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

CG Net Leverage

Q3 2024: -2.9xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -1.6xQ1 2026: -1.8xQ2 2026: -1.5xQ3 2026: -2.0x
Q3 2024: -2.9xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -1.6xQ1 2026: -1.8xQ2 2026: -1.5xQ3 2026: -2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.8xNet Cash

CG has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CG.

IREN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2026157.6xHigh
Q4 202522.2xHigh
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20252.0xModerate
Q1 20253.3xElevated
Q4 2024-4.6xNet Cash
Q3 2024-16.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-15.9xNet Cash

IREN's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

CG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.1Neutral
Stochastic26.1Neutral

CG's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

IREN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.3Neutral
Stochastic8.2Oversold

IREN's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

CG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCGSector medianRelative
PE42x13x222% above
PE %876324 pts above

CG is trading at 42x earnings, a 222% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

IREN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricIRENSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.10.8% above
20 week MA$43.18.7% below
50 week MA$48.519% below
100 week MA$50.522% below
200 week MA$44.411% below

CG has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 11% below its 200-week average.

IREN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.835% below
20 week MA$36.246% below
50 week MA$42.854% below
100 week MA$32.039% below
200 week MA$19.12.1% above

IREN has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.1% above its 200-week average.

CG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$31.2$31.4+0.4%
2021$31.4$55.5+77%
2022$55.5$29.9-46%
2023$29.9$40.7+36%
2024$40.7$50.9+25%
2025$50.9$61.1+20%
2026 YTD$61.1$39.4-36%

CG has the edge over IREN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

IREN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$24.8$17.2-31%
2022$17.2$1.19-93%
2023$1.19$7.15+501%
2024$7.15$10.7+50%
2025$10.7$40.3+276%
2026 YTD$40.3$19.5-52%

IREN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2023 to โˆ’93% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

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