CG

The Carlyle Group Inc.

22
Fundamentals32/ 100
Valuation22/ 100
Upside potential45/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CG's fundamentals are weak and it looks expensive: trading at 42x earnings, about three times its usual 15x. Analysts expect earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

CIFR

Cipher Mining Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.

CG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
N/A
N/A

CG's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CG.

CIFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.

CG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE49x99x148x197x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE49x99x148x197x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.4x$5.99-85%
Forward9.5x$39.36โ€”
Fair14x$13.43-66%
Expensive36x$33.42-15%
Current42x$39.36โ€”

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CG's PE is in its expensive range at 42x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.5x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

CIFR PE Valuation

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CG, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CIFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

CIFR has the edge over CG on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

CG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$47.50
Downside-26%$29.21

Calculated from the latest close: $39.36 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CG and CIFR's risk to reward.

CIFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $7.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CG and CIFR's risk to reward.

CG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.68Q1 2024: $-1.78Q2 2024: $-1.11Q3 2024: $0.30Q4 2024: $2.77Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $1.78Q4 2025: $2.18Q1 2026: $1.46Q2 2026: $0.96Q3 2026: $0.94Forward: $4.16
Q4 2023: $-1.68Q1 2024: $-1.78Q2 2024: $-1.11Q3 2024: $0.30Q4 2024: $2.77Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $1.78Q4 2025: $2.18Q1 2026: $1.46Q2 2026: $0.96Q3 2026: $0.94Forward: $4.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.16+343%
Q3 2026$0.94-47%
Q2 2026$0.96-72%
Q1 2026$1.46-50%
Q4 2025$2.18-21%
Q3 2025$1.78+493%
Q2 2025$3.41+$4.52
Q1 2025$2.94+$4.72
Q4 2024$2.77+$4.45

CG has the edge over CIFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CIFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.06-$2.86
Q2 2026-$2.85-$2.40
Q1 2026-$2.32-$1.94
Q4 2025-$2.15-$2.01
Q3 2025-$0.20-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.45-850%
Q1 2025-$0.38-733%
Q4 2024-$0.14-$0.04

CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

CG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $926MQ1 2024: $688MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $973MQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $333MQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $254MQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $334M
Q4 2023: $926MQ1 2024: $688MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $973MQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $333MQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $254MQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $334M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$334.1M+0.4%
Q2 2026$1.1B-29%
Q1 2026$254M-74%
Q4 2025$1.9B+84%
Q3 2025$332.7M-87%
Q2 2025$1.6B+47%
Q1 2025$973.1M+41%
Q4 2024$1B+11%

CG has the edge over CIFR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.7M-63%
Q2 2026$24.8M-43%
Q1 2026$34.8M-29%
Q4 2025$59.7M+41%
Q3 2025$71.7M+198%
Q2 2025$43.6M+18%
Q1 2025$49M+1.7%
Q4 2024$42.2M-2.8%

CIFR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $27M last quarter, down 63% from the same quarter a year ago.

CG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $237MQ1 2024: $57MQ2 2024: โˆ’$1.3BQ3 2024: $773MQ4 2024: โˆ’$380MQ1 2025: โˆ’$369MQ2 2025: โˆ’$186MQ3 2025: โˆ’$1.6BQ4 2025: โˆ’$1.2BQ1 2026: โˆ’$1.3BQ2 2026: โˆ’$33MQ3 2026: $334M
Q4 2023: $237MQ1 2024: $57MQ2 2024: โˆ’$1.3BQ3 2024: $773MQ4 2024: โˆ’$380MQ1 2025: โˆ’$369MQ2 2025: โˆ’$186MQ3 2025: โˆ’$1.6BQ4 2025: โˆ’$1.2BQ1 2026: โˆ’$1.3BQ2 2026: โˆ’$33MQ3 2026: $334M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$333.7M+$1.9B
Q2 2026-$32.5M+$153.8M
Q1 2026-$1.3B-$901.7M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$857.6M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-305%
Q2 2025-$186.3M+$1.1B
Q1 2025-$368.8M-748%
Q4 2024-$379.5M-260%

CG has the edge over CIFR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$114MQ1 2024: โˆ’$35MQ2 2024: โˆ’$33MQ3 2024: โˆ’$83MQ4 2024: โˆ’$76MQ1 2025: โˆ’$72MQ2 2025: โˆ’$88MQ3 2025: โˆ’$256MQ4 2025: โˆ’$280MQ1 2026: โˆ’$462MQ2 2026: โˆ’$654MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.7B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$114MQ1 2024: โˆ’$35MQ2 2024: โˆ’$33MQ3 2024: โˆ’$83MQ4 2024: โˆ’$76MQ1 2025: โˆ’$72MQ2 2025: โˆ’$88MQ3 2025: โˆ’$256MQ4 2025: โˆ’$280MQ1 2026: โˆ’$462MQ2 2026: โˆ’$654MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.7B-$1.4B
Q2 2026-$653.8M-$566.3M
Q1 2026-$462.5M-$390.7M
Q4 2025-$280.3M-$204.2M
Q3 2025-$256.2M-$173.1M
Q2 2025-$87.5M-$54.3M
Q1 2025-$71.8M-$37.3M
Q4 2024-$76.1M+$38M

CIFR's free cash flow was โˆ’$3.1B over the past year, against โˆ’$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

CG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 361MQ1 2024: 369MQ2 2024: 367MQ3 2024: 365MQ4 2024: 368MQ1 2025: 366MQ2 2025: 367MQ3 2025: 376MQ4 2025: 371MQ1 2026: 359MQ2 2026: 367MQ3 2026: 354M
Q4 2023: 361MQ1 2024: 369MQ2 2024: 367MQ3 2024: 365MQ4 2024: 368MQ1 2025: 366MQ2 2025: 367MQ3 2025: 376MQ4 2025: 371MQ1 2026: 359MQ2 2026: 367MQ3 2026: 354M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.5%-13M shares
1 year-5.9%-22.2M shares
3 years-2.6%-9.4M shares
5 years-2.9%-10.4M shares
Available history-0.8%-3M shares

CG has the edge over CIFR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+30.3M shares
1 year+12%+46.5M shares
3 years+75%+188M shares
5 years+102%+222M shares

CIFR has 440M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago, despite $151M in buybacks over the past year.

CG Net Leverage

Q3 2024: -2.9xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -1.6xQ1 2026: -1.8xQ2 2026: -1.5xQ3 2026: -2.0x
Q3 2024: -2.9xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -1.6xQ1 2026: -1.8xQ2 2026: -1.5xQ3 2026: -2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.8xNet Cash

CG has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CG.

CIFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025125.4xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.1xNet Cash

CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

CG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.1Neutral
Stochastic26.1Neutral

CG's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

CIFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

CG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCGSector medianRelative
PE42x13x222% above
PE %876324 pts above

CG is trading at 42x earnings, a 222% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIFRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.10.8% above
20 week MA$43.18.7% below
50 week MA$48.519% below
100 week MA$50.522% below
200 week MA$44.411% below

CG has the edge over CIFR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CIFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.633% below
20 week MA$15.554% below
50 week MA$17.058% below
100 week MA$12.241% below
200 week MA$7.869% below

CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.

CG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$31.2$31.4+0.4%
2021$31.4$55.5+77%
2022$55.5$29.9-46%
2023$29.9$40.7+36%
2024$40.7$50.9+25%
2025$50.9$61.1+20%
2026 YTD$61.1$39.4-36%

CG has the edge over CIFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CIFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.92$9.95+0.3%
2021$9.95$5.21-48%
2022$5.21$0.54-90%
2023$0.54$4.13+665%
2024$4.13$4.86+18%
2025$4.86$15.2+213%
2026 YTD$15.2$7.15-53%

CIFR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +665% in 2023 to โˆ’90% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

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