CFR

Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc.

58
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CFR has a slight edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

CFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

CFR's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CFR.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

CFR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.0x12x18x24x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.0x12x18x24x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$126-20%
Forward13x$158—
Fair14x$152-4%
Current15x$158—
Expensive19x$207+31%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CFR's PE is 15x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM has the edge over CFR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

CFR has the edge over JPM on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

CFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$179.77
Downside-11%$140.01

Calculated from the latest close: $157.81 on Nov 12.

CFR trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CFR, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $9.10Q1 2024: $8.46Q2 2024: $8.20Q3 2024: $8.06Q4 2024: $8.87Q1 2025: $9.11Q2 2025: $9.29Q3 2025: $9.72Q4 2025: $9.92Q1 2026: $10.27Q2 2026: $10.58Q3 2026: $10.75Forward: $11.91
Q4 2023: $9.10Q1 2024: $8.46Q2 2024: $8.20Q3 2024: $8.06Q4 2024: $8.87Q1 2025: $9.11Q2 2025: $9.29Q3 2025: $9.72Q4 2025: $9.92Q1 2026: $10.27Q2 2026: $10.58Q3 2026: $10.75Forward: $11.91
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.91+11%
Q3 2026$10.75+11%
Q2 2026$10.58+14%
Q1 2026$10.27+13%
Q4 2025$9.92+12%
Q3 2025$9.72+21%
Q2 2025$9.29+13%
Q1 2025$9.11+7.7%
Q4 2024$8.87-2.5%

CFR earned $10.75 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the edge over CFR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $502MQ1 2024: $501MQ2 2024: $508MQ3 2024: $518MQ4 2024: $536MQ1 2025: $540MQ2 2025: $547MQ3 2025: $567MQ4 2025: $581MQ1 2026: $575MQ2 2026: $576MQ3 2026: $604M
Q4 2023: $502MQ1 2024: $501MQ2 2024: $508MQ3 2024: $518MQ4 2024: $536MQ1 2025: $540MQ2 2025: $547MQ3 2025: $567MQ4 2025: $581MQ1 2026: $575MQ2 2026: $576MQ3 2026: $604M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$603.8M+6.4%
Q2 2026$576M+5.3%
Q1 2026$574.8M+6.4%
Q4 2025$580.9M+8.3%
Q3 2025$567.3M+9.5%
Q2 2025$546.9M+7.7%
Q1 2025$540.2M+7.7%
Q4 2024$536.3M+6.9%

CFR's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $604M last quarter, up 6.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

CFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$124MQ1 2024: $450MQ2 2024: $103MQ3 2024: $282MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: −$337MQ2 2025: $115MQ3 2025: $212MQ4 2025: $138MQ1 2026: $199MQ2 2026: −$7MQ3 2026: $249M
Q4 2023: −$124MQ1 2024: $450MQ2 2024: $103MQ3 2024: $282MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: −$337MQ2 2025: $115MQ3 2025: $212MQ4 2025: $138MQ1 2026: $199MQ2 2026: −$7MQ3 2026: $249M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$248.7M+17%
Q2 2026-$7.1M-106%
Q1 2026$198.7M+$535.8M
Q4 2025$138.2M+419%
Q3 2025$211.7M-25%
Q2 2025$114.5M+11%
Q1 2025-$337.1M-175%
Q4 2024$26.7M+$150.2M

CFR has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

CFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 64MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 64MQ3 2024: 64MQ4 2024: 64MQ1 2025: 64MQ2 2025: 64MQ3 2025: 64MQ4 2025: 64MQ1 2026: 63MQ2 2026: 62MQ3 2026: 62M
Q4 2023: 64MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 64MQ3 2024: 64MQ4 2024: 64MQ1 2025: 64MQ2 2025: 64MQ3 2025: 64MQ4 2025: 64MQ1 2026: 63MQ2 2026: 62MQ3 2026: 62M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-338K shares
1 year-3.1%-2M shares
3 years-3.3%-2.1M shares
5 years-3.1%-2M shares
Available history-2.1%-1.3M shares

CFR has the edge over JPM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has 2.7B diluted shares, down 3.1% from a year ago, with $24.5B in buybacks over the past year.

CFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.8xNet Cash

CFR has the edge over JPM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

CFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

CFR's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

CFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCFRSector medianRelative
PE15x13x13% above
PE %56637 pts below

CFR is trading at 15x earnings, a 13% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM has the edge over CFR on valuation relative to its sector.

CFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$155.71.4% above
20 week MA$159.81.2% below
50 week MA$146.87.5% above
100 week MA$137.415% above
200 week MA$123.328% above

CFR's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 28% above its 200-week average.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

CFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.0$87.5-11%
2021$87.5$125.5+43%
2022$125.5$131.7+5%
2023$131.7$108.5-18%
2024$108.5$135.2+25%
2025$135.2$128.6-4.9%
2026 YTD$128.6$157.8+23%

CFR has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

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