CELH

Celsius Holdings, Inc.

72
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CELH has the edge over HRL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

HRL

Hormel Foods Corporation

48
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation29/ 100
Upside potential32/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

HRL's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

CELH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Strong

CELH's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

HRL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Stable

HRL's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue, profitability and balance sheet are stable.

CELH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$31.89—
Current35x$31.89—
Cheap40x$35.95+13%
Fair141x$127+299%
Expensive650x$585+1735%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CELH has the edge over HRL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HRL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.1x18x27x36x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.1x18x27x36x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward14x$21.83—
Cheap22x$13.75-37%
Fair25x$15.90-27%
Expensive29x$18.34-16%
Current35x$21.83—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HRL's PE is in its expensive range at 35x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

CELH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

CELH has the edge over HRL on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

HRL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect HRL's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

CELH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+69%$54.01
Downside-25%$23.76

Calculated from the latest close: $31.89 on Nov 12.

CELH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HRL, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

HRL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+12%$24.46
Downside-26%$16.20

Calculated from the latest close: $21.83 on Nov 12.

HRL trails CELH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CELH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.53+70%
Q3 2026$0.90+718%
Q2 2026$0.24-37%
Q1 2026$0.43+30%
Q4 2025$0.25-44%
Q3 2025$0.11-85%
Q2 2025$0.38-62%
Q1 2025$0.33-64%
Q4 2024$0.45-42%

CELH earned $0.90 per share over the past year, about eight times what it earned the year before.

HRL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.45Q1 2024: $1.45Q2 2024: $1.39Q3 2024: $1.41Q4 2024: $1.47Q1 2025: $1.38Q2 2025: $1.37Q3 2025: $1.38Q4 2025: $0.87Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $0.85Q3 2026: $0.63Forward: $1.57
Q4 2023: $1.45Q1 2024: $1.45Q2 2024: $1.39Q3 2024: $1.41Q4 2024: $1.47Q1 2025: $1.38Q2 2025: $1.37Q3 2025: $1.38Q4 2025: $0.87Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $0.85Q3 2026: $0.63Forward: $1.57
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.57+149%
Q3 2026$0.63-54%
Q2 2026$0.85-38%
Q1 2026$0.89-36%
Q4 2025$0.87-41%
Q3 2025$1.38-2.1%
Q2 2025$1.37-1.4%
Q1 2025$1.38-4.8%
Q4 2024$1.47+1.4%

HRL's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.63 over the past year, against $1.83 in mid-2022.

CELH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$847.2M+17%
Q2 2026$817.9M+11%
Q1 2026$782.6M+138%
Q4 2025$721.6M+117%
Q3 2025$725.1M+173%
Q2 2025$739.3M+84%
Q1 2025$329.3M-7.4%
Q4 2024$332.2M-4.4%

CELH has the edge over HRL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HRL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.2BQ1 2024: $3BQ2 2024: $2.9BQ3 2024: $2.9BQ4 2024: $3.1BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $3.2BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $3B
Q4 2023: $3.2BQ1 2024: $3BQ2 2024: $2.9BQ3 2024: $2.9BQ4 2024: $3.1BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $3.2BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3B-2.4%
Q2 2026$3B+2.5%
Q1 2026$3B+1.3%
Q4 2025$3.2B+1.5%
Q3 2025$3B+4.6%
Q2 2025$2.9B+0.4%
Q1 2025$3B-0.3%
Q4 2024$3.1B-1.9%

HRL's revenue grew through 2021 and has held roughly level since: $3B last quarter, down 2.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

CELH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$127.7M-60%
Q2 2026$205.5M+479%
Q1 2026$65.8M-32%
Q4 2025-$130M-285%
Q3 2025$321.5M+3599%
Q2 2025$35.5M+17%
Q1 2025$96.4M-26%
Q4 2024$70.3M+16394%

CELH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $269M over the past year.

HRL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $217MQ1 2024: $357MQ2 2024: $176MQ3 2024: $153MQ4 2024: $325MQ1 2025: $237MQ2 2025: −$19MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $231MQ1 2026: $280MQ2 2026: $97MQ3 2026: $172M
Q4 2023: $217MQ1 2024: $357MQ2 2024: $176MQ3 2024: $153MQ4 2024: $325MQ1 2025: $237MQ2 2025: −$19MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $231MQ1 2026: $280MQ2 2026: $97MQ3 2026: $172M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$172.4M+104%
Q2 2026$96.8M+$115.4M
Q1 2026$280.2M+18%
Q4 2025$231.4M-29%
Q3 2025$84.5M-45%
Q2 2025-$18.6M-111%
Q1 2025$237M-34%
Q4 2024$324.8M+49%

HRL generated $781M in free cash flow over the past year, up 24% from the year before.

CELH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-2M shares
1 year-1.1%-2.9M shares
3 years+7.4%+17.6M shares
5 years+8.3%+19.5M shares
Available history+32%+62.4M shares

CELH has the edge over HRL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HRL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 549MQ1 2024: 548MQ2 2024: 549MQ3 2024: 549MQ4 2024: 549MQ1 2025: 550MQ2 2025: 551MQ3 2025: 551MQ4 2025: 550MQ1 2026: 551MQ2 2026: 551MQ3 2026: 551M
Q4 2023: 549MQ1 2024: 548MQ2 2024: 549MQ3 2024: 549MQ4 2024: 549MQ1 2025: 550MQ2 2025: 551MQ3 2025: 551MQ4 2025: 550MQ1 2026: 551MQ2 2026: 551MQ3 2026: 551M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+159K shares
1 year+0.1%+351K shares
3 years+0.4%+2.4M shares
5 years+0.5%+3M shares
Available history+1.1%+5.8M shares

HRL has 551M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CELH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 2025-7.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.5xNet Cash

CELH has the edge over HRL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HRL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 1.8xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.6xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.8xQ4 2025: 2.2xQ1 2026: 2.0xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 2.4x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 1.8xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.6xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.8xQ4 2025: 2.2xQ1 2026: 2.0xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.4xModerate
Q2 20262.1xModerate
Q1 20262.0xHealthy
Q4 20252.2xModerate
Q3 20251.8xHealthy
Q2 20251.7xHealthy
Q1 20251.6xHealthy
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

HRL's net debt is about 2.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.8 years a year ago.

CELH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.3Neutral
Stochastic56.8Neutral

CELH's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

HRL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.0Neutral
Stochastic41.3Neutral

HRL's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

CELH PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricCELHSector medianRelative
PE35x19x82% above
PE %11187 pts below

CELH is trading at 35x earnings, a 82% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

HRL PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricHRLSector medianRelative
PE35x19x78% above
PE %1001882 pts above

HRL has the edge over CELH on valuation relative to its sector.

CELH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.19.4% above
20 week MA$29.67.8% above
50 week MA$36.112% below
100 week MA$38.818% below
200 week MA$44.629% below

CELH has the edge over HRL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HRL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.75.4% above
20 week MA$22.52.8% below
50 week MA$23.04.9% below
100 week MA$25.615% below
200 week MA$30.528% below

HRL has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 28% below its 200-week average.

CELH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.58$14.7+832%
2021$14.7$24.9+69%
2022$24.9$35.6+43%
2023$35.6$54.5+53%
2024$54.5$26.5-51%
2025$26.5$45.6+72%
2026 YTD$45.6$31.9-30%

CELH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +832% in 2020 to −51% in 2024. It's down 30% so far in 2026.

HRL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$45.3$47.2+4.2%
2021$47.2$47.8+1.3%
2022$47.8$45.6-4.5%
2023$45.6$32.1-30%
2024$32.1$31.9-0.8%
2025$31.9$24.3-24%
2026 YTD$24.3$21.8-10%

HRL has the edge over CELH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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