CFFN

Capitol Federal Financial, Inc.

68
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

CFFN has the edge over HOOD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CFFN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

CFFN's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CFFN.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

CFFN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.5x17x25x34x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.5x17x25x34x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward11x$8.46—
Cheap13x$8.40-0.7%
Current13x$8.46—
Fair15x$10.01+18%
Expensive21x$13.83+63%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CFFN has the edge over HOOD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD's PE is in its cheap range at 38x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.

CFFN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CFFN, with profitability improving.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for HOOD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CFFN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$10.71
Downside-13%$7.38

Calculated from the latest close: $8.46 on Nov 12.

CFFN trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CFFN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CFFN Earnings Per Share

Q3 2024: $0.29Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $0.47Q3 2025: $0.52Q4 2025: $0.56Q1 2026: $0.60Q2 2026: $0.65Forward: $0.78
Q3 2024: $0.29Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $0.47Q3 2025: $0.52Q4 2025: $0.56Q1 2026: $0.60Q2 2026: $0.65Forward: $0.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.78+19%
Q2 2026$0.65+38%
Q1 2026$0.60+50%
Q4 2025$0.56+44%
Q3 2025$0.52+79%
Q2 2023$0.43-31%
Q1 2023$0.53-10%
Q4 2022$0.580%
Q3 2022$0.62+11%

CFFN earned $0.65 per share over the past year, up 38% from the year before.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD has the edge over CFFN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CFFN Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $31MQ1 2024: $46MQ2 2024: $45MQ3 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $51MQ3 2025: $55MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $58MQ2 2026: $60M
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $31MQ1 2024: $46MQ2 2024: $45MQ3 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $51MQ3 2025: $55MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $58MQ2 2026: $60M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$60.2M+19%
Q1 2026$57.7M+18%
Q4 2025$56.8M+21%
Q3 2025$54.6M+20%
Q2 2025$50.7M+13%
Q1 2025$48.8M+6.2%
Q4 2024$46.9M+53%
Q2 2024$45M+11%

CFFN's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $60M last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the edge over CFFN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CFFN Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: −$7MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $11MQ3 2025: $20MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $16M
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: −$7MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $11MQ3 2025: $20MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $16M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$15.7M+46%
Q1 2026$20.1M+37%
Q4 2025$15.8M+255%
Q3 2025$19.9M+$24.7M
Q2 2025$10.8M-35%
Q1 2025$14.7M-23%
Q4 2024$4.5M+$11.1M
Q2 2024$16.4M+128%

CFFN's free cash flow was $72M over the past year, up 185% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CFFN.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

CFFN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 132MQ1 2024: 131MQ2 2024: 130MQ3 2024: 131MQ4 2024: 130MQ1 2025: 130MQ2 2025: 130MQ3 2025: 130MQ4 2025: 129MQ1 2026: 127MQ2 2026: 124M
Q4 2023: 132MQ1 2024: 131MQ2 2024: 130MQ3 2024: 131MQ4 2024: 130MQ1 2025: 130MQ2 2025: 130MQ3 2025: 130MQ4 2025: 129MQ1 2026: 127MQ2 2026: 124M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.1%-2.6M shares
1 year-4.7%-6.1M shares
3 years-6.9%-9.1M shares
5 years-8.5%-11.5M shares
Available history-10%-13.9M shares

CFFN has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.

CFFN Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 31.3xQ4 2024: -2.1xQ1 2025: -4.2xQ2 2025: -2.0xQ3 2025: 18.7xQ4 2025: -2.4xQ1 2026: -3.2xQ2 2026: -1.2x
Q3 2024: 31.3xQ4 2024: -2.1xQ1 2025: -4.2xQ2 2025: -2.0xQ3 2025: 18.7xQ4 2025: -2.4xQ1 2026: -3.2xQ2 2026: -1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q3 202518.7xHigh
Q2 2025-2.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 202431.3xHigh

CFFN has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CFFN.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

CFFN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic39.0Neutral

CFFN's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 39 (neutral).

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

CFFN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCFFNSector medianRelative
PE13x13xSame PE
PE %196344 pts below

CFFN has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CFFN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.440.2% above
20 week MA$8.601.6% below
50 week MA$7.877.5% above
100 week MA$6.9222% above
200 week MA$6.5130% above

CFFN has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.

CFFN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.7$12.4-9.8%
2021$12.4$11.4-8.2%
2022$11.4$8.60-24%
2023$8.60$6.45-25%
2024$6.45$5.95-7.8%
2025$5.95$7.00+18%
2026 YTD$7.00$8.46+21%

CFFN has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

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