CEVA

CEVA, Inc.

63
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

CEVA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over CEVA overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

CEVA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy
Strong

CEVA's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability is under pressure.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

CEVA PE Valuation

CEVA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

CEVA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

CEVA has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

CEVA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+67%$43.93
Downside-39%$16.04

Calculated from the latest close: $26.32 on Nov 12.

CEVA trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CEVA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CEVA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.51Q1 2024: $-0.53Q2 2024: $-0.29Q3 2024: $-0.14Q4 2024: $-0.37Q1 2025: $-0.28Q2 2025: $-0.42Q3 2025: $-0.46Q4 2025: $-0.44Q1 2026: $-0.46Q2 2026: $-0.41Q3 2026: $-0.39Forward: $0.74
Q4 2023: $-0.51Q1 2024: $-0.53Q2 2024: $-0.29Q3 2024: $-0.14Q4 2024: $-0.37Q1 2025: $-0.28Q2 2025: $-0.42Q3 2025: $-0.46Q4 2025: $-0.44Q1 2026: $-0.46Q2 2026: $-0.41Q3 2026: $-0.39Forward: $0.74
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.74—
Q3 2026-$0.39+$0.07
Q2 2026-$0.41+$0.01
Q1 2026-$0.46-$0.18
Q4 2025-$0.44-$0.07
Q3 2025-$0.46-$0.32
Q2 2025-$0.42-$0.13
Q1 2025-$0.28+$0.25
Q4 2024-$0.37+$0.14

CEVA is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.39 per share over the past year, against $1.34 at its worst in mid-2023.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over CEVA on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CEVA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $29MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $29MQ3 2026: $29M
Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $29MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $29MQ3 2026: $29M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$29.1M+2.4%
Q2 2026$29M+13%
Q1 2026$27M+11%
Q4 2025$31.3M+7.1%
Q3 2025$28.4M+4.3%
Q2 2025$25.7M-9.7%
Q1 2025$24.2M+9.8%
Q4 2024$29.2M+21%

CEVA's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $29M last quarter, up 2.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over CEVA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CEVA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: −$15,000Q4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: $492,000Q3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: $434,000
Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: −$15,000Q4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: $492,000Q3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: $434,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$434K+$6.7M
Q2 2026$5.2M+955%
Q1 2026-$7.2M+$515K
Q4 2025$7.2M+3.1%
Q3 2025-$6.3M-$6.3M
Q2 2025$492K-72%
Q1 2025-$7.7M+$539K
Q4 2024$7M+73%

CEVA has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

CEVA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 23MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 24MQ2 2025: 24MQ3 2025: 24MQ4 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 28MQ3 2026: 28M
Q4 2023: 23MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 24MQ2 2025: 24MQ3 2025: 24MQ4 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 28MQ3 2026: 28M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.2%+327K shares
1 year+18%+4.4M shares
3 years+20%+4.7M shares
5 years+22%+5.2M shares
Available history+27%+6M shares

CEVA has 28M diluted shares, up 18% from a year ago.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over CEVA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CEVA Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2022-42.2xNet Cash
Q3 2022-8.0xNet Cash
Q2 2022-2.0xNet Cash
Q1 2022-3.5xNet Cash
Q4 2021-3.5xNet Cash
Q3 2021-3.3xNet Cash
Q2 2021-3.2xNet Cash
Q1 2021-10.5xNet Cash

CEVA has more cash than debt.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

CEVA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.9Neutral
Stochastic25.4Neutral

CEVA's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

CEVA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCEVASector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

CEVA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

CEVA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$30.714% below
20 week MA$32.619% below
50 week MA$29.411% below
100 week MA$27.74.9% below
200 week MA$25.72.3% above

CEVA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.3% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over CEVA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CEVA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$27.1$42.2+56%
2021$42.2$44.4+5.1%
2022$44.4$25.9-42%
2023$25.9$22.7-12%
2024$22.7$32.4+43%
2025$32.4$21.7-33%
2026 YTD$21.7$26.3+21%

CEVA has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

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