CELH

Celsius Holdings, Inc.

72
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CELH has the edge over CHEF overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

CHEF

The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc.

66
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation52/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

CHEF has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

CELH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Strong

CELH's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

CHEF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

CHEF's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

CELH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$31.89—
Current35x$31.89—
Cheap40x$35.95+13%
Fair141x$127+299%
Expensive650x$585+1735%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CELH has the edge over CHEF in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CHEF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x52x77x103x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x52x77x103x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward37x$106—
Cheap38x$87.57-17%
Fair43x$100-5.6%
Current46x$106—
Expensive52x$121+14%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CHEF's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 37x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

CELH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CELH, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CHEF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CHEF, with profitability improving.

CELH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+69%$54.01
Downside-25%$23.76

Calculated from the latest close: $31.89 on Nov 12.

CELH trails CHEF on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CHEF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$150.06
Downside-14%$91.47

Calculated from the latest close: $106.07 on Nov 12.

CHEF has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CELH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CELH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.53+70%
Q3 2026$0.90+718%
Q2 2026$0.24-37%
Q1 2026$0.43+30%
Q4 2025$0.25-44%
Q3 2025$0.11-85%
Q2 2025$0.38-62%
Q1 2025$0.33-64%
Q4 2024$0.45-42%

CELH earned $0.90 per share over the past year, about eight times what it earned the year before.

CHEF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.88Q1 2024: $0.89Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $1.16Q4 2024: $1.32Q1 2025: $1.52Q2 2025: $1.64Q3 2025: $1.74Q4 2025: $1.68Q1 2026: $1.83Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.33Forward: $2.86
Q4 2023: $0.88Q1 2024: $0.89Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $1.16Q4 2024: $1.32Q1 2025: $1.52Q2 2025: $1.64Q3 2025: $1.74Q4 2025: $1.68Q1 2026: $1.83Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.33Forward: $2.86
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.86+23%
Q3 2026$2.33+34%
Q2 2026$2.10+28%
Q1 2026$1.83+20%
Q4 2025$1.68+27%
Q3 2025$1.74+50%
Q2 2025$1.64+62%
Q1 2025$1.52+71%
Q4 2024$1.32+50%

CHEF has the edge over CELH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CELH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$847.2M+17%
Q2 2026$817.9M+11%
Q1 2026$782.6M+138%
Q4 2025$721.6M+117%
Q3 2025$725.1M+173%
Q2 2025$739.3M+84%
Q1 2025$329.3M-7.4%
Q4 2024$332.2M-4.4%

CELH's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $847M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

CHEF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $950MQ1 2024: $874MQ2 2024: $955MQ3 2024: $931MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $951MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $950MQ1 2024: $874MQ2 2024: $955MQ3 2024: $931MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $951MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+11%
Q2 2026$1.2B+13%
Q1 2026$1.1B+11%
Q4 2025$1.1B+11%
Q3 2025$1B+9.6%
Q2 2025$1B+8.4%
Q1 2025$950.7M+8.7%
Q4 2024$1B+8.7%

CHEF's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $1.1B last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

CELH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$127.7M-60%
Q2 2026$205.5M+479%
Q1 2026$65.8M-32%
Q4 2025-$130M-285%
Q3 2025$321.5M+3599%
Q2 2025$35.5M+17%
Q1 2025$96.4M-26%
Q4 2024$70.3M+16394%

CELH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $269M over the past year.

CHEF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $65MQ1 2025: $37MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: −$20MQ4 2025: $66MQ1 2026: $31MQ2 2026: $49MQ3 2026: $36M
Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $65MQ1 2025: $37MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: −$20MQ4 2025: $66MQ1 2026: $31MQ2 2026: $49MQ3 2026: $36M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$36M+$55.7M
Q2 2026$49.2M+987%
Q1 2026$30.6M-18%
Q4 2025$65.8M+1.8%
Q3 2025-$19.7M-267%
Q2 2025$4.5M-66%
Q1 2025$37.2M+169%
Q4 2024$64.6M+235%

CHEF has the edge over CELH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CELH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-2M shares
1 year-1.1%-2.9M shares
3 years+7.4%+17.6M shares
5 years+8.3%+19.5M shares
Available history+32%+62.4M shares

CELH has the edge over CHEF on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CHEF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 46MQ1 2024: 39MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 46MQ1 2025: 46MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 46MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 46M
Q4 2023: 46MQ1 2024: 39MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 46MQ1 2025: 46MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 46MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 46M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+113K shares
1 year+0.8%+362K shares
3 years+1%+445K shares
5 years+24%+9.1M shares
Available history+53%+16.1M shares

CHEF has 46M diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

CELH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 2025-7.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.5xNet Cash

CELH has the edge over CHEF on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CHEF Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.0xQ1 2024: 4.9xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 3.3xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 2.5xQ3 2026: 2.3x
Q4 2023: 5.0xQ1 2024: 4.9xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 3.3xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 2.5xQ3 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.3xModerate
Q2 20262.5xModerate
Q1 20263.0xModerate
Q4 20253.2xElevated
Q3 20253.4xElevated
Q2 20253.3xElevated
Q1 20253.3xElevated
Q4 20243.5xElevated

CHEF's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.4 years a year ago.

CELH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.3Neutral
Stochastic56.8Neutral

CELH's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

CHEF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.9Neutral
Stochastic42.8Neutral

CHEF's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

CELH PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricCELHSector medianRelative
PE35x19x82% above
PE %11187 pts below

CELH has the edge over CHEF on valuation relative to its sector.

CHEF PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricCHEFSector medianRelative
PE46x19x134% above
PE %641846 pts above

CHEF is trading at 46x earnings, a 134% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

CELH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.19.4% above
20 week MA$29.67.8% above
50 week MA$36.112% below
100 week MA$38.818% below
200 week MA$44.629% below

CELH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 29% below its 200-week average.

CHEF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$109.33% below
20 week MA$107.71.5% below
50 week MA$85.025% above
100 week MA$72.047% above
200 week MA$53.399% above

CHEF has the edge over CELH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CELH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.58$14.7+832%
2021$14.7$24.9+69%
2022$24.9$35.6+43%
2023$35.6$54.5+53%
2024$54.5$26.5-51%
2025$26.5$45.6+72%
2026 YTD$45.6$31.9-30%

CELH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +832% in 2020 to −51% in 2024. It's down 30% so far in 2026.

CHEF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$38.0$23.9-37%
2021$23.9$32.6+36%
2022$32.6$34.3+5.4%
2023$34.3$29.4-14%
2024$29.4$48.7+65%
2025$48.7$63.5+31%
2026 YTD$63.5$106.1+67%

CHEF has the edge over CELH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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