CELH

Celsius Holdings, Inc.

72
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CELH has the edge over TAP overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

TAP

Molson Coors Beverage Company

54
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation72/ 100
Upside potential35/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

TAP offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CELH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Strong

CELH's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

TAP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

TAP's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

CELH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$31.89—
Current35x$31.89—
Cheap40x$35.95+13%
Fair141x$127+299%
Expensive650x$585+1735%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CELH's PE is in its cheap range at 35x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 21x next year's earnings.

TAP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE100x200x300x400x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE100x200x300x400x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current8.2x$39.56—
Forward9.4x$39.56—
Cheap10x$49.02+24%
Fair14x$66.55+68%
Expensive52x$247+525%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TAP has the edge over CELH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CELH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

CELH has the edge over TAP on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

TAP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect TAP's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CELH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+69%$54.01
Downside-25%$23.76

Calculated from the latest close: $31.89 on Nov 12.

CELH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TAP, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TAP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$45.33
Downside-28%$28.62

Calculated from the latest close: $39.56 on Nov 12.

TAP trails CELH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CELH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.53+70%
Q3 2026$0.90+718%
Q2 2026$0.24-37%
Q1 2026$0.43+30%
Q4 2025$0.25-44%
Q3 2025$0.11-85%
Q2 2025$0.38-62%
Q1 2025$0.33-64%
Q4 2024$0.45-42%

CELH earned $0.90 per share over the past year, about eight times what it earned the year before.

TAP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.37Q1 2024: $5.01Q2 2024: $5.47Q3 2024: $4.45Q4 2024: $5.35Q1 2025: $4.97Q2 2025: $5.07Q3 2025: $-10.68Q4 2025: $-10.75Q1 2026: $-10.54Q2 2026: $-11.44Q3 2026: $4.80Forward: $4.21
Q4 2023: $4.37Q1 2024: $5.01Q2 2024: $5.47Q3 2024: $4.45Q4 2024: $5.35Q1 2025: $4.97Q2 2025: $5.07Q3 2025: $-10.68Q4 2025: $-10.75Q1 2026: $-10.54Q2 2026: $-11.44Q3 2026: $4.80Forward: $4.21
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.21-12%
Q3 2026$4.80+$15.48
Q2 2026-$11.44-326%
Q1 2026-$10.54-312%
Q4 2025-$10.75-301%
Q3 2025-$10.68-340%
Q2 2025$5.07-7.3%
Q1 2025$4.97-0.8%
Q4 2024$5.35+22%

TAP has returned to profit: it earned $4.80 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

CELH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$847.2M+17%
Q2 2026$817.9M+11%
Q1 2026$782.6M+138%
Q4 2025$721.6M+117%
Q3 2025$725.1M+173%
Q2 2025$739.3M+84%
Q1 2025$329.3M-7.4%
Q4 2024$332.2M-4.4%

CELH has the edge over TAP on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TAP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $3BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $3.6BQ4 2024: $3.2BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $3.7BQ3 2025: $3.5BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $3.4B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $3BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $3.6BQ4 2024: $3.2BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $3.7BQ3 2025: $3.5BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $3.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.4B-2.3%
Q2 2026$3.6B-3.6%
Q1 2026$2.7B+1%
Q4 2025$3.1B-3.6%
Q3 2025$3.5B-3.3%
Q2 2025$3.7B-2.6%
Q1 2025$2.7B-12%
Q4 2024$3.2B-2.7%

TAP's revenue has held roughly level: $3.4B last quarter, down 2.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

CELH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$127.7M-60%
Q2 2026$205.5M+479%
Q1 2026$65.8M-32%
Q4 2025-$130M-285%
Q3 2025$321.5M+3599%
Q2 2025$35.5M+17%
Q1 2025$96.4M-26%
Q4 2024$70.3M+16394%

CELH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $269M over the past year.

TAP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $297MQ1 2024: −$189MQ2 2024: $692MQ3 2024: $350MQ4 2024: $383MQ1 2025: −$328MQ2 2025: $555MQ3 2025: $483MQ4 2025: $358MQ1 2026: −$229MQ2 2026: $714MQ3 2026: $326M
Q4 2023: $297MQ1 2024: −$189MQ2 2024: $692MQ3 2024: $350MQ4 2024: $383MQ1 2025: −$328MQ2 2025: $555MQ3 2025: $483MQ4 2025: $358MQ1 2026: −$229MQ2 2026: $714MQ3 2026: $326M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$326.2M-32%
Q2 2026$714.4M+29%
Q1 2026-$229.2M+$98.8M
Q4 2025$357.8M-6.7%
Q3 2025$483M+38%
Q2 2025$555M-20%
Q1 2025-$328M-$138.7M
Q4 2024$383.4M+29%

TAP generated $1.2B in free cash flow over the past year, up 6.9% from the year before.

CELH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-2M shares
1 year-1.1%-2.9M shares
3 years+7.4%+17.6M shares
5 years+8.3%+19.5M shares
Available history+32%+62.4M shares

CELH has 255M diluted shares, down 1.1% from a year ago.

TAP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 217MQ1 2024: 214MQ2 2024: 211MQ3 2024: 208MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 204MQ2 2025: 201MQ3 2025: 198MQ4 2025: 199MQ1 2026: 189MQ2 2026: 188MQ3 2026: 187M
Q4 2023: 217MQ1 2024: 214MQ2 2024: 211MQ3 2024: 208MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 204MQ2 2025: 201MQ3 2025: 198MQ4 2025: 199MQ1 2026: 189MQ2 2026: 188MQ3 2026: 187M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-900K shares
1 year-5.6%-11.1M shares
3 years-14%-30.8M shares
5 years-14%-30.8M shares
Available history-14%-30.1M shares

TAP has the edge over CELH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CELH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 2025-7.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.5xNet Cash

CELH has the edge over TAP on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TAP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: 2.3xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.4xQ2 2025: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.6x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: 2.3xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.4xQ2 2025: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.6xModerate
Q2 20252.4xModerate
Q1 20252.4xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate
Q3 20242.3xModerate
Q2 20242.3xModerate
Q1 20242.5xModerate
Q4 20232.5xModerate

TAP's net debt is about 2.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.3 years a year ago.

CELH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.3Neutral
Stochastic56.8Neutral

CELH's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

TAP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.4Neutral
Stochastic50.4Neutral

TAP's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

CELH PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricCELHSector medianRelative
PE35x19x82% above
PE %11187 pts below

CELH is trading at 35x earnings, a 82% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

TAP PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricTAPSector medianRelative
PE8.2x19x58% below
PE %01818 pts below

TAP has the edge over CELH on valuation relative to its sector.

CELH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.19.4% above
20 week MA$29.67.8% above
50 week MA$36.112% below
100 week MA$38.818% below
200 week MA$44.629% below

CELH has the edge over TAP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TAP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$38.81.9% above
20 week MA$40.01.2% below
50 week MA$43.18.1% below
100 week MA$47.917% below
200 week MA$53.526% below

TAP has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 26% below its 200-week average.

CELH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.58$14.7+832%
2021$14.7$24.9+69%
2022$24.9$35.6+43%
2023$35.6$54.5+53%
2024$54.5$26.5-51%
2025$26.5$45.6+72%
2026 YTD$45.6$31.9-30%

CELH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +832% in 2020 to −51% in 2024. It's down 30% so far in 2026.

TAP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$53.8$45.5-16%
2021$45.5$45.6+0.3%
2022$45.6$51.9+14%
2023$51.9$61.2+18%
2024$61.2$57.8-5.5%
2025$57.8$46.4-20%
2026 YTD$46.4$39.6-15%

TAP has the edge over CELH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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