CELH

Celsius Holdings, Inc.

72
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CELH has the edge over MDLZ overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

MDLZ

Mondelez International, Inc.

67
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation58/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MDLZ has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

CELH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Strong

CELH's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

MDLZ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

MDLZ's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

CELH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$31.89—
Current35x$31.89—
Cheap40x$35.95+13%
Fair141x$127+299%
Expensive650x$585+1735%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CELH's PE is in its cheap range at 35x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 21x next year's earnings.

MDLZ PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.5x19x28x38x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.5x19x28x38x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap20x$64.07-3.7%
Forward20x$66.56—
Current21x$66.56—
Fair22x$71.08+6.8%
Expensive26x$83.55+26%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MDLZ has the edge over CELH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CELH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

CELH has the edge over MDLZ on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.

MDLZ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect MDLZ's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

CELH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+69%$54.01
Downside-25%$23.76

Calculated from the latest close: $31.89 on Nov 12.

CELH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MDLZ, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MDLZ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$81.98
Downside-10%$59.84

Calculated from the latest close: $66.56 on Nov 12.

MDLZ trails CELH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CELH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.53+70%
Q3 2026$0.90+718%
Q2 2026$0.24-37%
Q1 2026$0.43+30%
Q4 2025$0.25-44%
Q3 2025$0.11-85%
Q2 2025$0.38-62%
Q1 2025$0.33-64%
Q4 2024$0.45-42%

CELH earned $0.90 per share over the past year, about eight times what it earned the year before.

MDLZ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.62Q1 2024: $3.14Q2 2024: $2.90Q3 2024: $2.81Q4 2024: $3.42Q1 2025: $2.69Q2 2025: $2.73Q3 2025: $2.67Q4 2025: $1.89Q1 2026: $2.02Q2 2026: $2.73Q3 2026: $3.18Forward: $3.31
Q4 2023: $3.62Q1 2024: $3.14Q2 2024: $2.90Q3 2024: $2.81Q4 2024: $3.42Q1 2025: $2.69Q2 2025: $2.73Q3 2025: $2.67Q4 2025: $1.89Q1 2026: $2.02Q2 2026: $2.73Q3 2026: $3.18Forward: $3.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.31+4.1%
Q3 2026$3.18+19%
Q2 2026$2.730%
Q1 2026$2.02-25%
Q4 2025$1.89-45%
Q3 2025$2.67-5%
Q2 2025$2.73-5.9%
Q1 2025$2.69-14%
Q4 2024$3.42-5.5%

MDLZ earned $3.18 per share over the past year, up 19% from the year before.

CELH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$847.2M+17%
Q2 2026$817.9M+11%
Q1 2026$782.6M+138%
Q4 2025$721.6M+117%
Q3 2025$725.1M+173%
Q2 2025$739.3M+84%
Q1 2025$329.3M-7.4%
Q4 2024$332.2M-4.4%

CELH's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $847M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

MDLZ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.3BQ1 2024: $9.3BQ2 2024: $8.3BQ3 2024: $9.2BQ4 2024: $9.6BQ1 2025: $9.3BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $9.7BQ4 2025: $10.5BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: $9.4BQ3 2026: $10B
Q4 2023: $9.3BQ1 2024: $9.3BQ2 2024: $8.3BQ3 2024: $9.2BQ4 2024: $9.6BQ1 2025: $9.3BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $9.7BQ4 2025: $10.5BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: $9.4BQ3 2026: $10B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$10B+2.3%
Q2 2026$9.4B+4.1%
Q1 2026$10.1B+8.2%
Q4 2025$10.5B+9.3%
Q3 2025$9.7B+5.9%
Q2 2025$9B+7.7%
Q1 2025$9.3B+0.2%
Q4 2024$9.6B+3.1%

MDLZ's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $10B last quarter, up 2.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

CELH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$127.7M-60%
Q2 2026$205.5M+479%
Q1 2026$65.8M-32%
Q4 2025-$130M-285%
Q3 2025$321.5M+3599%
Q2 2025$35.5M+17%
Q1 2025$96.4M-26%
Q4 2024$70.3M+16394%

CELH has the edge over MDLZ on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MDLZ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $455MQ3 2024: $989MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $815MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $418MQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $155MQ2 2026: $513MQ3 2026: $991M
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $455MQ3 2024: $989MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $815MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $418MQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $155MQ2 2026: $513MQ3 2026: $991M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$991M+137%
Q2 2026$513M+17000%
Q1 2026$155M-81%
Q4 2025$2B+90%
Q3 2025$418M-58%
Q2 2025$3M-99%
Q1 2025$815M-20%
Q4 2024$1.1B-14%

MDLZ's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $3.7B over the past year, up 60% from the year before.

CELH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-2M shares
1 year-1.1%-2.9M shares
3 years+7.4%+17.6M shares
5 years+8.3%+19.5M shares
Available history+32%+62.4M shares

CELH has 255M diluted shares, down 1.1% from a year ago.

MDLZ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.4BQ1 2024: 1.4BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
Q4 2023: 1.4BQ1 2024: 1.4BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-7M shares
1 year-1.2%-16M shares
3 years-6.6%-90M shares
5 years-9.1%-128M shares
Available history-12%-173M shares

MDLZ has the edge over CELH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CELH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 2025-7.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.5xNet Cash

CELH has the edge over MDLZ on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MDLZ Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 2.5xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.3xQ3 2025: 3.6xQ4 2025: 3.9xQ1 2026: 3.8xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 2.9x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 2.5xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.3xQ3 2025: 3.6xQ4 2025: 3.9xQ1 2026: 3.8xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 2.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.9xModerate
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 20263.8xElevated
Q4 20253.9xElevated
Q3 20253.6xElevated
Q2 20253.3xElevated
Q1 20253.2xElevated
Q4 20242.1xModerate

MDLZ's net debt is about 2.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.6 years a year ago.

CELH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.3Neutral
Stochastic56.8Neutral

CELH's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

MDLZ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.7Neutral
Stochastic79.5Neutral

MDLZ's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (neutral).

CELH PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricCELHSector medianRelative
PE35x19x82% above
PE %11187 pts below

CELH is trading at 35x earnings, a 82% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

MDLZ PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricMDLZSector medianRelative
PE21x19x7.4% above
PE %281810 pts above

MDLZ has the edge over CELH on valuation relative to its sector.

CELH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.19.4% above
20 week MA$29.67.8% above
50 week MA$36.112% below
100 week MA$38.818% below
200 week MA$44.629% below

CELH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 29% below its 200-week average.

MDLZ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$63.05.6% above
20 week MA$62.36.9% above
50 week MA$60.011% above
100 week MA$61.68% above
200 week MA$65.91.1% above

MDLZ has the edge over CELH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CELH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.58$14.7+832%
2021$14.7$24.9+69%
2022$24.9$35.6+43%
2023$35.6$54.5+53%
2024$54.5$26.5-51%
2025$26.5$45.6+72%
2026 YTD$45.6$31.9-30%

CELH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +832% in 2020 to −51% in 2024. It's down 30% so far in 2026.

MDLZ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$55.3$57.9+4.6%
2021$57.9$64.9+12%
2022$64.9$67.1+3.3%
2023$67.1$72.4+7.9%
2024$72.4$60.2-17%
2025$60.2$54.6-9.3%
2026 YTD$54.6$66.6+22%

MDLZ has the edge over CELH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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