CELH
Celsius Holdings, Inc.
CELH has the edge over TGT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
TGT
Target Corporation
TGT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
CELH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
CELH's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
TGT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
TGT's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
CELH PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 21x | $31.89 | — |
| Current | 35x | $31.89 | — |
| Cheap | 40x | $35.95 | +13% |
| Fair | 141x | $127 | +299% |
| Expensive | 650x | $585 | +1735% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CELH has the edge over TGT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TGT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 14x | $130 | -19% |
| Fair | 17x | $166 | +3.1% |
| Current | 17x | $161 | — |
| Forward | 17x | $161 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $216 | +34% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TGT's PE is in its fair range at 16.7x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 17.0x.
CELH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
CELH has the edge over TGT on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.
TGT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect TGT's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
CELH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.53 | +70% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.90 | +718% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.24 | -37% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.43 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.25 | -44% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.11 | -85% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.38 | -62% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.33 | -64% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.45 | -42% |
CELH earned $0.90 per share over the past year, about eight times what it earned the year before.
TGT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.44 | -2% |
| Q3 2026 | $9.63 | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.57 | -17% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.13 | -8.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.24 | -13% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.58 | -11% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.10 | +2% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.86 | -0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.44 | +20% |
TGT has the edge over CELH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CELH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $847.2M | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $817.9M | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $782.6M | +138% |
| Q4 2025 | $721.6M | +117% |
| Q3 2025 | $725.1M | +173% |
| Q2 2025 | $739.3M | +84% |
| Q1 2025 | $329.3M | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $332.2M | -4.4% |
CELH has the edge over TGT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +31 points |
| Q2 2026 | 9.2% | -10 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.6% | +9.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | -11% | -9.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 19% | -4.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 16% | -7.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | -5.6% | -23 points |
CELH has the edge over TGT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TGT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $26.5B | +5.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $25.4B | +6.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $30.5B | -1.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $25.3B | -1.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.2B | -0.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $23.8B | -2.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $30.9B | -3.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +1.1% |
TGT's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $26.5B last quarter, up 5.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.7% | +4.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.5% | -1.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.5% | -0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.8% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.2% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 6.2% | +0.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.8% | -1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 4.5% | -0.6 points |
TGT's operating margin was 9.7% last quarter, up 4.4 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CELH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $127.7M | -60% |
| Q2 2026 | $205.5M | +479% |
| Q1 2026 | $65.8M | -32% |
| Q4 2025 | -$130M | -285% |
| Q3 2025 | $321.5M | +3599% |
| Q2 2025 | $35.5M | +17% |
| Q1 2025 | $96.4M | -26% |
| Q4 2024 | $70.3M | +16394% |
CELH has the edge over TGT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TGT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.4B | +141% |
| Q2 2026 | -$319M | +$196M |
| Q1 2026 | $2.2B | -7.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $149M | +77% |
| Q3 2025 | $1B | -37% |
| Q2 2025 | -$515M | -221% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.4B | -2.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $84M | -90% |
TGT still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $4.5B over the past year.
CELH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.8% | -2M shares |
| 1 year | -1.1% | -2.9M shares |
| 3 years | +7.4% | +17.6M shares |
| 5 years | +8.3% | +19.5M shares |
| Available history | +32% | +62.4M shares |
CELH has the edge over TGT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $300,000 |
| Q2 2026 | $1M |
| Q1 2026 | $8.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $2.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $448,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $879,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $603,000 |
CELH spent $13M buying back its own shares over the past year, about three times what it spent the year before.
TGT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +800K shares |
| 1 year | +0.2% | +1M shares |
| 3 years | -1.3% | -5.9M shares |
| 5 years | -8.2% | -40.9M shares |
| Available history | -11% | -58.2M shares |
TGT has 457M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3M |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $150M |
| Q3 2025 | $8M |
| Q2 2025 | $250M |
| Q1 2025 | $501M |
| Q4 2024 | $351M |
TGT spent $153M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 86% from the year before.
CELH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | -7.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.5x | Net Cash |
CELH has the edge over TGT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
TGT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 2.0x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.5x | Healthy |
TGT's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.5 years a year ago.
CELH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 56.8 | Neutral |
CELH's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).
TGT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 65.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 54.5 | Neutral |
TGT's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).
CELH PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector
| Metric | CELH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 35x | 19x | 82% above |
| PE % | 11 | 18 | 7 pts below |
CELH is trading at 35x earnings, a 82% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.
TGT PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector
| Metric | TGT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17x | 19x | 14% below |
| PE % | 44 | 18 | 26 pts above |
TGT has the edge over CELH on valuation relative to its sector.
CELH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $29.1 | 9.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $29.6 | 7.8% above |
| 50 week MA | $36.1 | 12% below |
| 100 week MA | $38.8 | 18% below |
| 200 week MA | $44.6 | 29% below |
CELH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 29% below its 200-week average.
TGT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $156.0 | 3.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $152.3 | 5.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $131.1 | 23% above |
| 100 week MA | $117.8 | 37% above |
| 200 week MA | $131.6 | 22% above |
TGT has the edge over CELH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CELH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $1.58 | $14.7 | +832% |
| 2021 | $14.7 | $24.9 | +69% |
| 2022 | $24.9 | $35.6 | +43% |
| 2023 | $35.6 | $54.5 | +53% |
| 2024 | $54.5 | $26.5 | -51% |
| 2025 | $26.5 | $45.6 | +72% |
| 2026 YTD | $45.6 | $31.9 | -30% |
CELH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +832% in 2020 to −51% in 2024. It's down 30% so far in 2026.
TGT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $129.2 | $175.2 | +36% |
| 2021 | $175.2 | $221.0 | +26% |
| 2022 | $221.0 | $143.2 | -35% |
| 2023 | $143.2 | $142.4 | -0.5% |
| 2024 | $142.4 | $135.5 | -4.9% |
| 2025 | $135.5 | $99.6 | -27% |
| 2026 YTD | $99.6 | $160.9 | +62% |
TGT has the edge over CELH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.