CELH

Celsius Holdings, Inc.

72
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CELH has the edge over DNUT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

DNUT

Krispy Kreme, Inc.

55
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

DNUT's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

CELH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Strong

CELH's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

DNUT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Stable
Weak

DNUT's profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its revenue and balance sheet are under pressure.

CELH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$31.89—
Current35x$31.89—
Cheap40x$35.95+13%
Fair141x$127+299%
Expensive650x$585+1735%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CELH's PE is in its cheap range at 35x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 21x next year's earnings.

DNUT PE Valuation

DNUT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 48x next year's earnings.

CELH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

CELH has the edge over DNUT on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

DNUT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect DNUT to return to profit, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CELH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+69%$54.01
Downside-25%$23.76

Calculated from the latest close: $31.89 on Nov 12.

CELH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DNUT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

DNUT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+51%$5.60
Downside-34%$2.45

Calculated from the latest close: $3.71 on Nov 12.

DNUT trails CELH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CELH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.53+70%
Q3 2026$0.90+718%
Q2 2026$0.24-37%
Q1 2026$0.43+30%
Q4 2025$0.25-44%
Q3 2025$0.11-85%
Q2 2025$0.38-62%
Q1 2025$0.33-64%
Q4 2024$0.45-42%

CELH has the edge over DNUT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

DNUT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.23Q1 2024: $-0.28Q2 2024: $-0.31Q3 2024: $0.16Q4 2024: $0.02Q1 2025: $-0.13Q2 2025: $-2.65Q3 2025: $-2.99Q4 2025: $-3.04Q1 2026: $-3.00Q2 2026: $-0.57Q3 2026: $-0.54Forward: $0.08
Q4 2023: $-0.23Q1 2024: $-0.28Q2 2024: $-0.31Q3 2024: $0.16Q4 2024: $0.02Q1 2025: $-0.13Q2 2025: $-2.65Q3 2025: $-2.99Q4 2025: $-3.04Q1 2026: $-3.00Q2 2026: $-0.57Q3 2026: $-0.54Forward: $0.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.08—
Q3 2026-$0.54+$2.45
Q2 2026-$0.57+$2.08
Q1 2026-$3.00-$2.87
Q4 2025-$3.04-15300%
Q3 2025-$2.99-1969%
Q2 2025-$2.65-$2.34
Q1 2025-$0.13+$0.15
Q4 2024$0.02+$0.25

DNUT lost $0.54 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.

CELH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$847.2M+17%
Q2 2026$817.9M+11%
Q1 2026$782.6M+138%
Q4 2025$721.6M+117%
Q3 2025$725.1M+173%
Q2 2025$739.3M+84%
Q1 2025$329.3M-7.4%
Q4 2024$332.2M-4.4%

CELH has the edge over DNUT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DNUT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $451MQ1 2024: $443MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $380MQ4 2024: $404MQ1 2025: $375MQ2 2025: $380MQ3 2025: $375MQ4 2025: $392MQ1 2026: $367MQ2 2026: $331MQ3 2026: $329M
Q4 2023: $451MQ1 2024: $443MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $380MQ4 2024: $404MQ1 2025: $375MQ2 2025: $380MQ3 2025: $375MQ4 2025: $392MQ1 2026: $367MQ2 2026: $331MQ3 2026: $329M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$328.8M-12%
Q2 2026$331M-13%
Q1 2026$367M-2.2%
Q4 2025$392.4M-2.9%
Q3 2025$375.3M-1.2%
Q2 2025$379.8M-13%
Q1 2025$375.2M-15%
Q4 2024$404M-10%

DNUT's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $329M last quarter, down 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

CELH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$127.7M-60%
Q2 2026$205.5M+479%
Q1 2026$65.8M-32%
Q4 2025-$130M-285%
Q3 2025$321.5M+3599%
Q2 2025$35.5M+17%
Q1 2025$96.4M-26%
Q4 2024$70.3M+16394%

CELH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $269M over the past year.

DNUT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$31MQ1 2024: −$47MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: −$23MQ4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$61MQ3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: $28MQ1 2026: $11MQ2 2026: −$18MQ3 2026: −$4M
Q4 2023: −$31MQ1 2024: −$47MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: −$23MQ4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$61MQ3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: $28MQ1 2026: $11MQ2 2026: −$18MQ3 2026: −$4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.8M-125%
Q2 2026-$17.5M+$43.2M
Q1 2026$11.4M+$58.1M
Q4 2025$27.9M+$34.8M
Q3 2025$15.5M+$38.4M
Q2 2025-$60.8M-3997%
Q1 2025-$46.7M+$38K
Q4 2024-$6.9M+$24.4M

DNUT has the edge over CELH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CELH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-2M shares
1 year-1.1%-2.9M shares
3 years+7.4%+17.6M shares
5 years+8.3%+19.5M shares
Available history+32%+62.4M shares

CELH has the edge over DNUT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

DNUT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 168MQ1 2024: 169MQ2 2024: 169MQ3 2024: 171MQ4 2024: 172MQ1 2025: 170MQ2 2025: 171MQ3 2025: 171MQ4 2025: 171MQ1 2026: 172MQ2 2026: 173MQ3 2026: 173M
Q4 2023: 168MQ1 2024: 169MQ2 2024: 169MQ3 2024: 171MQ4 2024: 172MQ1 2025: 170MQ2 2025: 171MQ3 2025: 171MQ4 2025: 171MQ1 2026: 172MQ2 2026: 173MQ3 2026: 173M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+900K shares
1 year+1.4%+2.3M shares
3 years+3.1%+5.3M shares
5 years+4.5%+7.4M shares
Available history+8.6%+13.8M shares

DNUT has 173M diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.

CELH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 2025-7.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.5xNet Cash

CELH has the edge over DNUT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

DNUT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.1xQ1 2024: 6.4xQ2 2024: 6.3xQ3 2024: 6.2xQ4 2024: 7.0xQ1 2025: 10.4xQ2 2026: 8.7xQ3 2026: 9.4x
Q4 2023: 6.1xQ1 2024: 6.4xQ2 2024: 6.3xQ3 2024: 6.2xQ4 2024: 7.0xQ1 2025: 10.4xQ2 2026: 8.7xQ3 2026: 9.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20269.4xHigh
Q2 20268.7xHigh
Q1 202510.4xHigh
Q4 20247.0xHigh
Q3 20246.2xHigh
Q2 20246.3xHigh
Q1 20246.4xHigh
Q4 20236.1xHigh

DNUT's net debt is about 9.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 6.2 years a year ago.

CELH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.3Neutral
Stochastic56.8Neutral

CELH's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

DNUT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.1Neutral
Stochastic51.3Neutral

DNUT's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 51 (neutral).

CELH PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricCELHSector medianRelative
PE35x19x82% above
PE %11187 pts below

CELH is trading at 35x earnings, a 82% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

DNUT PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricDNUTSector medianRelative
PEN/A19x—

DNUT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CELH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.19.4% above
20 week MA$29.67.8% above
50 week MA$36.112% below
100 week MA$38.818% below
200 week MA$44.629% below

CELH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 29% below its 200-week average.

DNUT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.2215% above
20 week MA$3.2813% above
50 week MA$3.506% above
100 week MA$4.1711% below
200 week MA$8.5557% below

DNUT has the edge over CELH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CELH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.58$14.7+832%
2021$14.7$24.9+69%
2022$24.9$35.6+43%
2023$35.6$54.5+53%
2024$54.5$26.5-51%
2025$26.5$45.6+72%
2026 YTD$45.6$31.9-30%

CELH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +832% in 2020 to −51% in 2024. It's down 30% so far in 2026.

DNUT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$19.1$16.9-12%
2022$16.9$10.5-38%
2023$10.5$15.1+44%
2024$15.1$9.78-35%
2025$9.78$4.28-56%
2026 YTD$4.28$3.71-13%

DNUT has the edge over CELH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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