CELH

Celsius Holdings, Inc.

72
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CELH has the edge over PFGC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

PFGC

Performance Food Group Company

58
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation40/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

PFGC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

CELH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Strong

CELH's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

PFGC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Stable

PFGC's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are stable.

CELH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$31.89—
Current35x$31.89—
Cheap40x$35.95+13%
Fair141x$127+299%
Expensive650x$585+1735%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CELH has the edge over PFGC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PFGC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE57x113x170x226x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE57x113x170x226x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$110—
Cheap26x$65.62-40%
Fair36x$89.18-19%
Current44x$110—
Expensive71x$177+61%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PFGC's PE is in its fair range at 44x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

CELH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

CELH has the edge over PFGC on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

PFGC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PFGC, with profitability holding steady.

CELH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+69%$54.01
Downside-25%$23.76

Calculated from the latest close: $31.89 on Nov 12.

CELH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PFGC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PFGC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$138.59
Downside-10%$98.77

Calculated from the latest close: $109.96 on Nov 12.

PFGC trails CELH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CELH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.53+70%
Q3 2026$0.90+718%
Q2 2026$0.24-37%
Q1 2026$0.43+30%
Q4 2025$0.25-44%
Q3 2025$0.11-85%
Q2 2025$0.38-62%
Q1 2025$0.33-64%
Q4 2024$0.45-42%

CELH earned $0.90 per share over the past year, about eight times what it earned the year before.

PFGC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.73Q1 2024: $2.67Q2 2024: $2.79Q3 2024: $2.71Q4 2024: $2.48Q1 2025: $2.40Q2 2025: $2.18Q3 2025: $2.09Q4 2025: $2.21Q1 2026: $2.11Q2 2026: $2.29Q3 2026: $2.51Forward: $5.88
Q4 2023: $2.73Q1 2024: $2.67Q2 2024: $2.79Q3 2024: $2.71Q4 2024: $2.48Q1 2025: $2.40Q2 2025: $2.18Q3 2025: $2.09Q4 2025: $2.21Q1 2026: $2.11Q2 2026: $2.29Q3 2026: $2.51Forward: $5.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.88+134%
Q3 2026$2.51+20%
Q2 2026$2.29+5%
Q1 2026$2.11-12%
Q4 2025$2.21-11%
Q3 2025$2.09-23%
Q2 2025$2.18-22%
Q1 2025$2.40-10%
Q4 2024$2.48-9.2%

PFGC has the edge over CELH on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CELH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$847.2M+17%
Q2 2026$817.9M+11%
Q1 2026$782.6M+138%
Q4 2025$721.6M+117%
Q3 2025$725.1M+173%
Q2 2025$739.3M+84%
Q1 2025$329.3M-7.4%
Q4 2024$332.2M-4.4%

CELH's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $847M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

PFGC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $14.3BQ1 2024: $13.9BQ2 2024: $15.2BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $15.6BQ1 2025: $15.3BQ2 2025: $16.9BQ3 2025: $17.1BQ4 2025: $16.4BQ1 2026: $16.3BQ2 2026: $18BQ3 2026: $18B
Q4 2023: $14.3BQ1 2024: $13.9BQ2 2024: $15.2BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $15.6BQ1 2025: $15.3BQ2 2025: $16.9BQ3 2025: $17.1BQ4 2025: $16.4BQ1 2026: $16.3BQ2 2026: $18BQ3 2026: $18B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18B+5.5%
Q2 2026$18B+6.4%
Q1 2026$16.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$16.4B+5.2%
Q3 2025$17.1B+11%
Q2 2025$16.9B+12%
Q1 2025$15.3B+10%
Q4 2024$15.6B+9.4%

PFGC's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $18B last quarter, up 5.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

CELH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$127.7M-60%
Q2 2026$205.5M+479%
Q1 2026$65.8M-32%
Q4 2025-$130M-285%
Q3 2025$321.5M+3599%
Q2 2025$35.5M+17%
Q1 2025$96.4M-26%
Q4 2024$70.3M+16394%

CELH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $269M over the past year.

PFGC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $373MQ1 2024: $305MQ2 2024: $55MQ3 2024: −$43MQ4 2024: $218MQ1 2025: $319MQ2 2025: $210MQ3 2025: −$224MQ4 2025: $488MQ1 2026: $542MQ2 2026: $224MQ3 2026: −$143M
Q4 2023: $373MQ1 2024: $305MQ2 2024: $55MQ3 2024: −$43MQ4 2024: $218MQ1 2025: $319MQ2 2025: $210MQ3 2025: −$224MQ4 2025: $488MQ1 2026: $542MQ2 2026: $224MQ3 2026: −$143M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$143.2M+$80.9M
Q2 2026$223.6M+6.6%
Q1 2026$542.3M+70%
Q4 2025$487.8M+124%
Q3 2025-$224.1M-$181.1M
Q2 2025$209.7M+281%
Q1 2025$319.3M+4.6%
Q4 2024$218.1M-42%

PFGC has the edge over CELH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CELH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-2M shares
1 year-1.1%-2.9M shares
3 years+7.4%+17.6M shares
5 years+8.3%+19.5M shares
Available history+32%+62.4M shares

CELH has the edge over PFGC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PFGC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 156MQ1 2024: 156MQ2 2024: 156MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 156MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 157MQ4 2025: 157MQ1 2026: 157MQ2 2026: 157MQ3 2026: 158M
Q4 2023: 156MQ1 2024: 156MQ2 2024: 156MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 156MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 157MQ4 2025: 157MQ1 2026: 157MQ2 2026: 157MQ3 2026: 158M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+500K shares
1 year+0.4%+600K shares
3 years+0.6%+900K shares
5 years+12%+16.3M shares
Available history+48%+51.1M shares

PFGC has 158M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CELH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 2025-7.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.5xNet Cash

CELH has the edge over PFGC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PFGC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.3xQ3 2024: 2.8xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: 3.6xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 2.9xQ3 2026: 2.9x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.3xQ3 2024: 2.8xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: 3.6xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 2.9xQ3 2026: 2.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.9xModerate
Q2 20262.9xModerate
Q1 20263.1xElevated
Q4 20253.2xElevated
Q3 20253.5xElevated
Q2 20253.5xElevated
Q1 20253.6xElevated
Q4 20244.0xElevated

PFGC's net debt is about 2.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.5 years a year ago.

CELH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.3Neutral
Stochastic56.8Neutral

CELH's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

PFGC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.8Neutral
Stochastic60.3Neutral

PFGC's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

CELH PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricCELHSector medianRelative
PE35x19x82% above
PE %11187 pts below

CELH has the edge over PFGC on valuation relative to its sector.

PFGC PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricPFGCSector medianRelative
PE44x19x125% above
PE %621844 pts above

PFGC is trading at 44x earnings, a 125% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

CELH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.19.4% above
20 week MA$29.67.8% above
50 week MA$36.112% below
100 week MA$38.818% below
200 week MA$44.629% below

CELH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 29% below its 200-week average.

PFGC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$98.711% above
20 week MA$103.36.5% above
50 week MA$97.413% above
100 week MA$93.917% above
200 week MA$80.537% above

PFGC has the edge over CELH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CELH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.58$14.7+832%
2021$14.7$24.9+69%
2022$24.9$35.6+43%
2023$35.6$54.5+53%
2024$54.5$26.5-51%
2025$26.5$45.6+72%
2026 YTD$45.6$31.9-30%

CELH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +832% in 2020 to −51% in 2024. It's down 30% so far in 2026.

PFGC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.2$48.0-6.2%
2021$48.0$45.2-5.9%
2022$45.2$59.9+33%
2023$59.9$69.2+15%
2024$69.2$85.1+23%
2025$85.1$91.8+7.9%
2026 YTD$91.8$110.0+20%

PFGC has the edge over CELH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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