CELH

Celsius Holdings, Inc.

72
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CELH has the edge over EL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

EL

The Estée Lauder Companies Inc.

62
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation25/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

EL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

CELH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Strong

CELH's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

EL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

EL's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

CELH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$31.89—
Current35x$31.89—
Cheap40x$35.95+13%
Fair141x$127+299%
Expensive650x$585+1735%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CELH has the edge over EL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE57x114x170x227x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE57x114x170x227x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward31x$111—
Cheap37x$37.64-66%
Fair59x$59.97-46%
Current109x$111—
Expensive118x$119+7.5%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EL's PE is in its expensive range at 109x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 31x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

CELH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CELH, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

EL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EL, with profitability improving.

CELH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+69%$54.01
Downside-25%$23.76

Calculated from the latest close: $31.89 on Nov 12.

CELH trails EL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$179.98
Downside-16%$92.86

Calculated from the latest close: $110.51 on Nov 12.

EL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CELH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CELH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.53+70%
Q3 2026$0.90+718%
Q2 2026$0.24-37%
Q1 2026$0.43+30%
Q4 2025$0.25-44%
Q3 2025$0.11-85%
Q2 2025$0.38-62%
Q1 2025$0.33-64%
Q4 2024$0.45-42%

CELH earned $0.90 per share over the past year, about eight times what it earned the year before.

EL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.31Q1 2024: $1.79Q2 2024: $1.08Q3 2024: $0.56Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-2.42Q2 2025: $-3.15Q3 2025: $-2.59Q4 2025: $-0.51Q1 2026: $-0.71Q2 2026: $0.50Q3 2026: $1.01Forward: $3.54
Q4 2023: $1.31Q1 2024: $1.79Q2 2024: $1.08Q3 2024: $0.56Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-2.42Q2 2025: $-3.15Q3 2025: $-2.59Q4 2025: $-0.51Q1 2026: $-0.71Q2 2026: $0.50Q3 2026: $1.01Forward: $3.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.54+251%
Q3 2026$1.01+$3.60
Q2 2026$0.50+$3.65
Q1 2026-$0.71+$1.71
Q4 2025-$0.51+$1.44
Q3 2025-$2.59-562%
Q2 2025-$3.15-392%
Q1 2025-$2.42-235%
Q4 2024-$1.95-249%

EL has the edge over CELH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CELH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$847.2M+17%
Q2 2026$817.9M+11%
Q1 2026$782.6M+138%
Q4 2025$721.6M+117%
Q3 2025$725.1M+173%
Q2 2025$739.3M+84%
Q1 2025$329.3M-7.4%
Q4 2024$332.2M-4.4%

CELH has the edge over EL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.3BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $3.9BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $4BQ1 2025: $3.5BQ2 2025: $3.4BQ3 2025: $3.5BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $4.3BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $3.9BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $4BQ1 2025: $3.5BQ2 2025: $3.4BQ3 2025: $3.5BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+6.7%
Q2 2026$3.6B+6.3%
Q1 2026$3.7B+4.6%
Q4 2025$4.2B+5.6%
Q3 2025$3.5B+3.6%
Q2 2025$3.4B-12%
Q1 2025$3.6B-9.9%
Q4 2024$4B-6.4%

EL's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $3.7B last quarter, up 6.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

CELH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$127.7M-60%
Q2 2026$205.5M+479%
Q1 2026$65.8M-32%
Q4 2025-$130M-285%
Q3 2025$321.5M+3599%
Q2 2025$35.5M+17%
Q1 2025$96.4M-26%
Q4 2024$70.3M+16394%

CELH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $269M over the past year.

EL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $359MQ2 2024: $672MQ3 2024: −$811MQ4 2024: $925MQ1 2025: $162MQ2 2025: $394MQ3 2025: −$436MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $310MQ2 2026: $425MQ3 2026: −$235M
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $359MQ2 2024: $672MQ3 2024: −$811MQ4 2024: $925MQ1 2025: $162MQ2 2025: $394MQ3 2025: −$436MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $310MQ2 2026: $425MQ3 2026: −$235M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$235M+$201M
Q2 2026$425M+7.9%
Q1 2026$310M+91%
Q4 2025$1B+9.9%
Q3 2025-$436M+$375M
Q2 2025$394M-41%
Q1 2025$162M-55%
Q4 2024$925M-17%

EL has the edge over CELH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CELH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-2M shares
1 year-1.1%-2.9M shares
3 years+7.4%+17.6M shares
5 years+8.3%+19.5M shares
Available history+32%+62.4M shares

CELH has the edge over EL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

EL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 360MQ1 2024: 361MQ2 2024: 361MQ3 2024: 360MQ4 2024: 360MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 360MQ3 2025: 363MQ4 2025: 365MQ1 2026: 365MQ2 2026: 365MQ3 2026: 366M
Q4 2023: 360MQ1 2024: 361MQ2 2024: 361MQ3 2024: 360MQ4 2024: 360MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 360MQ3 2025: 363MQ4 2025: 365MQ1 2026: 365MQ2 2026: 365MQ3 2026: 366M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.3M shares
1 year+0.8%+2.8M shares
3 years+1.6%+5.6M shares
5 years-0.5%-1.8M shares
Available history-0.2%-600K shares

EL has 366M diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

CELH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 2025-7.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.5xNet Cash

CELH has the edge over EL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

EL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.8xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 10.9xQ1 2025: 23.1xQ2 2025: 99.9xQ3 2025: 15.7xQ4 2025: 3.3xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.8xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 10.9xQ1 2025: 23.1xQ2 2025: 99.9xQ3 2025: 15.7xQ4 2025: 3.3xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20262.4xModerate
Q1 20263.0xModerate
Q4 20253.3xElevated
Q3 202515.7xHigh
Q2 202599.9xHigh
Q1 202523.1xHigh
Q4 202410.9xHigh

EL's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 16 years a year ago.

CELH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.3Neutral
Stochastic56.8Neutral

CELH's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

EL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.6Neutral
Stochastic87.2Overbought

EL's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).

CELH PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricCELHSector medianRelative
PE35x19x82% above
PE %11187 pts below

CELH has the edge over EL on valuation relative to its sector.

EL PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricELSector medianRelative
PE109x19x461% above
PE %751857 pts above

EL is trading at 109x earnings, a 461% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

CELH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.19.4% above
20 week MA$29.67.8% above
50 week MA$36.112% below
100 week MA$38.818% below
200 week MA$44.629% below

CELH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 29% below its 200-week average.

EL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$103.46.8% above
20 week MA$95.715% above
50 week MA$94.617% above
100 week MA$86.428% above
200 week MA$118.36.6% below

EL has the edge over CELH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CELH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.58$14.7+832%
2021$14.7$24.9+69%
2022$24.9$35.6+43%
2023$35.6$54.5+53%
2024$54.5$26.5-51%
2025$26.5$45.6+72%
2026 YTD$45.6$31.9-30%

CELH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +832% in 2020 to −51% in 2024. It's down 30% so far in 2026.

EL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$208.0$261.0+25%
2021$261.0$366.0+40%
2022$366.0$241.0-34%
2023$241.0$146.3-39%
2024$146.3$74.6-49%
2025$74.6$107.7+44%
2026 YTD$107.7$110.5+2.7%

EL has the edge over CELH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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