CELH

Celsius Holdings, Inc.

72
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CELH has the edge over SPB overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

SPB

Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.

56
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

SPB has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

CELH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Strong

CELH's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

SPB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

SPB's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

CELH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$31.89—
Current35x$31.89—
Cheap40x$35.95+13%
Fair141x$127+299%
Expensive650x$585+1735%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CELH has the edge over SPB in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SPB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x35x53x70x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x35x53x70x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.4x$30.03-66%
Forward17x$88.35—
Fair20x$62.89-29%
Current28x$88.35—
Expensive30x$96.06+8.7%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SPB's PE is in its expensive range at 28x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

CELH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

CELH has the edge over SPB on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

SPB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect SPB's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CELH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+69%$54.01
Downside-25%$23.76

Calculated from the latest close: $31.89 on Nov 12.

CELH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SPB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SPB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$105.59
Downside-17%$73.11

Calculated from the latest close: $88.35 on Nov 12.

SPB trails CELH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CELH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.53+70%
Q3 2026$0.90+718%
Q2 2026$0.24-37%
Q1 2026$0.43+30%
Q4 2025$0.25-44%
Q3 2025$0.11-85%
Q2 2025$0.38-62%
Q1 2025$0.33-64%
Q4 2024$0.45-42%

CELH earned $0.90 per share over the past year, about eight times what it earned the year before.

SPB Earnings Per Share

Q3 2024: $4.10Q4 2024: $4.09Q1 2025: $2.11Q2 2025: $2.70Q3 2025: $3.86Q4 2025: $4.23Q1 2026: $5.14Q2 2026: $3.18Forward: $5.28
Q3 2024: $4.10Q4 2024: $4.09Q1 2025: $2.11Q2 2025: $2.70Q3 2025: $3.86Q4 2025: $4.23Q1 2026: $5.14Q2 2026: $3.18Forward: $5.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.28+66%
Q2 2026$3.18+18%
Q1 2026$5.14+144%
Q4 2025$4.23+3.4%
Q3 2025$3.86-5.9%
Q2 2023$44.61+1649%
Q1 2023-$0.66-127%
Q4 2022$1.04-65%
Q3 2022$1.75-60%

SPB has the edge over CELH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CELH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$847.2M+17%
Q2 2026$817.9M+11%
Q1 2026$782.6M+138%
Q4 2025$721.6M+117%
Q3 2025$725.1M+173%
Q2 2025$739.3M+84%
Q1 2025$329.3M-7.4%
Q4 2024$332.2M-4.4%

CELH has the edge over SPB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SPB Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $741MQ4 2023: $692MQ1 2024: $719MQ2 2024: $779MQ3 2024: $774MQ4 2024: $700MQ1 2025: $676MQ2 2025: $700MQ3 2025: $734MQ4 2025: $677MQ1 2026: $709MQ2 2026: $753M
Q3 2023: $741MQ4 2023: $692MQ1 2024: $719MQ2 2024: $779MQ3 2024: $774MQ4 2024: $700MQ1 2025: $676MQ2 2025: $700MQ3 2025: $734MQ4 2025: $677MQ1 2026: $709MQ2 2026: $753M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$753.3M+7.7%
Q1 2026$708.9M+4.9%
Q4 2025$677M-3.3%
Q3 2025$733.5M-5.2%
Q2 2025$699.6M-10%
Q1 2025$675.7M-6%
Q4 2024$700.2M+1.2%
Q3 2024$773.7M+4.5%

SPB's revenue is recovering but still below its 2020 peak: $753M last quarter, up 7.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

CELH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$127.7M-60%
Q2 2026$205.5M+479%
Q1 2026$65.8M-32%
Q4 2025-$130M-285%
Q3 2025$321.5M+3599%
Q2 2025$35.5M+17%
Q1 2025$96.4M-26%
Q4 2024$70.3M+16394%

CELH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $269M over the past year.

SPB Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$529MQ4 2023: −$13MQ1 2024: −$9MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $68MQ4 2024: −$78MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $72MQ3 2025: $158MQ4 2025: $59MQ1 2026: $900,000Q2 2026: $74M
Q3 2023: −$529MQ4 2023: −$13MQ1 2024: −$9MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $68MQ4 2024: −$78MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $72MQ3 2025: $158MQ4 2025: $59MQ1 2026: $900,000Q2 2026: $74M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$73.5M+2.4%
Q1 2026$900K-94%
Q4 2025$59.3M+$137.6M
Q3 2025$157.9M+133%
Q2 2025$71.8M-1.1%
Q1 2025$13.9M+$22.9M
Q4 2024-$78.3M-$65.6M
Q3 2024$67.7M+$596.4M

SPB has the edge over CELH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CELH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-2M shares
1 year-1.1%-2.9M shares
3 years+7.4%+17.6M shares
5 years+8.3%+19.5M shares
Available history+32%+62.4M shares

CELH has 255M diluted shares, down 1.1% from a year ago.

SPB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 34MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 29MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 25MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 23MQ2 2026: 23M
Q4 2023: 34MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 29MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 25MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 23MQ2 2026: 23M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-200K shares
1 year-7.6%-1.9M shares
3 years-44%-17.9M shares
5 years-46%-19.8M shares
Available history-54%-27.6M shares

SPB has the edge over CELH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CELH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 2025-7.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.5xNet Cash

CELH has the edge over SPB on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SPB Net Leverage

Q1 2024: 7.1xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 2.0xQ2 2026: 1.7x
Q1 2024: 7.1xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 2.0xQ2 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.0xModerate
Q4 20252.1xModerate
Q3 20252.0xHealthy
Q2 20252.5xModerate
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20241.3xHealthy
Q3 20240.7xVery low

SPB's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.5 years a year ago.

CELH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.3Neutral
Stochastic56.8Neutral

CELH's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

SPB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.2Neutral
Stochastic50.7Neutral

SPB's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 51 (neutral).

CELH PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricCELHSector medianRelative
PE35x19x82% above
PE %11187 pts below

CELH is trading at 35x earnings, a 82% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

SPB PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricSPBSector medianRelative
PE28x19x43% above
PE %761858 pts above

SPB has the edge over CELH on valuation relative to its sector.

CELH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.19.4% above
20 week MA$29.67.8% above
50 week MA$36.112% below
100 week MA$38.818% below
200 week MA$44.629% below

CELH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 29% below its 200-week average.

SPB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$82.27.4% above
20 week MA$85.53.4% above
50 week MA$78.513% above
100 week MA$71.124% above
200 week MA$75.517% above

SPB has the edge over CELH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CELH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.58$14.7+832%
2021$14.7$24.9+69%
2022$24.9$35.6+43%
2023$35.6$54.5+53%
2024$54.5$26.5-51%
2025$26.5$45.6+72%
2026 YTD$45.6$31.9-30%

CELH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +832% in 2020 to −51% in 2024. It's down 30% so far in 2026.

SPB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$63.7$76.3+20%
2021$76.3$98.8+29%
2022$98.8$59.3-40%
2023$59.3$79.8+35%
2024$79.8$84.3+5.6%
2025$84.3$60.1-29%
2026 YTD$60.1$88.4+47%

SPB has the edge over CELH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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