CELH

Celsius Holdings, Inc.

72
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CELH has the edge over LRN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

LRN

Stride, Inc.

69
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation82/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

LRN has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

CELH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Strong

CELH's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

LRN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

LRN's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

CELH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$31.89—
Current35x$31.89—
Cheap40x$35.95+13%
Fair141x$127+299%
Expensive650x$585+1735%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CELH's PE is in its cheap range at 35x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 21x next year's earnings.

LRN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x45x68x90x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x45x68x90x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.6x$75.29—
Current10x$75.29—
Cheap14x$104+38%
Fair18x$131+74%
Expensive24x$174+131%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LRN has the edge over CELH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CELH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

CELH has the edge over LRN on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

LRN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect LRN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

CELH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+69%$54.01
Downside-25%$23.76

Calculated from the latest close: $31.89 on Nov 12.

CELH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LRN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LRN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$103.86
Downside-16%$63.38

Calculated from the latest close: $75.29 on Nov 12.

LRN trails CELH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CELH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.53+70%
Q3 2026$0.90+718%
Q2 2026$0.24-37%
Q1 2026$0.43+30%
Q4 2025$0.25-44%
Q3 2025$0.11-85%
Q2 2025$0.38-62%
Q1 2025$0.33-64%
Q4 2024$0.45-42%

CELH earned $0.90 per share over the past year, about eight times what it earned the year before.

LRN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.97Q1 2024: $4.27Q2 2024: $4.69Q3 2024: $5.52Q4 2024: $6.01Q1 2025: $6.43Q2 2025: $5.95Q3 2025: $6.41Q4 2025: $6.50Q1 2026: $6.41Q2 2026: $7.14Q3 2026: $7.19Forward: $7.88
Q4 2023: $3.97Q1 2024: $4.27Q2 2024: $4.69Q3 2024: $5.52Q4 2024: $6.01Q1 2025: $6.43Q2 2025: $5.95Q3 2025: $6.41Q4 2025: $6.50Q1 2026: $6.41Q2 2026: $7.14Q3 2026: $7.19Forward: $7.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.88+9.6%
Q3 2026$7.19+12%
Q2 2026$7.14+20%
Q1 2026$6.41-0.3%
Q4 2025$6.50+8.2%
Q3 2025$6.41+16%
Q2 2025$5.95+27%
Q1 2025$6.43+51%
Q4 2024$6.01+51%

LRN has the edge over CELH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CELH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$847.2M+17%
Q2 2026$817.9M+11%
Q1 2026$782.6M+138%
Q4 2025$721.6M+117%
Q3 2025$725.1M+173%
Q2 2025$739.3M+84%
Q1 2025$329.3M-7.4%
Q4 2024$332.2M-4.4%

CELH's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $847M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

LRN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $505MQ1 2024: $521MQ2 2024: $534MQ3 2024: $551MQ4 2024: $587MQ1 2025: $613MQ2 2025: $654MQ3 2025: $621MQ4 2025: $631MQ1 2026: $630MQ2 2026: $636MQ3 2026: $639M
Q4 2023: $505MQ1 2024: $521MQ2 2024: $534MQ3 2024: $551MQ4 2024: $587MQ1 2025: $613MQ2 2025: $654MQ3 2025: $621MQ4 2025: $631MQ1 2026: $630MQ2 2026: $636MQ3 2026: $639M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$639.4M+3%
Q2 2026$636.1M-2.7%
Q1 2026$629.9M+2.7%
Q4 2025$631.3M+7.5%
Q3 2025$620.9M+13%
Q2 2025$653.6M+22%
Q1 2025$613.4M+18%
Q4 2024$587.2M+16%

LRN's revenue has held roughly level: $639M last quarter, up 3% from the same quarter a year ago.

CELH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$127.7M-60%
Q2 2026$205.5M+479%
Q1 2026$65.8M-32%
Q4 2025-$130M-285%
Q3 2025$321.5M+3599%
Q2 2025$35.5M+17%
Q1 2025$96.4M-26%
Q4 2024$70.3M+16394%

CELH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $269M over the past year.

LRN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $173MQ1 2024: $69MQ2 2024: $171MQ3 2024: −$143MQ4 2024: $223MQ1 2025: $53MQ2 2025: $298MQ3 2025: −$196MQ4 2025: $92MQ1 2026: $220MQ2 2026: $317MQ3 2026: −$125M
Q4 2023: $173MQ1 2024: $69MQ2 2024: $171MQ3 2024: −$143MQ4 2024: $223MQ1 2025: $53MQ2 2025: $298MQ3 2025: −$196MQ4 2025: $92MQ1 2026: $220MQ2 2026: $317MQ3 2026: −$125M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$124.8M+$71.3M
Q2 2026$316.9M+6.4%
Q1 2026$220.4M+316%
Q4 2025$92.1M-59%
Q3 2025-$196.1M-$53.4M
Q2 2025$297.9M+74%
Q1 2025$52.9M-23%
Q4 2024$222.9M+29%

LRN has the edge over CELH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CELH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-2M shares
1 year-1.1%-2.9M shares
3 years+7.4%+17.6M shares
5 years+8.3%+19.5M shares
Available history+32%+62.4M shares

CELH has 255M diluted shares, down 1.1% from a year ago.

LRN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 44MQ2 2024: 44MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 49MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 49MQ4 2025: 47MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 47MQ3 2026: 45M
Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 44MQ2 2024: 44MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 49MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 49MQ4 2025: 47MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 47MQ3 2026: 45M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-5.3%-2.5M shares
1 year-8.9%-4.4M shares
3 years+4.3%+1.8M shares
5 years+11%+4.3M shares
Available history+12%+4.9M shares

LRN has the edge over CELH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CELH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 2025-7.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.5xNet Cash

CELH has more cash than debt.

LRN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

LRN has the edge over CELH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CELH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.3Neutral
Stochastic56.8Neutral

CELH's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

LRN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.0Neutral
Stochastic15.7Oversold

LRN's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

CELH PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricCELHSector medianRelative
PE35x19x82% above
PE %11187 pts below

CELH is trading at 35x earnings, a 82% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

LRN PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricLRNSector medianRelative
PE10x19x46% below
PE %31815 pts below

LRN has the edge over CELH on valuation relative to its sector.

CELH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.19.4% above
20 week MA$29.67.8% above
50 week MA$36.112% below
100 week MA$38.818% below
200 week MA$44.629% below

CELH has the edge over LRN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LRN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$79.24.9% below
20 week MA$82.68.8% below
50 week MA$83.09.3% below
100 week MA$107.230% below
200 week MA$83.29.5% below

LRN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9.5% below its 200-week average.

CELH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.58$14.7+832%
2021$14.7$24.9+69%
2022$24.9$35.6+43%
2023$35.6$54.5+53%
2024$54.5$26.5-51%
2025$26.5$45.6+72%
2026 YTD$45.6$31.9-30%

CELH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +832% in 2020 to −51% in 2024. It's down 30% so far in 2026.

LRN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.9$22.3+12%
2021$22.3$33.6+51%
2022$33.6$32.3-4.1%
2023$32.3$59.4+84%
2024$59.4$105.0+77%
2025$105.0$66.2-37%
2026 YTD$66.2$75.3+14%

LRN has the edge over CELH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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