CELH

Celsius Holdings, Inc.

72
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CELH has the edge over COTY overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

COTY

Coty Inc.

49
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

COTY trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

CELH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Strong

CELH's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

COTY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy
Weak

COTY's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

CELH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$31.89—
Current35x$31.89—
Cheap40x$35.95+13%
Fair141x$127+299%
Expensive650x$585+1735%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CELH's PE is in its cheap range at 35x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 21x next year's earnings.

COTY PE Valuation

COTY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CELH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

CELH has the edge over COTY on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

COTY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect COTY's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CELH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+69%$54.01
Downside-25%$23.76

Calculated from the latest close: $31.89 on Nov 12.

CELH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than COTY, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

COTY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$5.85
Downside-31%$2.77

Calculated from the latest close: $4.03 on Nov 12.

COTY trails CELH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CELH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.53+70%
Q3 2026$0.90+718%
Q2 2026$0.24-37%
Q1 2026$0.43+30%
Q4 2025$0.25-44%
Q3 2025$0.11-85%
Q2 2025$0.38-62%
Q1 2025$0.33-64%
Q4 2024$0.45-42%

CELH has the edge over COTY on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

COTY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.35Q1 2024: $0.23Q2 2024: $0.09Q3 2024: $0.18Q4 2024: $0.00Q1 2025: $-0.47Q2 2025: $-0.44Q3 2025: $-0.46Q4 2025: $-0.62Q1 2026: $-0.62Q2 2026: $-0.70Q3 2026: $-0.65Forward: $0.31
Q4 2023: $0.35Q1 2024: $0.23Q2 2024: $0.09Q3 2024: $0.18Q4 2024: $0.00Q1 2025: $-0.47Q2 2025: $-0.44Q3 2025: $-0.46Q4 2025: $-0.62Q1 2026: $-0.62Q2 2026: $-0.70Q3 2026: $-0.65Forward: $0.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.31—
Q3 2026-$0.65-$0.19
Q2 2026-$0.70-$0.26
Q1 2026-$0.62-$0.15
Q4 2025-$0.62-$0.62
Q3 2025-$0.46-356%
Q2 2025-$0.44-589%
Q1 2025-$0.47-304%
Q4 2024$0.00-100%

COTY is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.65 per share over the past year, against $4.04 at its worst in early 2020.

CELH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$847.2M+17%
Q2 2026$817.9M+11%
Q1 2026$782.6M+138%
Q4 2025$721.6M+117%
Q3 2025$725.1M+173%
Q2 2025$739.3M+84%
Q1 2025$329.3M-7.4%
Q4 2024$332.2M-4.4%

CELH has the edge over COTY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COTY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B-1.4%
Q2 2026$1.3B+1.3%
Q1 2026$1.3B-1.3%
Q4 2025$1.7B+0.5%
Q3 2025$1.6B-5.6%
Q2 2025$1.3B-8.1%
Q1 2025$1.3B-6.2%
Q4 2024$1.7B-3.3%

COTY's revenue fell from its 2019 peak and has held roughly level since: $1.6B last quarter, down 1.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

CELH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$127.7M-60%
Q2 2026$205.5M+479%
Q1 2026$65.8M-32%
Q4 2025-$130M-285%
Q3 2025$321.5M+3599%
Q2 2025$35.5M+17%
Q1 2025$96.4M-26%
Q4 2024$70.3M+16394%

CELH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $269M over the past year.

COTY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $363MQ1 2024: −$234MQ2 2024: $117MQ3 2024: −$8MQ4 2024: $419MQ1 2025: −$168MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: $513MQ1 2026: −$249MQ2 2026: $73MQ3 2026: $85M
Q4 2023: $363MQ1 2024: −$234MQ2 2024: $117MQ3 2024: −$8MQ4 2024: $419MQ1 2025: −$168MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: $513MQ1 2026: −$249MQ2 2026: $73MQ3 2026: $85M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$84.6M+655%
Q2 2026$72.6M+108%
Q1 2026-$248.7M-$80.3M
Q4 2025$513.1M+22%
Q3 2025$11.2M+$19.1M
Q2 2025$34.9M-70%
Q1 2025-$168.4M+$65.9M
Q4 2024$419M+15%

COTY has the edge over CELH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CELH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-2M shares
1 year-1.1%-2.9M shares
3 years+7.4%+17.6M shares
5 years+8.3%+19.5M shares
Available history+32%+62.4M shares

CELH has the edge over COTY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

COTY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 923MQ1 2024: 892MQ2 2024: 883MQ3 2024: 875MQ4 2024: 875MQ1 2025: 872MQ2 2025: 871MQ3 2025: 876MQ4 2025: 877MQ1 2026: 880MQ2 2026: 877MQ3 2026: 883M
Q4 2023: 923MQ1 2024: 892MQ2 2024: 883MQ3 2024: 875MQ4 2024: 875MQ1 2025: 872MQ2 2025: 871MQ3 2025: 876MQ4 2025: 877MQ1 2026: 880MQ2 2026: 877MQ3 2026: 883M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+5.3M shares
1 year+0.7%+6.4M shares
3 years+3.3%+28.4M shares
5 years+12%+95M shares
Available history+16%+125M shares

COTY has 883M diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

CELH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 2025-7.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.5xNet Cash

CELH has the edge over COTY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

COTY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.1xQ1 2024: 3.4xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 5.2xQ2 2025: 5.6xQ3 2025: 6.3xQ4 2025: 5.1xQ1 2026: 6.7xQ2 2026: 7.2xQ3 2026: 6.7x
Q4 2023: 3.1xQ1 2024: 3.4xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 5.2xQ2 2025: 5.6xQ3 2025: 6.3xQ4 2025: 5.1xQ1 2026: 6.7xQ2 2026: 7.2xQ3 2026: 6.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.7xHigh
Q2 20267.2xHigh
Q1 20266.7xHigh
Q4 20255.1xHigh
Q3 20256.3xHigh
Q2 20255.6xHigh
Q1 20255.2xHigh
Q4 20243.0xElevated

COTY's net debt is about 6.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 6.3 years a year ago.

CELH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.3Neutral
Stochastic56.8Neutral

CELH's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

COTY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI73.9Overbought
Stochastic92.0Overbought

COTY's weekly RSI is 74 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 92 (overbought).

CELH PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricCELHSector medianRelative
PE35x19x82% above
PE %11187 pts below

CELH is trading at 35x earnings, a 82% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

COTY PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricCOTYSector medianRelative
PEN/A19x—

COTY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CELH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.19.4% above
20 week MA$29.67.8% above
50 week MA$36.112% below
100 week MA$38.818% below
200 week MA$44.629% below

CELH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 29% below its 200-week average.

COTY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.2624% above
20 week MA$2.9039% above
50 week MA$2.6850% above
100 week MA$3.874.1% above
200 week MA$7.3045% below

COTY has the edge over CELH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CELH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.58$14.7+832%
2021$14.7$24.9+69%
2022$24.9$35.6+43%
2023$35.6$54.5+53%
2024$54.5$26.5-51%
2025$26.5$45.6+72%
2026 YTD$45.6$31.9-30%

CELH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +832% in 2020 to −51% in 2024. It's down 30% so far in 2026.

COTY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.0$7.18-35%
2021$7.18$10.5+47%
2022$10.5$8.32-21%
2023$8.32$12.4+49%
2024$12.4$6.99-44%
2025$6.99$3.10-56%
2026 YTD$3.10$4.03+30%

COTY has the edge over CELH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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