CERT
Certara, Inc.
CERT lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.
CERT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
CERT's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue and profitability are under pressure.
CERT PE Valuation
CERT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CERT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect CERT's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.
CERT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.40 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | -700% |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.45 | -1000% |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.10 | -$0.08 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.01 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.07 | +$0.27 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.05 | +$0.55 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.02 | +$0.37 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.08 | +$0.27 |
CERT has swung to a loss: it lost $0.42 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
CERT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $94.9M | -9.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $93.3M | -11% |
| Q1 2026 | $106.9M | +0.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $103.6M | +3.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $104.6M | +10% |
| Q2 2025 | $104.6M | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $106M | +9.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.4M | +14% |
CERT's revenue is shrinking: $95M last quarter, down 9.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.5% | -0.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | -0.2% | -9.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | -4% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | 0.8% | -5.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.9% | +0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9.1% | +19 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.2% | +8.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6% | +16 points |
CERT's operating margin was 2.5% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
CERT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $29.9M | -6.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $9.4M | -47% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.1M | -34% |
| Q4 2025 | $27.8M | -43% |
| Q3 2025 | $32.1M | +91% |
| Q2 2025 | $17.9M | +91% |
| Q1 2025 | $16.8M | +356% |
| Q4 2024 | $49M | +118% |
CERT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $78M over the past year, down 32% from the year before.
CERT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.1% | -1.7M shares |
| 1 year | -4.9% | -7.9M shares |
| 3 years | -4.1% | -6.5M shares |
| 5 years | +2.5% | +3.7M shares |
| Available history | +3.8% | +5.5M shares |
CERT has 153M diluted shares, down 4.9% from a year ago, with $61M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $17.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $40M |
| Q4 2025 | $3.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $13.7M |
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | $1M |
| Q2 2020 | — |
CERT spent $61M buying back its own shares over the past year.
CERT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 12.0x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 442.0x | High |
CERT's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.2 years a year ago.
CERT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 74.4 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 88.2 | Overbought |
CERT's weekly RSI is 74 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 88 (overbought).
CERT PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | CERT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 26x | — |
CERT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CERT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $10.3 | 16% above |
| 20 week MA | $8.77 | 36% above |
| 50 week MA | $7.68 | 55% above |
| 100 week MA | $9.56 | 24% above |
| 200 week MA | $13.0 | 8.2% below |
CERT has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 8.2% below its 200-week average.
CERT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $38.1 | $37.8 | -0.7% |
| 2021 | $37.8 | $29.4 | -22% |
| 2022 | $29.4 | $16.0 | -45% |
| 2023 | $16.0 | $17.6 | +9.8% |
| 2024 | $17.6 | $10.7 | -39% |
| 2025 | $10.7 | $8.89 | -17% |
| 2026 YTD | $8.89 | $11.9 | +34% |
CERT is up 34% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in five of the previous six years.