CELH

Celsius Holdings, Inc.

72
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CELH has the edge over SGI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

SGI

Somnigroup International Inc

60
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation46/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

SGI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

CELH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Strong

CELH's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

SGI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Under pressure

SGI's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

CELH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$31.89—
Current35x$31.89—
Cheap40x$35.95+13%
Fair141x$127+299%
Expensive650x$585+1735%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CELH has the edge over SGI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SGI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$34.75-43%
Forward17x$60.62—
Fair23x$56.28-7.2%
Current25x$60.62—
Expensive31x$76.76+27%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SGI's PE is in its fair range at 25x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

CELH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

CELH has the edge over SGI on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

SGI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SGI, but weaker profitability.

CELH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+69%$54.01
Downside-25%$23.76

Calculated from the latest close: $31.89 on Nov 12.

CELH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SGI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SGI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$80.10
Downside-15%$51.30

Calculated from the latest close: $60.62 on Nov 12.

SGI trails CELH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CELH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.53+70%
Q3 2026$0.90+718%
Q2 2026$0.24-37%
Q1 2026$0.43+30%
Q4 2025$0.25-44%
Q3 2025$0.11-85%
Q2 2025$0.38-62%
Q1 2025$0.33-64%
Q4 2024$0.45-42%

CELH earned $0.90 per share over the past year, about eight times what it earned the year before.

SGI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.08Q1 2024: $2.03Q2 2024: $2.11Q3 2024: $2.20Q4 2024: $2.16Q1 2025: $1.56Q2 2025: $1.43Q3 2025: $1.53Q4 2025: $1.84Q1 2026: $2.50Q2 2026: $2.55Q3 2026: $2.46Forward: $3.48
Q4 2023: $2.08Q1 2024: $2.03Q2 2024: $2.11Q3 2024: $2.20Q4 2024: $2.16Q1 2025: $1.56Q2 2025: $1.43Q3 2025: $1.53Q4 2025: $1.84Q1 2026: $2.50Q2 2026: $2.55Q3 2026: $2.46Forward: $3.48
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.48+42%
Q3 2026$2.46+61%
Q2 2026$2.55+78%
Q1 2026$2.50+60%
Q4 2025$1.84-15%
Q3 2025$1.53-30%
Q2 2025$1.43-32%
Q1 2025$1.56-23%
Q4 2024$2.16+3.8%

SGI has the edge over CELH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CELH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$847.2M+17%
Q2 2026$817.9M+11%
Q1 2026$782.6M+138%
Q4 2025$721.6M+117%
Q3 2025$725.1M+173%
Q2 2025$739.3M+84%
Q1 2025$329.3M-7.4%
Q4 2024$332.2M-4.4%

CELH's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $847M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

SGI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $2.4B
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $2.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.4B+11%
Q2 2026$1.8B-3%
Q1 2026$1.8B+12%
Q4 2025$1.9B+55%
Q3 2025$2.1B+63%
Q2 2025$1.9B+52%
Q1 2025$1.6B+35%
Q4 2024$1.2B+3.2%

SGI's revenue is growing: $2.4B last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

CELH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$127.7M-60%
Q2 2026$205.5M+479%
Q1 2026$65.8M-32%
Q4 2025-$130M-285%
Q3 2025$321.5M+3599%
Q2 2025$35.5M+17%
Q1 2025$96.4M-26%
Q4 2024$70.3M+16394%

CELH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $269M over the past year.

SGI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $59MQ1 2024: $99MQ2 2024: $122MQ3 2024: $240MQ4 2024: $108MQ1 2025: $82MQ2 2025: $149MQ3 2025: $360MQ4 2025: $41MQ1 2026: $186MQ2 2026: $182MQ3 2026: $290M
Q4 2023: $59MQ1 2024: $99MQ2 2024: $122MQ3 2024: $240MQ4 2024: $108MQ1 2025: $82MQ2 2025: $149MQ3 2025: $360MQ4 2025: $41MQ1 2026: $186MQ2 2026: $182MQ3 2026: $290M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$290M-20%
Q2 2026$181.6M+22%
Q1 2026$186M+126%
Q4 2025$41.1M-62%
Q3 2025$360.3M+50%
Q2 2025$149.4M+22%
Q1 2025$82.4M-17%
Q4 2024$108.2M+83%

SGI has the edge over CELH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CELH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-2M shares
1 year-1.1%-2.9M shares
3 years+7.4%+17.6M shares
5 years+8.3%+19.5M shares
Available history+32%+62.4M shares

CELH has the edge over SGI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SGI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 177MQ1 2024: 178MQ2 2024: 178MQ3 2024: 178MQ4 2024: 178MQ1 2025: 199MQ2 2025: 212MQ3 2025: 213MQ4 2025: 209MQ1 2026: 213MQ2 2026: 213MQ3 2026: 220M
Q4 2023: 177MQ1 2024: 178MQ2 2024: 178MQ3 2024: 178MQ4 2024: 178MQ1 2025: 199MQ2 2025: 212MQ3 2025: 213MQ4 2025: 209MQ1 2026: 213MQ2 2026: 213MQ3 2026: 220M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+7.7M shares
1 year+3.6%+7.7M shares
3 years+24%+42.6M shares
5 years+8.3%+16.8M shares
Available history-0.6%-1.4M shares

SGI has 220M diluted shares, up 3.6% from a year ago.

CELH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 2025-7.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.5xNet Cash

CELH has the edge over SGI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SGI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 6.7xQ2 2025: 6.3xQ3 2025: 5.0xQ4 2025: 4.4xQ1 2026: 3.6xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 3.8x
Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 6.7xQ2 2025: 6.3xQ3 2025: 5.0xQ4 2025: 4.4xQ1 2026: 3.6xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 3.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.8xElevated
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 20263.6xElevated
Q4 20254.4xHigh
Q3 20255.0xHigh
Q2 20256.3xHigh
Q1 20256.7xHigh
Q4 20242.5xModerate

SGI's net debt is about 3.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.0 years a year ago.

CELH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.3Neutral
Stochastic56.8Neutral

CELH's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

SGI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic22.1Neutral

SGI's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

CELH PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricCELHSector medianRelative
PE35x19x82% above
PE %11187 pts below

CELH is trading at 35x earnings, a 82% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

SGI PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricSGISector medianRelative
PE25x19x26% above
PE %631845 pts above

SGI has the edge over CELH on valuation relative to its sector.

CELH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.19.4% above
20 week MA$29.67.8% above
50 week MA$36.112% below
100 week MA$38.818% below
200 week MA$44.629% below

CELH has the edge over SGI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SGI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$63.13.9% below
20 week MA$66.38.6% below
50 week MA$75.520% below
100 week MA$72.817% below
200 week MA$59.61.7% above

SGI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 1.7% above its 200-week average.

CELH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.58$14.7+832%
2021$14.7$24.9+69%
2022$24.9$35.6+43%
2023$35.6$54.5+53%
2024$54.5$26.5-51%
2025$26.5$45.6+72%
2026 YTD$45.6$31.9-30%

CELH has the edge over SGI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SGI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$22.1$28.1+27%
2021$28.1$46.3+65%
2022$46.3$34.6-25%
2023$34.6$51.0+47%
2024$51.0$55.0+8%
2025$55.0$91.8+67%
2026 YTD$91.8$60.6-34%

SGI is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

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